Alert archive / New Jersey / Special Weather Statements in 2022

Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 16, 2022Monmouth County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special weather statement at Jul 16, 2022, 3:40 PM EDT for Monmouth County, New Jersey. It was in force for 35 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2022, 3:40 PM EDT (19:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2022, 4:15 PM EDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Hail
0.00 in
Wind
40

County Monmouth County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 3:59 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 Nne Holmdel, NJTREES ON WIRES NEAR MCCAMPBELL ROAD IN HOLMDEL. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Jul 16, 4:00 PM EDTHAIL 12 Nw Holmdel, NJSOCIAL MEDIA VIDEO OF HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS ESTIMATED FROM THE PERSON WHO SENT REPORT IN. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Jul 16, 4:01 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 Nne Marlboro, NJWIRES DOWN IN MARLBORO, NJ. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Jul 16, 4:20 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGColts Neck, NJTREE DOWN THROUGH A DECK LEFT SOME DAMAGE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Jul 16, 4:23 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG1 N Colts Neck, NJWIRES DOWN REPORTED IN COLTS NECK, NJ. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 257 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2022-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 39 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2022-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
39 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-141 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1344 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

443 
WWUS81 KPHI 161940
SPSPHI

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022
 
NJZ012>014-162015-
Eastern Monmouth NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-Middlesex NJ-
340 PM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Monmouth and east central Middlesex Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Matawan, or 8 miles southeast of Perth Amboy, moving southeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around 
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Old Bridge, Tinton Falls, Holmdel, Red Bank, Keansburg,
Matawan, Highlands, Brownville, Navesink, Lincroft, Eatontown,
Keyport, Rumson, Little Silver, Oceanport, Shrewsbury, Strathmore,
North Middletown and Laurence Harbor.

This includes Garden State Parkway between mile markers 107 and 121.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. 

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4030 7403 4025 7416 4036 7429 4040 7431
      4046 7424 4044 7420 4046 7418 4045 7416
      4045 7413 4042 7405 4042 7400 4040 7397
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 307DEG 13KT 4041 7420 

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

$$

BAH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 16, 1:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 1:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
109 PM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build offshore today as a weak front lingers
across parts of Delmarva into Sunday. At the same time, a weak
trough of low pressure will track across the area. A cold front
is forecast to slowly settle across our area Monday night and
Tuesday, then the front may dissipate in place on Wednesday. The
next cold front arrives Thursday, however it may stall near our
area Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Showers have been active on the sea breeze through the morning
and continues to be so over Monmouth County. Outflow has pushed
the boundary to the west over slightly more stable air. Much of
the same through the afternoon with scattered showers popping up
and slowly raining themselves out due to weak shear and storm
motion. Best chances for these will be over northern New Jersey
and along the sea breeze over areas of eastern New Jersey. Very
much a low confidence forecast in exact timing of when and where
showers will form. So far no lightning, though weak instability
could lead to some embedded thunder.

A mid level short wave trough was located over the eastern
Great Lakes and the Ohio River Valley early this morning. The
feature will progress to the east with its axis forecast to pass
over our region late tonight. Meanwhile, a west to east frontal
boundary will continue to meander in Maryland, Delaware and
southern New Jersey.

The approaching short wave is expected to trigger the
development of scattered showers and thunderstorms in our region
during the mid to late afternoon. Remnant and newly developing
surface boundaries will also contribute. The convection will
likely be slow moving based on the forecast wind profile for
today into tonight. The scattered showers and thunderstorms will
likely not follow the usual diurnal trend by dissipating with
the loss of daytime heating. The short wave is expected to keep
the scattered convection going well into tonight.

