Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Pueblo, CO

June 7, 2022Bent County, Prowers County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 7, 2022, 11:19 PM MDT for Bent County, Prowers County, Colorado. It was in force for 86 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2022, 11:19 PM MDT (05:19 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2022, 12:45 AM MDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
2.0 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Bent County, CO, Prowers County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 8, 12:00 AM MDTTSTM WND DMGWiley, COPOWER OUTAGES AND MULTIPLE DOWNED TREES REPORTED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 41 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 7, 8:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2022-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 893 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2022-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
893 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2671 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

442 
WUUS55 KPUB 080519
SVRPUB
COC011-099-080645-
/O.NEW.KPUB.SV.W.0080.220608T0519Z-220608T0645Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1119 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Prowers County in southeastern Colorado...
  Bent County in southeastern Colorado...

* Until 1245 AM MDT.

* At 1119 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Las Animas to 6 miles southeast of Queens 
  Reservoir, moving southeast at 45 mph. These storms will impact 
  the Highway 50 corridor from Las Animas to Lamar.

  HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
           mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Lamar, Las Animas, Holly, Granada, Wiley, Hartman, McClave,
  Bristol, Hasty, John Martin Reservoir, Fort Lyon and Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3812 10328 3822 10238 3817 10217
      3808 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0519Z 327DEG 41KT 3812 10322 3822 10261 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Cohen/MG
7 follow-up statements
101 
WWUS55 KPUB 080524
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1124 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1124 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR PROWERS AND BENT COUNTIES...

At 1124 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Las Animas to near Queens Reservoir, moving 
southeast at 35 mph. These storms will impact the Highway 50 
corridor from Las Animas to Lamar to Holly.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Las Animas, Holly, Granada, Wiley, Hartman, McClave, Bristol,
Hasty, John Martin Reservoir, Fort Lyon and Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3812 10328 3822 10238 3817 10217
      3808 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0524Z 319DEG 32KT 3814 10321 3824 10259 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Cohen/MG
138 
WWUS55 KPUB 080532
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1132 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1132 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR PROWERS AND BENT COUNTIES...

At 1132 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Las Animas to 7 miles northeast of Lamar, moving 
southeast at 45 mph. These storms will impact the Highway 50 
corridor from Las Animas to Lamar to Holly.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Las Animas, Holly, Granada, Wiley, Hartman, McClave, Bristol,
Hasty, John Martin Reservoir, Fort Lyon and Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3812 10328 3822 10238 3817 10217
      3808 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0532Z 327DEG 41KT 3807 10315 3817 10253 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Cohen
728 
WWUS55 KPUB 080545
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1145 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1145 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR PROWERS AND EASTERN BENT COUNTIES...

At 1145 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from John Martin Reservoir to near Granada, moving 
southeast at 40 mph. These storms will impact the Highway 50 
corridor from Las Animas to Lamar to Holly.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Holly, Granada, Wiley, Hartman, McClave, Bristol, Hasty, John
Martin Reservoir, Fort Lyon and Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3812 10321 3822 10238 3817 10217
      3808 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0545Z 310DEG 33KT 3805 10306 3808 10238 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Cohen
028 
WWUS55 KPUB 080554
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1154 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1154 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR PROWERS AND EASTERN BENT COUNTIES...

At 1153 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of John Martin Reservoir to near
Bristol, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Holly, Granada, Wiley, Hartman, McClave, Bristol, Hasty, John
Martin Reservoir and Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3813 10311 3822 10238 3817 10217
      3808 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0553Z 320DEG 27KT 3801 10299 3811 10239 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Cohen
140 
WWUS55 KPUB 080601
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1201 AM MDT Wed Jun 8 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1201 AM MDT Wed Jun 8 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR PROWERS AND EASTERN BENT COUNTIES...

At 1200 AM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles south of Hasty to near Granada, moving
southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Public reported numerous trees down in northern Prowers 
         County.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Holly, Granada, Wiley, Hartman, McClave, Bristol, Hasty, John
Martin Reservoir and Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3813 10311 3822 10238 3817 10217
      3808 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0600Z 322DEG 34KT 3800 10297 3809 10235 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Cohen
770 
WWUS55 KPUB 080616
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1216 AM MDT Wed Jun 8 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1216 AM MDT Wed Jun 8 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR PROWERS AND EASTERN BENT COUNTIES...

At 1215 AM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 16 miles south of Hasty to 7 miles southeast of
Granada, moving southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Lamar, Holly, Granada, McClave, Bristol, John Martin Reservoir and
Caddoa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3804 10299 3813 10289 3815 10243
      3811 10223 3806 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0615Z 326DEG 39KT 3788 10287 3797 10225 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

KTS/CSS
117 
WWUS55 KPUB 080629
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1229 AM MDT Wed Jun 8 2022

COC011-099-080645-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-220608T0645Z/
Prowers CO-Bent CO-
1229 AM MDT Wed Jun 8 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM MDT
FOR SOUTHERN PROWERS AND SOUTHEASTERN BENT COUNTIES...

