Special Marine Warning 31, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
301 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will sweep across the Mid Atlantic today
bringing the threat of severe weather to the region. High
pressure will build in on Tuesday. A weak low may cross the region
on Thursday along a warm front. High pressure will build across
the western Atlantic Friday and into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
***Severe Thunderstorm Watch #229 in Effect through 8 PM***

Several waves of strong to severe thunderstorms will affect the area
this afternoon into this evening. The first area associated with an
initial short wave is moving across portions of eastern Pennsylvania
this afternoon, and will continue to move to the east across the
rest of eastern Pennsylvania and portions of central and northern
New Jersey through the afternoon hours. CAPE values have increased
to 1000-2000 J/kg, while shear is around 35-45 knots.  While DCAPE
values are not overly high, less than 500 J/kg, damaging winds are
likely with any severe storm, and with freezing levels/wet-bulb zero
heights around 10,000 feet and ample CAPE above the freezing level,
severe hail will also be possible with some storms. As this activity
continues to progress eastward, another short wave/vorticity impulse
will approach the area from the west and the cold front moves into
the area and likely enhance shower and thunderstorm activity across
the southern half of the area later this afternoon into this
evening. The same is true as farther north, with CAPE values at
least 1000-2000 J/kg, while shear around 35-45 knots, and eventhough
DCAPE values are not overly high, less than 500 J/kg, damaging winds
are likely with any severe storm. Freezing levels/wet-bulb zero
heights are around 10,000 feet here as well with ample CAPE above
the freezing level, severe hail will also be possible with some
storms.

Another concern with the showers and thunderstorms will be the
potential for heavy rainfall. PW values are around 1.5 inches, and
if any storms train, a few isolated areas of flash flooding could be
possible. However, since storms will mostly be moving at a fast
enough easterly speed, widespread flash flooding is not expected.
Mainly ponding on roadways and poor drainage areas that fill in
heavy rainfall is expected.

The showers and thunderstorms are expected to move offshore by
sunset and the rest of the overnight will be dry behind the cold
front. Winds will remain a little gusty for a few hours behind the
front for some areas, but wind gusts will diminish overnight.

On Tuesday, temperatures are forecast to be near or slightly above
normal for most places. A dry forecast is expected, although some
afternoon clouds are expected across the area. Winds will become
gusty by the mid to late morning hours and continue into the
afternoon. Wind gusts could reach 20 to 30 mph for some areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Tuesday night, surface high pressure will approach from the
west with winds rapidly weakening as the PBL decouples. Expect
low temperatures in the mid 40s to lower 50s across the area.

Surface high pressure will move overhead Wednesday with 850 MB
temperatures lowering to around 6 degrees C. This will make
Wednesday the coolest day of the work week with highs mainly in
the upper 60s to low 70s. Clouds will be increasing though as a
shortwave rapidly approaches from the west.

Wednesday night, a warm front will approach the region from the
southwest with a weak surface low forming along the baroclinic
zone. Showers will then move in from the west Wednesday night.
Overall, the track of the surface low appears to be further
north than previously forecast. Expect lows mainly in the 50s
Wednesday night/ Thursday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Most of the overall synoptic pattern in the extended is in
rather good agreement with the GEFS, GEPS, and EPS this morning.
The below normal mid-level heights of Tuesday and Wednesday will
slowly transition to above normal by Friday/ Saturday as the
mid-level ridge amplifies over the western Atlantic. Sunday into
Monday of next week, the sub-tropical ridge will begin to break
down ushering in a break from the very warm temperatures of
Saturday. There does, however, remain substantial variability
in the details of how the evolution of the wave pattern occurs,
and the degree of amplification.

During the day Thursday, the surface warm front will lift north
across the region with showers ongoing initially. As the wave
exits the coast, a brief break in the precipitation is expected
(on the subsident side of the shortwave). However, timing of the
wave remains rather important here though, as a slower
progression would favor another round of showers and
thunderstorms developing Thursday afternoon due to day time
heating. Either way, Thursday doesn't look like a complete
washout, but clouds will be rather widespread with dewpoints
rapidly climbing back towards 60 degrees.

By Friday, temperatures will start to climb with highs in the
mid 80s expected. Dewpoints will also be right back in the mid
60s. The uptick in humidity will be noticeable. On Saturday, the
amplification of the mid-level ridge will take shape with
heights rapidly rising across the region. Expect high
temperatures in the low 90s across the urban corridor. A
surface cold front will then cross the region Sunday with
temperatures falling back towards normal for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

A line of convection from KRDG to KBGM moving ENE and should
impact Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northwestern NJ 18Z to 22Z.
More convection is expected from KTTN to KILG and points south
and east from 19Z to 23Z, including KPHL. G50kt possible with
stronger storms. Ceiling and Vsbys will be VFR for entire period
except 2SM and 2kft deck in convection. Surface winds will
become westerly this evening 10 to 20 knots and continue into
Tuesday.