The wind is forecast to be variable at less than 10 MPH for
today and tonight. Temperatures should be seasonable with highs
mostly in the 80s and lows from the middle 60s to the lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
An upper-level trough will gradually be approaching our region
during Sunday. There could be some convection to start Sunday
morning, mainly across Delmarva into far southeastern New Jersey
associated with a lingering surface front. Otherwise, isolated
to scattered convection should develop elsewhere during the
course of Sunday and Sunday evening. It does not look all that
organized as the main upper-level feature is forecast to be well
to our west. However, the 0-6 km shear is forecast to increase
into the 20-30 knot range especially Sunday night. Some
lingering instability along with the closer approach of a
shortwave tied to the aforementioned upper-level trough may then
result in a little uptick in convection Sunday night. It will
be warm and muggy although more cloud cover, which may be
comprised of low clouds to start Sunday morning, should result
afternoon highs near average.

As we go through Monday, an upper-level trough will gradually
cross the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. A fairly strong
shortwave is forecast to accompany the trough, and at the
surface a cold front will be slowly making its way across our
area. Increasing ascent tied to the upper-level trough and also
the cold front should result in increasing shower and
thunderstorm development. The highest PoPs are during Monday
afternoon and evening. It will be warm and humid, and with
MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and the 0-6 km shear increasing to 30-40
knots (greatest near and north/west of I-95) may need to watch
for some stronger storms with gusty outflow winds. A plume of
2.00- 2.50 inches of precipitable water is forecast to slide
across our area, therefore convective elements will produce
locally very heavy rain. It has been rather dry across much of
the area, therefore any flood risk should be limited to mainly
some urban spots. The convection should continue Monday night,
although a decrease in activity is expected overnight as the
cold front progresses eastward and air mass stabilizes.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Summary...Hot and humid with the potential for a time of
excessive heat; Limited convective chances overall, and a cold
front arrives Thursday into Friday.

Synoptic Overview...An upper-level trough lifts out during
Tuesday and the flow aloft backs more zonal into Wednesday. A
sharpening upper-level trough in the Midwest and upper Great
Lakes region Tuesday night shifts east-southeastward Wednesday,
crossing the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions Thursday. At the
surface, high pressure anchored well offshore results in a
south to southwest flow of hot and humid air. A cold front is
forecast to settle across our area into Tuesday, however it may
not get to far south and east as the upper-level trough lifts
out. The front either lingers nearby or dissipates as another
cold front looks to arrive Thursday into Friday.

For Tuesday and Wednesday...An upper-level trough is forecast
to be shifting northeast and east of our area during Tuesday,
and the precipitable water values are forecast to lower to near
1.50 inches. This will settle the cold front farther south and
east across our area, although it may end up dissipating with
time. The flow aloft backs more zonal for a time, and some drier
low-level air to our northwest may end up staying there as
there appears to not be much of a southward push. Therefore, hot
and humid conditions will be in place with afternoon heat
indices Tuesday in the mid to perhaps upper 90s for most and
then around 100 degrees Wednesday for many areas. A shower or
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out each afternoon, mostly inland,
given the hot and humid conditions.

For Thursday and Friday...An upper-level trough is forecast to
be sliding across the Midwest and Great Lakes region. As this
continues to press eastward, a cold front will be arriving into
our area mostly later Thursday. Some showers and thunderstorms
should develop ahead of and with the front, although the
severity of the convection will ultimately depend on the timing
of the front, shear and instability magnitudes along with the
forcing. Plenty of heat across the area, and while dew points
might mix out a little for some spots during peak heating,
Thursday afternoon heat indices are forecast to be around 100
degrees for many areas. The dew points are currently forecast to
lower Friday as the cold front reaches the coast, however the
front is more of a dew point boundary as afternoon highs are
forecast to be into the upper 80s to lower 90s for many.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...MVFR/IFR conditions will improve to VFR at least by 15Z.
Mostly VFR onward. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
forecast to develop mainly after 20Z and they could briefly
reduce conditions to MVFR/IFR. Variable wind 8 knots or less.
Medium confidence.

Tonight...Mainly VFR until around 06Z with scattered showers
and thunderstorms which could briefly reduce conditions to
MVFR/IFR. More widespread MVFR/IFR conditions may develop after
06Z. Variable wind 8 knots or less. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Sunday...Local low clouds/fog possible to start, otherwise
mostly VFR. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms,
especially in the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds
increasing to around 10 knots during the day, then diminishing
some at night. Low confidence.

