Alert archive / Alabama / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Mobile, AL

January 9, 2022Wilcox County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 9, 2022, 2:57 PM CST for Wilcox County, Alabama. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 9, 2022, 2:57 PM CST (20:57 UTC)
Expired: Jan 9, 2022, 3:45 PM CST
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Wilcox County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 9, 10:42 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 751 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 476 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 553 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

329 
WUUS54 KMOB 092057
SVRMOB
ALC131-092145-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SV.W.0007.220109T2057Z-220109T2145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
257 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Wilcox County in south central Alabama...

* Until 345 PM CST.

* At 257 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest
  of Camden, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  central Wilcox County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for south central
Alabama.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for south central
Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3214 8728 3215 8727 3214 8725 3212 8726
      3212 8725 3210 8723 3208 8719 3207 8719
      3205 8718 3205 8707 3198 8711 3202 8748
      3216 8748 3217 8730
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 271DEG 20KT 3209 8739 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Black

2 follow-up statements

688 
WWUS54 KMOB 092111
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
311 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

ALC131-092145-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220109T2145Z/
Wilcox AL-
311 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL WILCOX COUNTY...

At 311 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles north of
Camden, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
central Wilcox County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for south central
Alabama.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3214 8728 3215 8727 3214 8725 3212 8726
      3212 8725 3210 8723 3208 8719 3207 8719
      3205 8718 3205 8707 3199 8710 3202 8733
      3216 8733 3217 8730
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 271DEG 20KT 3209 8729 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Black

322 
WWUS54 KMOB 092139
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
339 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

ALC131-092148-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-220109T2145Z/
Wilcox AL-
339 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL WILCOX COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 345 PM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain is still possible with this
thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for south central
Alabama.

LAT...LON 3214 8728 3215 8727 3214 8725 3212 8726
      3212 8725 3210 8723 3208 8719 3207 8719
      3205 8718 3205 8707 3199 8710 3202 8733
      3216 8733 3217 8730
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 271DEG 20KT 3209 8712 

$$

Black

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 9, 2:05 PM CST, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 2:05 PM CST, 52 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
205 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Monday/...A large positively-tilted upper-
level trough is currently located over the north-central Plains. Its
elongated axis extends from the base of the trough (over
Wisconsin/Illinois) southwestward towards Arizona. Additionally, a
lead shortwave trough is currently moving across Mississippi.
Throughout the remainder of the period, the large trough will
continue shifting eastward. Although the main energy associated with
the trough moves off the Eastern Seaboard by Monday afternoon, the
axis, which almost takes on a E-W orientation, finally passes over
our region by early Tuesday morning, giving way to northwesterly
flow aloft. At the surface, a strong cold front located over the
ArkLaTex region and will start pushing through our area by evening,
eventually clearing our area a little after midnight. Behind the
front, high pressure will build in, giving way to a cooler, drier
day on Monday.

There will be two rounds of convection that will occur throughout
the day today... one occurring now, in association with the
upper-level shortwave, and the second in the evening, in
association with the cold front. For the first round, clusters of
storms have developed over southeastern MS and have started moving
across our northwestern counties. Additional storms are also
developing offshore and are moving northeast. With mid-level lapse
rates around 7C/km and surface temperatures warming into the mid
70s, instability has increased across the area. Current MLCAPE
values of 1000-1500 J/kg may try to increase to around 2000 J/kg
(as per the HRRR) throughout the next couple of hours. 0-6km Bulk
shear values range from 30kts south to 40kts across our
northwestern counties. Latest LIX sounding also suggests some mid-
level dry air is present as well, giving way to DCAPE values of
around 500-600 J/kg. Finally, 0-3km SRH values of 200-250 m2/s2 is
also present. With these in place, storms have the potential to
become severe, with the concerns being damaging wind gusts, up to
quarter-sized hail, and a few brief tornadoes. A Tornado Watch is
in effect until 6pm for our northwestern counties, where these
ingredients are currently maximized.

The second round will consist of a broken line of showers and
thunderstorms out ahead of the cold front. This line will approach
our western counties during the early evening hours and will push
through the area by midnight. CAMs suggest that instability will
still be present as the line approaches, with MLCAPE values
remaining around 1500 J/kg. Shear does become more unidirectional as
the front moves through and SRH values lower to below 150 m2/s2.
Therefore, the main concern with this round will be isolated storms
producing damaging wind gusts, however, will not rule out other
hazards at this time.