Outlook...

Tuesday night...VFR. West winds 5 to 15 kts. High confidence.

Wednesday...VFR. Northwest winds winds 5 to 15 kts with gusts
up to 20 kts. High confidence.

Wednesday night and Thursday...Clouds increasing from the west.
VFR initially then slowly lowering to MVFR/ IFR as showers
spread over the region. Southerly winds backing from the
southeast 5 to 10 kts. A slow recovery to VFR possible Thursday
afternoon. Moderate confidence on overall pattern, but low
confidence on where exactly the showers set up.

Friday...Mainly VFR. South winds 5 to 15 kts. Moderate
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Late this afternoon through Tonight...Occasional gusts around 25
knots will continue this afternoon into this evening ahead of an
approaching cold front. Showers and thunderstorms will accompany
this front, which could produce winds in excess of 34 knots. Once
the thunderstorms move through the area, wind gusts will diminish
overnight.

Tuesday...Winds are expected to remain below advisory levels as an
inversion should keep winds 20 knots or less.

Outlook...

Tuesday night...Sub-SCA conditions. West winds around 15 kts
gusting up to 20 kts. Seas 3 to 4 feet.

Wednesday through Friday...Winds and seas are expected to remain
below SCA criteria.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Haines/Robertson
Near Term...Robertson
Short Term...Haines
Long Term...Haines
Aviation...Fitzsimmons/Franklin/Haines
Marine...Fitzsimmons/Haines/Kruzdlo/Robertson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

DEZ001-171746-
New Castle-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-171746-
Kent-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-171746-
Inland Sussex-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-171746-
Delaware Beaches-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-171746-
Carbon-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-171746-
Monroe-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-171746-
Berks-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-171746-
Lehigh-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-171746-
Northampton-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-171746-
Delaware-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-171746-
Philadelphia-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-171746-
Western Chester-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-171746-
Eastern Chester-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-171746-
Western Montgomery-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-171746-
Eastern Montgomery-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-171746-
Upper Bucks-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-171746-
Lower Bucks-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-171746-
Sussex-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-171746-
Warren-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-171746-
Morris-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-171746-
Hunterdon-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-171746-
Somerset-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-171746-
Middlesex-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-171746-
Western Monmouth-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-171746-
Eastern Monmouth-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-171746-
Mercer-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-171746-
Salem-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-171746-
Gloucester-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-171746-
Camden-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-171746-
Northwestern Burlington-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-171746-
Ocean-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-171746-
Cumberland-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-171746-
Atlantic-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-171746-
Cape May-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-171746-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-171746-
Coastal Atlantic-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-171746-
Coastal Ocean-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-171746-
Southeastern Burlington-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-171746-
Kent MD-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-171746-
Queen Annes-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-171746-
Talbot-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-171746-
Caroline-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-171746-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-171746-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-171746-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-171746-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-171746-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-171746-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Areas of fog, some of which could be dense, are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-171746-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-171746-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0146 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
112 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

PAZ054-060-061-161815-
Lehigh PA-Berks PA-Carbon PA-
112 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Berks, northwestern
Lehigh and southwestern Carbon Counties through 215 PM EDT...

At 112 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Pine Grove to near Wernersville. Movement
was northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Allentown, Reading, Wyomissing, Kutztown, Jim Thorpe, Hamburg,
Fleetwood, Sinking Spring, Laureldale, Nesquehoning, Womelsdorf,
Weatherly, Wernersville, Topton, Robesonia, Leesport,
Shoemakersville, Bernville, Lyons and Strausstown.

This includes the following highways...
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 56 and 63.
 Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 14 and 55.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4054 7617 4058 7606 4057 7602 4065 7598
      4070 7583 4074 7576 4083 7590 4091 7599
      4096 7585 4059 7552 4025 7604 4032 7617
      4052 7633
TIME...MOT...LOC 1712Z 229DEG 31KT 4058 7634 4031 7612

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Iovino

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
234 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0229 PM     HAIL             LOWER TOWAMENSING TWP   40.83N 75.52W
05/16/2022  E0.25 INCH       CARBON             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EH

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
332 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             CANADENSIS              41.19N 75.25W
05/16/2022  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             PA   PUBLIC

&&

EH