Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2022

Mesoscale Discussion 1985

November 29, 20224 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 29, 2022, 6:19 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 29, 2022, 6:19 PM CST (00:19 UTC)
Expired
Nov 29, 2022, 7:45 PM CST
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 52 counties

Lauderdale County, AL, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Union County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Wayne County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2022-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 593 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2022-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
534 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 8:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Choctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson and 7 more64 min
Nov 29, 10:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke and 13 more67 min
Nov 29, 10:52 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw and 27 more7 hr
Nov 29, 11:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Choctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson and 10 more87 min
Nov 30, 2:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Butler, Chambers, Chilton, Choctaw and 20 more2 hr
Nov 30, 4:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 8 more115 min
Nov 30, 4:34 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Coffee, Covington, Dale, Escambia, Geneva and 3 more6 hr
Nov 30, 7:16 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDale, Geneva, Henry, Houston119 min
Nov 29, 6:52 PM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCAshley, Chicot9 hr
Nov 29, 9:21 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Newton, Simpson and 1 more54 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2022Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2022Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2022Every mesoscale discussion in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.