After the front passes, cold air advection takes over and pushes in
a much cooler, drier air mass. Any lingering shower and thunderstorm
activity will quickly taper off by midnight for areas west if I-65,
and during the early morning hours for areas east. Some patchy sea
fog may try to develop late this afternoon and spread into coastal
counties this evening, but will quickly dissipate after the front's
passage. Tonight's lows will range from the mid to upper 30s in the
far northwestern counties (thanks to earlier passage of the cold
front) to upper 40s to lower 50s for southeastern counties. Monday's
highs will mainly be in the 50s areawide thanks to gusty northerly
winds and some lingering cloud cover. Finally, a HIGH RISK of rip
currents remains in effect through Monday evening. /96

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...MVFR to occasionally IFR ceilings continue throughout
the afternoon. Shower and thunderstorm activity will increase
throughout the day as a cold front approaches the region. Ceilings
and visibilities may temporarily lower in some of the heavier
activity. Additionally, a few thunderstorms may be strong to severe
and capable of producing strong wind gusts. Once the front passes
tonight, winds will quickly shift from southerly to northerly and
will increase to 10-15kts with gusts as high as 20-25kts. Low IFR
ceilings will linger throughout the early morning hours. /96

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight CST
     Monday night for GMZ630-633>636.

     Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to noon CST Tuesday
     for GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 1:14 PM CST, 1 hour 43 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
114 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

MSZ067-075-092000-
Perry MS-Wayne MS-
114 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Perry
and southwestern Wayne Counties through 200 PM CST...

At 114 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 5 miles southeast of Ovett, or 7 miles north of
Richton, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Perry
and southwestern Wayne Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8894 3149 8894 3156 8868 3154 8862
      3150 8860 3143 8862 3143 8884 3140 8884
      3138 8897 3143 8899
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 256DEG 22KT 3145 8895

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Black

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 1:21 PM CST, 1 hour 36 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
121 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

ALZ264-FLZ201-203-092000-
Baldwin Central AL-Escambia Inland FL-Santa Rosa Inland FL-
121 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Baldwin, west central Santa Rosa and northwestern Escambia Counties
through 200 PM CST...

At 121 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 13 miles west of Molino, or 14 miles northeast of
Loxley, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central
Baldwin, west central Santa Rosa and northwestern Escambia Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3066 8755 3071 8759 3090 8740 3090 8730
      3086 8724 3076 8726
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 229DEG 23KT 3070 8754

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Black

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 1:43 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
143 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

MSZ075-076-092030-
Perry MS-Greene MS-
143 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Perry and
west central Greene Counties through 230 PM CST...

At 143 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 4 miles west of New Augusta, or 13 miles
southeast of Petal, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
New Augusta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 8886 3134 8878 3127 8875 3121 8879
      3116 8914 3122 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 247DEG 22KT 3120 8910

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Black

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 1:49 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
149 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

ALZ052-053-092030-
Clarke AL-Washington AL-
149 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Washington and central Clarke Counties through 230 PM CST...

At 148 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over Chatom, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Chatom, Saint Stephens and Leroy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8828 3147 8829 3167 8791 3166 8784
      3161 8778 3152 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 244DEG 26KT 3148 8821

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Black

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 2:02 PM CST, 55 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
202 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

MSZ075-078-092045-
Stone MS-Perry MS-
202 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Perry and
northwestern Stone Counties through 245 PM CST...

At 202 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm near Maxie, or 6 miles northwest of Wiggins,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southern Perry and
northwestern Stone Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8914 3100 8914 3109 8889 3108 8884
      3093 8883 3085 8932 3091 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 251DEG 26KT 3093 8919

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Black

Special weather statement, Jan 9, 2:51 PM CST, 6 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
251 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

ALZ054-092130-
Wilcox AL-
251 PM CST Sun Jan 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Wilcox
County through 330 PM CST...

At 251 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 5 miles southwest of Yellow Bluff, or 11 miles
east of Thomasville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Camden and Yellow Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for south central
Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3202 8706 3197 8703 3188 8703 3185 8761
      3194 8764 3205 8714
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 258DEG 33KT 3190 8755

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Black

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 9, 3:04 AM CST	Small Craft Advisory	MOB		57 hr
Jan 9, 12:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw	54 min
Jan 9, 1:02 PM CST	Special Marine Warning	MOB		60 min
Jan 9, 1:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw	14 min
Jan 9, 1:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Washington	46 min
Jan 9, 1:49 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Washington	41 min
Jan 9, 1:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Clarke, Washington	48 min
Jan 9, 2:16 PM CST	Tornado Warning	MOB	Clarke, Washington	29 min
Jan 9, 2:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Washington	41 min
Jan 9, 2:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Washington	46 min
Jan 9, 2:45 PM CST	Tornado Warning	MOB	Clarke	14 min
Jan 9, 2:51 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Wilcox	39 min
Jan 9, 3:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Butler, Monroe	41 min
Jan 9, 3:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Conecuh, Monroe	36 min
Jan 9, 3:36 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Butler	39 min
Jan 9, 3:50 PM CST	Tornado Warning	MOB	Conecuh, Monroe	25 min
Jan 9, 4:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh	47 min
Jan 9, 4:16 PM CST	Tornado Warning	MOB	Crenshaw	11 min
Jan 9, 4:25 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Washington	50 min
Jan 9, 4:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Washington	65 min
Jan 9, 4:42 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Crenshaw	18 min
Jan 9, 4:47 PM CST	Tornado Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh, Covington	43 min
Jan 9, 4:56 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	MOB	Butler, Conecuh, Covington	49 min
Jan 9, 5:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	MOB	Butler, Crenshaw	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Alabama, 2022 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.