Monday...Times of sub-VFR conditions with more widespread
showers and thunderstorms probable. Southwesterly winds 5-10
knots. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday and Wednesday...A shower or thunderstorm possible,
otherwise VFR. West to southwest winds 5-10 knots. Low
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
The wind is forecast to settle into the southeast at 5 to 10
knots for today. It should veer toward the south tonight. Waves
on our ocean waters are anticipated to be around 2 feet, with
waves on Delaware Bay at less than 2 feet.

Outlook...

Sunday...The conditions are anticipated to remain mostly below
Small Craft Advisory criteria. However, isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms are expected.

Monday through Wednesday...The conditions should favor below
Small Craft Advisory criteria. Showers and thunderstorms are
anticipated, mainly on Monday.

Rip Currents...

A southeast wind at 5 to 10 MPH is expected for today along the
coasts of Delaware and New Jersey. Breaking waves should be
around 1 foot with a medium period east to southeast swell.
There is a LOW risk of rip currents.

A south wind is forecast to increase to 10 to 15 MPH on Sunday.
Breaking waves are expected to be around 1 foot with a medium
period southeast swell. There is a LOW risk for rip currents on
Sunday.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Gorse/Kruzdlo
Near Term...Davis/Iovino
Short Term...Gorse
Long Term...Gorse
Aviation...Davis/Gorse/Iovino
Marine...Gorse/Iovino
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 11:07 AM EDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

DEZ001-171507-
New Castle-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-171507-
Kent-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-171507-
Inland Sussex-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-171507-
Delaware Beaches-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-171507-
Carbon-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-171507-
Monroe-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-171507-
Berks-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-171507-
Lehigh-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-171507-
Northampton-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-171507-
Delaware-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-171507-
Philadelphia-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-171507-
Western Chester-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-171507-
Eastern Chester-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-171507-
Western Montgomery-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-171507-
Eastern Montgomery-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-171507-
Upper Bucks-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-171507-
Lower Bucks-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-171507-
Sussex-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-171507-
Warren-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-171507-
Morris-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-171507-
Hunterdon-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-171507-
Somerset-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-171507-
Middlesex-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-171507-
Western Monmouth-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-171507-
Eastern Monmouth-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-171507-
Mercer-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-171507-
Salem-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-171507-
Gloucester-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-171507-
Camden-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-171507-
Northwestern Burlington-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-171507-
Ocean-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-171507-
Cumberland-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-171507-
Atlantic-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-171507-
Cape May-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-171507-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-171507-
Coastal Atlantic-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-171507-
Coastal Ocean-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-171507-
Southeastern Burlington-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-171507-
Kent MD-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-171507-
Queen Annes-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-171507-
Talbot-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-171507-
Caroline-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-171507-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-171507-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-171507-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-171507-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-171507-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-171507-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-171507-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-171507-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1107 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:40 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

NJZ012>014-162015-
Eastern Monmouth NJ-Western Monmouth NJ-Middlesex NJ-
340 PM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Monmouth and east central Middlesex Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Matawan, or 8 miles southeast of Perth Amboy, moving southeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Old Bridge, Tinton Falls, Holmdel, Red Bank, Keansburg,
Matawan, Highlands, Brownville, Navesink, Lincroft, Eatontown,
Keyport, Rumson, Little Silver, Oceanport, Shrewsbury, Strathmore,
North Middletown and Laurence Harbor.

This includes Garden State Parkway between mile markers 107 and 121.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4030 7403 4025 7416 4036 7429 4040 7431
      4046 7424 4044 7420 4046 7418 4045 7416
      4045 7413 4042 7405 4042 7400 4040 7397
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 307DEG 13KT 4041 7420

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BAH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth48 min
Jul 15, 8:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIChester2 hr
Jul 16, 5:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHISussex37 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Jersey, 2022Every special weather statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.