Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
949 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A backdoor cold front will slide into our region from the northeast
tonight into Wednesday and lingers over the area through Thursday
becoming the focal point for several rounds of showers and
thunderstorms before a stronger cold front moves through the region
Thursday night. High pressure builds into our region Friday and
Saturday before gradually shifting to our east Sunday and Monday.
Another surface low may move towards the region from the Midwest
into the early part of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Mid-level ridging was seen on water vapor this evening with a
potent closed mid and upper level low near the Canadian
maritimes. In association with the strong low near the Canadian
maritimes, a backdoor cold front is currently heading west
across Long Island, NY. After LGA reached 93 degrees Tuesday
afternoon, temperatures have fallen into the upper 60s behind
the front. Meanwhile, a weak wave is traversing the top of the
mid-level anti-cyclone with some showers forming near Watkins
Glen, NY. These multiple weak features has made for an extremely
difficult forecast this evening.

The overall idea, is for the weak showers and isolated
thunderstorms to slide southeast mainly across northern NJ and
northeastern PA. This also happens to be where the best
saturation is forecast ahead of the backdoor cold front. Severe
weather is not expected with this initial batch of showers and
an isolated rumbles of thunder. Across the eastern zones this
evening it appears that the surface cold front will indeed head
west and progress inland. The biggest question at this time is
how far west does the cold front make it. The NAM is by far the
strongest with the front, pushing it all the way to the Lehigh
Valley. The GFS pushes the front to about the I-95 corridor. The
high res is a mix of these solutions (the HRRR bringing the
front to the Lehigh Valley while the ARW pushes the front just
west of the I-95 corridor and the FV3 follows the GFS). The
answer looks like it will be a blend of the two pieces of
guidance. The latest runs of the NAM appears to be to bold with
the QPF overnight from the convection (up to around 0.75" of
QPF near DE and northern NJ). This likely is having the affect
of reinforcing the cold front slightly to far west. The current
thinking is to have the backdoor front make it to potentially
the Lehigh Valley early Wednesday morning only to retreat
slightly east.

Just west of the backdoor cold front, forecast soundings
quickly destabilize with around 1500 - 2000 J/kg of MLCAPE. As
this occurs, a mid-level wave will be approaching from the west
likely causing CI across central NY. The width of the warm
sector is modest Wednesday with the best shear being just north
and east of the CWA. Given that, there still exists 30/ 35 kts
of deep layer shear which is sufficient for some rotating
updrafts. Some clustering of storms to a few discrete cells will
be possible with damaging wind gusts being the primary threat,
and hail being a secondary threat. Confidence is high that
storms will form over central NY Wednesday afternoon and head
south and east. The main conditionality to the threat across NJ
and PA tomorrow will be the placement of the cold front. As
convection crosses over to the cool side of the boundary it will
likely slowly start to decay. The highest threat area for our
region Wednesday will be towards Carbon/ Monroe counties or
closer to the boundary and warm sector. High temperatures will
also be extremely variable Wednesday with mid to upper 60s
forecast near Sandy Hook, NJ and upper 80s forecast over the
DELMARVA.

Wednesday evening the convection will push southeast and slowly
weaken. Convection will then come to an end late Wednesday night
into early Thursday morning. Expect low temperatures mostly in
the mid 60s Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
...Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Wednesday evening and
again Thursday afternoon and evening...

Showers and storms look to move into into portions of our
eastern PA and NW NJ zones Wednesday evening as shortwave
energy ripples along the baroclinic zone over the area. At this
time a warm front should be over eastern PA oriented NW to SE
with a trailing cold front extending back over western PA into
Ohio. ML CAPE looks to be upwards of 1000-1500 j/kg over the
area with deep layer shear around 40 knots. For this reason, the
potential for severe weather exists with the highest threat
being over NE PA into far NW NJ. The greatest threat looks to be
damaging winds followed by large hail. The main threat should be
through the evening with storms moving out overnight.

For Thursday, the first portion of the day looks fairly quiet
ahead of the second shortwave trough as it works its way across
the Midwest into the Great Lakes. This second shortwave will be
the stronger of the two with a more pronounced negative tilt
with the parent closed 500 mb low over central Canada.

After any lingering rain departs in the morning Thursday, we should
see a little clearing in the late morning and early afternoon.
However, the greater the clearing, the greater chances for
widespread severe weather into Thursday evening. With stalled
frontal boundary remaining situated over the region, there will
likely be an appreciable temperature gradient once again with cooler
highs in the upper 70s for the northern half of the region and upper
80s to near 90 south of the front. The front will attempt to move
northward as a warm front ahead of the incoming shortwave trough and
attendant surface low. The greatest risk for severe thunderstorms
remains south of the front, which looks to be mostly south of the PA
Turnpike and AC Expressway (Philadelphia suburbs southward). The
Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk for Severe Weather south
of Philadelphia Thursday. With CAPE values forecast to be in the
1000 to 2000 J/kg range (perhaps upwards of 3000 J/kg MUCAPE in
areas that see enough sun to the south). The greatest threats look
to be hail and damaging wind with deep CAPE well above the freezing
level and some modest dry air aloft leading to forecast DCAPE values
from 500 to 1000 J/kg. LL shear looks to be supportive of at least
some supercells initially that will morph into a broken line or
QLCS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Rain will gradually come to an end Friday as the cold front moves
offshore and drier air filters into the region. The southeastern
extent of a Canadian upper-level trough swings across the Northeast
and northern Mid-Atlantic regions to start Friday. The mid-level
flow is forecast to become more zonal as the aforementioned Canadian
trough becomes more elongated. Weak high pressure should build in
later Friday and Saturday, although some clouds may be tossed our
way as additional shortwaves track across the Great Lakes region. By
Sunday, the high moves directly overhead. It is forecast to be less
humid with surface dew points into the 50s, and high temperatures
each day get into the mid to upper 70s Friday and the upper 70s and
low 80s Saturday and Sunday.