At 1228 AM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 14 miles northwest of Two Buttes Reservoir to 12 miles
south of Holly, moving southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

These severe thunderstorms will remain over mainly rural areas of
southern Prowers and southeastern Bent Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10309 3800 10283 3803 10267 3803 10248
      3801 10228 3798 10204 3765 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0628Z 325DEG 39KT 3778 10278 3787 10216 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

KTS/CSS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 7, 9:25 PM MDT, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 9:25 PM MDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
925 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 925 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

High resolution data has been consistent with storms developing
over the far eastern plains beginning at around 10PM this evening.
The thunderstorms will develop in an environment of 2000 to 2500
J/kg, effective bulk shear values of around 50 to 60 kts, an
effective SRH of 500 m2/s2, and a very curved hodograph favoring
right moving supercells. There is inhibition at the surface,
however, we are expecting these powerful supercell to break
through the cap. Main hazards are expected to be 2 inch + hail
stones, 70 mph + wind gusts, and the potential for a tornado or
two.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 234 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

Convection firing across the area at mid-afternoon, with severe
storms/supercells already developing as surface CAPE is running
1500-2500 J/KG across the plains and 0-6km shear is around 50 kts.
Current radar trends and various CAMs continue to suggest
strongest storms along the Palmer Divide moving e-se and
potentially brushing Kiowa County, while another cluster of
stronger storms pushes eastward across Las Animas/Baca
Counties. Activity looks to be more isolated elsewhere back along
I-25, though potential for severe with any storm east of the
mountains remains. Main storm risk will be large hail, as we've
already had golfball to nearly tennis ball hail with a storm in El
Paso County, though tornado potential over the plains will
increase east of an Eads/Kim line toward 23z, as low level wind
field strengthens and storms move toward the main instability
axis. CAMSs then suggest activity congeals into a loosely
organized line over the far eastern plains later this evening,
which could increase the damaging wind risk before storms exit
into KS/OK/TX by late evening.

Overnight, cold front races south through the plains, with a
period of gusty winds and perhaps a shower/sprinkle over the
southeast mountain slopes and plains after midnight, as post
frontal air-mass briefly saturates. On Wednesday, generally
cooler/more stable air mass in place across the area in the wake
of the cold front. with many models suggesting little if any deep
convection developing. Suspect there will still be enough weak
instability over the mountains for a few afternoon storms, with
greatest chances over the srn Sangres where model CAPE is around
500 J/KG. Max temps will end up below seasonal averages over the
plains, while mountains and valleys see little change as cooler
air stays east.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 234 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

1) Strong to severe storms possible on Thursday.

2) Drying and warming trend expected for southern Colorado going
into this weekend.

Wednesday Night and Thursday..

Despite cold frontal passage on Wednesday morning, overnight low
temperatures look to stay fairly normal for Wednesday night with
most areas falling into the 50s on the plains and 40s in the
mountains. Strong westerlies and a building ridge aloft will send
daytime highs soaring well into the nineties on our eastern plains
and mid to upper 80s for higher terrain. Another quick moving
disturbance in the flow aloft moves across central CO by Thursday
afternoon, bringing with it some chances for more thunderstorm
activity, some of which could be severe.

Moisture advection will be aided by the presence of lower pressure
over the Great Basin and higher pressure over the central plains.
With this set up, orographics will be enough to initiate general
convection on Thursday afternoon. Increased instability over the
plains will lead to a potential to see some strong to severe
development as storms move off the mountains and into the more
favorable environment around peak heating. With classic "inverted v"
forecast soundings and forecasted DCAPE values over 1800 J/Kg in the
plains, the main threat for these storms looks to be strong and
variable outflow winds. The wetting rain potential looks better
further east, but we could see more virga than rain along the I-25
corridor.

Friday through Sunday..

GEFS and EPS are in good agreement with ridging continuing to build
in aloft from Friday through the weekend. A very weak frontal
passage early on Friday will cool us down slightly and keep highs in
the upper 80s on the plains, but we will likely maintain above
average daytime highs throughout the weekend. Humidity values stay
high enough to avoid fire weather headlines east of Interstate 25
all weekend, but we will likely hit Red Flag criteria on both Friday
and Sunday afternoon in the San Luis Valley where humidity falls
into the low teens as early as 11am.

Monday and Tuesday..

