Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Blacksburg, VA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
337 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon with a few
mountain showers lingering into Saturday morning. Ridging over
the Mid-Atlantic will bring mostly dry and warmer weather this
weekend and into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Friday...

 A Flood Watch continues into this evening for parts of the Piedmont
and central VA regions...

The next round of showers and storms has been working its way
into our area, currently impacting the Mountain Empire and
southeastern WV. Isolated storms in the Piedmont are also
persisting this afternoon. The western showers will move east
throughout the afternoon and this evening. Chances of severe
weather will be isolated, with the main threat being isolated
damaging wind and heavy rain.

This morning's storms produced 1-2" for most of our areas east
of the Blue Ridge, with locally higher amounts as well. This has
primed the area that is under a Flood Watch for this afternoon
and evenings rain. Storms that are slow movers or areas that
have several showers throughout the afternoon could be in danger
of experiencing flash flooding.

As the trough pushes through overnight, a few lighter showers
could linger in the mountains of WV as late as Saturday morning,
but not expecting these to pose much of a hazardous weather
threat.

Behind the front high pressure moves in and will make for a
clear to partly cloudy Saturday without rain for most. Highs
will increase from the 60s and 70s we're experiencing today into
the 70s west of the Blue Ridge, and low 80s east.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 215 PM EDT Friday...

     Warmer and dry holiday weekend...

The Memorial Day Weekend will be mostly clear and sunny as an
upper high raises heights in addition to the surface high
pressure covering most of the Mid-Atlantic. Do not expect
precipitation during this period of the forecast. Assisted by
the persistent ridging, we will undergo a gentle warming trend,
with highs on Memorial Day in the 80s for almost the entire CWA,
and the potential to get into the 90s for some spots east of
the Blue Ridge.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 230 PM EDT Friday...

     Quiet period for most of the week...

High pressure will continue to suppress chances at rain and hold
cloud cover to a minimum till later in the week. This will keep
daytime highs in the 80s and 90s through at least Wednesday. A
late week frontal system will be the next significant chance at
rain as moister air is ushered in ahead of the approaching
boundary. Details surrounding this system are still uncertain,
but it looks to arrive late Thursday or Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 240 PM EDT Friday...

Most of the area is under VFR conditions while we sit in a lull
before this afternoon's showers and storms. Winds are 5-10kts
out of the south. Cigs have risen as we break out of stratus.
Scattered showers and storms will build in from the west
bringing some brief periods of TSRA through early this evening.
Tonight expect some clearing of cigs to occur as they lift and
dry high pressure moves in. A few lighter showers and stratus
will linger in the mountains of WV into Saturday morning, which
would only affect BLF and LWB.

Outside of a shower or storm, vsbys will be VFR, but inside
these showers there is potential for heavy rain that could
reduce visibility. Saturday will be largely VFR with winds
having turned to the west behind the front.

Extended Aviation Discussion...

From Saturday through Wednesday, expect mostly clear skies,
light winds, and VFR conditions.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ020-022>024-
     033>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VFJ
NEAR TERM...VFJ
SHORT TERM...VFJ
LONG TERM...VFJ
AVIATION...VFJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
304 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022

VAZ020-022>024-033>035-043>047-058-059-281915-
Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
304 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

In addition, a few thunderstorms this afternoon could produce strong
to damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to send storm reports.

NCZ004>006-VAZ007-010>014-016>019-032-WVZ042>044-507-508-281915-
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Tazewell-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Patrick-Mercer-Summers-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
304 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A few thunderstorms this afternoon could bring strong to damaging
winds and localized flooding to the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ009-015-281915-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Smyth-Grayson-
304 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Locally heavy rain from showers and a few storms could produce
isolated flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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