The forecast becomes a little less certain into early next week as a
shortwave and developing surface low move across the Midwest and
towards the Great Lakes. On the other hand, some of the guidance is
trying to hint at another surface low forming over the Atlantic off
the Carolina Coast, but should remain south of our region. How far
north this reaches by Tuesday and Wednesday remains highly
uncertain, but could end up blocking the incoming shortwave if it
ends up taking a northern trek near Bermuda as the EC has favored.
Highs Monday and Tuesday look to reach into the upper 70s and low
80s.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Mainly VFR. However, MVFR ceilings are forecast to
push into our region from the northeast and east late tonight.
The MVFR ceilings are expected to reach KTTN, KPNE, and KACY.
There is less confidence that the MVFR ceilings will reach KPHL,
KMIV, KILG, KABE and KRDG although the potential exists. West
to northwest wind 8 knots or less, becoming northeast to east.
Medium confidence.

Wednesday...IFR to start most likely north and east,
transitioning to VFR southwest. High uncertainty on extent of
IFR cigs in the morning. Most areas see cigs return to VFR in
the afternoon. The greatest chance for showers/thunder is late
in the day and at night. Winds will depend on the location of a
backdoor cold front. Low confidence.

Wednesday night... A return to VFR with lower cigs in any
showers and thunderstorms. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Thursday...MVFR and/or IFR conditions possible with several rounds
of showers and thunderstorms, especially from the Philly terminals
north then spreading south through the rest of the terminals through
the night. Winds mostly from the west in the early morning 5 to 10
knots then turning to the northwest through the day from 10 to 15
knots. Low confidence.

Friday...Sub-VFR conditions possible in the morning as rain and
thunderstorms move off to the east. VFR returning into the
afternoon. Northwest winds from 10 to 15 knots. Moderate confidence.

Saturday...VFR. Winds from west-northwest from 5 to 10 knots.
Moderate confidence.

Saturday night...VFR. Winds from the north 5 knots or less. Moderate
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
A southwest to south wind of 10 to 15 knots late today is
forecast to shift to the northeast and east tonight with the
arrival of a cold front from the northeast. Waves on our ocean
waters will likely be 2 to 3 feet. They may build near 4 feet
late tonight on our ocean waters north of Barnegat Inlet. Waves
should remain at 2 feet or less on Delaware Bay. On Wednesday,
winds will remain mostly easterly at 5-10 knots with 2-4 foot
waves, highest on the ocean north of Barnegat Inlet.

Outlook...

Conditions are expected to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria,
though showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Thursday night could
lead to locally stronger wind gusts and wind shifts.

Rip currents...

A south to southwest wind is forecast to increase to 10 to 15
MPH today. Breaking waves should be around 1 foot with a short
to medium period swell/wind wave varying from south to east.
There is a LOW risk for the development of rip currents today
along the coasts of Delaware and New Jersey.

A northeast wind around 10 MPH on Wednesday is expected to veer
to the east, then to the southeast. Breaking waves should range
from 1 to 2 feet with a short to medium period swell/wind wave
varying from south to northeast. We will keep the rip current
risk at LOW for Wednesday with the waves remaining rather tame.
However, the risk could approach moderate at times due to the
onshore wind.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Davis
Near Term...Fitzsimmons/Haines/RCM
Short Term...Davis/Fitzsimmons
Long Term...Davis/Gorse
Aviation...Davis/Haines/RCM
Marine...Davis/RCM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

DEZ001-020302-
New Castle-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-020302-
Kent-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-020302-
Inland Sussex-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-020302-
Delaware Beaches-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-020302-
Carbon-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-020302-
Monroe-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-020302-
Berks-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-020302-
Lehigh-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-020302-
Northampton-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-020302-
Delaware-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-020302-
Philadelphia-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-020302-
Western Chester-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-020302-
Eastern Chester-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-020302-
Western Montgomery-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-020302-
Eastern Montgomery-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-020302-
Upper Bucks-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-020302-
Lower Bucks-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-020302-
Sussex-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-020302-
Warren-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-020302-
Morris-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-020302-
Hunterdon-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-020302-
Somerset-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-020302-
Middlesex-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-020302-
Western Monmouth-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-020302-
Eastern Monmouth-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-020302-
Mercer-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-020302-
Salem-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-020302-
Gloucester-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-020302-
Camden-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-020302-
Northwestern Burlington-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-020302-
Ocean-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-020302-
Cumberland-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-020302-
Atlantic-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-020302-
Cape May-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-020302-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-020302-
Coastal Atlantic-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-020302-
Coastal Ocean-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-020302-
Southeastern Burlington-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-020302-
Kent MD-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-020302-
Queen Annes-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-020302-
Talbot-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-020302-
Caroline-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-020302-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-020302-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-020302-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-020302-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-020302-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-020302-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-020302-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-020302-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1102 PM EDT Tue May 31 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1205 AM EDT Wed Jun 1 2022

NJZ001-010500-
Sussex NJ-
1205 AM EDT Wed Jun 1 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Sussex
County through 100 AM EDT...

At 1204 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Greeley, Pennsylvania, or 9 miles northwest of Montague, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Montague, Sussex, Branchville, High Point, Pellettown, Hainesville
and Crandon Lakes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4127 7450 4105 7468 4117 7489 4121 7486
      4123 7487 4124 7486 4129 7483 4135 7475
      4136 7470
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 299DEG 18KT 4139 7493

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Iovino