Ensembles start to diverge with confidence in the upper pattern
decreasing significantly as we head into next week. Both the GEFS
and EPS hint at a transition to troughing and strong southwesterly
flow to start out our work week, but timing and placement vary
substantially. GEFS seems to be the most consistent from run to run,
and would keep the overall system rather north of us. If this
placement is to be believed, then Monday will likely be a fairly
widespread fire weather day for us in south central and southeastern
Colorado as any precipitation would be limited to our central
mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 234 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

At KALS, VFR the next 24 hrs, as most tsra this evening should
stay over the higher terrain along the eastern edge of the San
Luis Valley. W-SW winds will become gusty this afternoon, before
diminishing this evening and overnight. On Wednesday, tsra again
possible over the mountains surrounding the Valley, but chance of
a storm at the airport looks low.

At KCOS and KPUB, vcts at both terminals until 00z-01z. Brief
MVFR/IFR vis possible with any stronger storms, along with a risk
of hail as well. Cold front then moves through both airports 05z-
06z, bringing north winds gusting to 30 kts through the morning on
Wed. Expect VFR cigs behind the front, with some patchy MVFR just
north of KCOS near the Palmer Divide. On Wednesday, any tsra will
stay mainly over the higher terrain west of both terminals.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...SKELLY
SHORT TERM...PETERSEN
LONG TERM...EHR
AVIATION...PETERSEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 7, 9:06 PM MDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
906 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-090315-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
906 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Nocturnal strong to severe thunderstorms are expected over the far
eastern plains from 10PM through the early morning hours. Main
concerns overnight will be 2 inch hail and higher, 70 mph wind
gusts and higher, and the possibility of a tornado or two.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated to scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are
possible across the eastern mountains and plains for Wednesday
through Sunday. A couple of storms could be strong to severe
Wednesday and Thursday. The main hazards with those storms would be
cloud to ground lightning, large hail up to 1 inch, and strong winds
up to 60 mph.

Critical Fire Weather conditions are possible across portions of
the San Luis Valley Friday, and then more widespread across
southern Colorado Sunday and Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

SKELLY/SIMCOE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 7, 8:33 PM MDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
833 PM MDT TUE JUN 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     HAIL             15 ENE TWO BUTTES       37.63N 102.13W
06/07/2022  M3.50 INCH       BACA               CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 8:33 PM MDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
833 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COZ084-085-080300-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
833 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central El Paso
County through 900 PM MDT...

At 833 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of Yoder, or 28 miles east of Colorado Springs,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Yoder and Rush.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3877 10405 3889 10437 3896 10436 3898 10406
TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 283DEG 28KT 3892 10430

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Cohen
Local storm report, Jun 7, 8:35 PM MDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
835 PM MDT TUE JUN 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     TORNADO          15 ENE TWO BUTTES       37.61N 102.13W
06/07/2022                   BACA               CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO TOUCHED
            THE GROUND.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 7, 9:58 PM MDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
958 PM MDT TUE JUN 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     TORNADO          15 ENE TWO BUTTES       37.61N 102.13W
06/07/2022                   BACA               CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO TOUCHED
            THE GROUND.

0818 PM     HAIL             15 ENE TWO BUTTES       37.63N 102.13W
06/07/2022  M3.50 INCH       BACA               CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0800 PM     HAIL             12 NE TWO BUTTES        37.69N 102.25W
06/07/2022  M1.50 INCH       PROWERS            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0701 PM     HAIL             7 S LAMAR               37.99N 102.61W
06/07/2022  U1.00 INCH       PROWERS            CO   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0658 PM     TORNADO          8 S LAMAR               37.97N 102.62W
06/07/2022                   PROWERS            CO   STORM CHASER

            VIDEO OF TORNADO.

0656 PM     TORNADO          8 S LAMAR               37.97N 102.62W
06/07/2022                   PROWERS            CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED TORNADO
            TOUCHDOWN.

0651 PM     HAIL             1 W FORT LYON           38.10N 103.16W
06/07/2022  M1.75 INCH       BENT               CO   STORM CHASER

            CORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 1
            W FORT LYON. PICTURE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0645 PM     HAIL             9 S ARLINGTON           38.20N 103.33W
06/07/2022  E2.75 INCH       BENT               CO   PUBLIC

0636 PM     TORNADO          9 S ARLINGTON           38.20N 103.33W
06/07/2022  UF1              BENT               CO   STORM CHASER

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0628 PM     HAIL             HWY 50 AND CR 30        38.11N 102.84W
06/07/2022  E1.00 INCH       BENT               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0623 PM     HAIL             3 S WILEY               38.12N 102.73W
06/07/2022  U1.00 INCH       PROWERS            CO   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0612 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 NW MCCLAVE            38.16N 102.90W
06/07/2022                   BENT               CO   PUBLIC

            SPOTTER EL637 REPORTED SPOTTING 2 FUNNEL
            CLOUDS IN THE TORNADO WARNED SUPERCELL WEST
            OF MCCLAVE. HE ALSO STATED SEEING DUST KICK
            UP UNDERNEATH THE SUPERCELL.

0420 PM     HAIL             6 SE CHERAW             38.05N 103.43W
06/07/2022  E1.75 INCH       OTERO              CO   PUBLIC

0342 PM     HAIL             3 NNE FALCON            38.97N 104.60W
06/07/2022  E1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL TO QUARTER SIZE ONGOING AS REPORTED BY
            TRAINED SPOTTER.

0335 PM     HAIL             7 NNE COLORADO CITY     38.04N 104.80W
06/07/2022  E1.25 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0229 PM     HAIL             4 N ELLICOTT            38.90N 104.39W
06/07/2022  M2.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   STORM CHASER

            PICTURE RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0225 PM     HAIL             1 N TRINIDAD            37.18N 104.51W
06/07/2022  M0.88 INCH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0222 PM     HAIL             2 NNE TRINIDAD          37.19N 104.50W
06/07/2022  E1.00 INCH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF HAIL UP TO QUARTER-SIZE ON THE
            NORTH SIDE OF TRINIDAD WITH EARLIER SEVERE
            THUNDERSTORM.

0158 PM     HAIL             3 NE FALCON             38.95N 104.58W
06/07/2022  U1.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: PING PONG BALL (1.50
            IN.).

0158 PM     HAIL             3 NE FALCON             38.95N 104.58W
06/07/2022  E1.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

0155 PM     HAIL             5 SW PEYTON             38.97N 104.54W
06/07/2022  M2.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PICTURE EMAILED FROM TRAINED SPOTTER.

0145 PM     HAIL             2 N FALCON              38.97N 104.61W
06/07/2022  M1.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 1.6-INCH HAIL WITH
            A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PASSED THROUGH
            THE FALCON AREA.

0145 PM     HAIL             3 NNE FALCON            38.97N 104.60W
06/07/2022  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0125 PM     HAIL             3 N FALCON              38.97N 104.61W
06/07/2022  M1.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS SPOTTER MEASURED 1.63-INCH HAIL
            WITH EARLIER SEVERE STORM.

&&
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 10:55 PM MDT, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1055 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COZ089-095-080530-
Crowley County CO-Western Kiowa County CO-
1055 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Kiowa and
northeastern Crowley Counties through 1130 PM MDT...

At 1054 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Wild Horse Point, or 34 miles north of La Junta,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of western Kiowa and
northeastern Crowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10355 3850 10378 3852 10368 3852 10351
      3853 10350 3852 10348
TIME...MOT...LOC 0454Z 316DEG 28KT 3848 10360

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MG/Cohen
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 11:12 PM MDT, 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1112 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

COZ098-080545-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County CO-
1112 PM MDT Tue Jun 7 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of east central Prowers
County through 1145 PM MDT...

At 1111 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Holly to 16 miles south of Coolidge.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Holly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3772 10213 3809 10226 3813 10205 3772 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0511Z 260DEG 35KT 3802 10215 3781 10208

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MG/Cohen

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPUBBent, Crowley, Kiowa, Otero50 min
Jun 7, 6:18 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBent, Kiowa27 min
Jun 7, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Prowers63 min
Jun 7, 6:41 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPUBBent49 min
Jun 7, 6:43 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBProwers32 min
Jun 7, 7:07 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPUBProwers68 min
Jun 7, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca96 min
Jun 7, 7:12 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBent33 min
Jun 7, 7:23 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBProwers56 min
Jun 7, 7:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent46 min
Jun 7, 7:52 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBElbert23 min
Jun 7, 7:54 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca66 min
Jun 7, 7:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Prowers63 min
Jun 7, 8:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso27 min
Jun 7, 8:37 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca, Prowers53 min
Jun 7, 9:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPUBBaca62 min
Jun 7, 9:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPUBKiowa83 min
Jun 7, 9:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Kiowa96 min
Jun 7, 10:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPUBBent, Kiowa, Otero, Prowers95 min
Jun 7, 10:55 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCrowley35 min
Jun 7, 11:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBProwers33 min
Jun 7, 11:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCrowley43 min
Jun 7, 11:59 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBBent, Prowers3 hr
Jun 8, 12:33 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCrowley27 min
Jun 8, 12:38 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Crowley, Kiowa, Otero52 min
Jun 8, 12:42 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPUBBaca, Prowers63 min
Jun 8, 12:57 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent33 min
Jun 8, 1:16 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent29 min
Jun 8, 1:27 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPUBBaca, Prowers48 min
Jun 8, 1:39 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent66 min
Jun 8, 2:27 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca48 min
Jun 8, 3:06 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.