Severe Thunderstorm Warning 159, NWS Mobile, AL

224 
WWUS54 KMOB 151934
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
234 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

FLC091-152000-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0159.000000T0000Z-220515T2000Z/
Okaloosa FL-
234 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY...

At 233 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Valparaiso,
moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wright, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Eglin AFB, Valparaiso, Mary
Esther, Ocean City, Lake Lorraine, Shalimar and Cinco Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3039 8668 3058 8668 3069 8639 3044 8639
      3038 8654
TIME...MOT...LOC 1933Z 055DEG 12KT 3055 8654 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CGAL

426 
WWUS54 KMOB 151949
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
249 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

FLC091-152000-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0159.000000T0000Z-220515T2000Z/
Okaloosa FL-
249 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY...

At 248 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles north of
Wright, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wright, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Eglin AFB, Valparaiso, Mary
Esther, Ocean City, Lake Lorraine, Shalimar and Cinco Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3039 8668 3058 8668 3064 8652 3042 8644
      3038 8654
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 059DEG 14KT 3051 8661 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

CGAL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1247 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Monday/...Mid to upper level troughing
persists across the region today before shifting slightly east
going into Monday. Once again we will see afternoon and evening
showers and thunderstorms popping off along the seabreeze boundary
as it moves inland this afternoon and evening, likely lingering
into the late evening hours. Shear remains modest in the 20 to
25kt range, perhaps locally enhanced to nearer 30kts in
association with the seabreeze boundary. CAPE will be in the 2,000
to 2,500j/kg range with DCAPE values of 800 to 1,100j/kg. Any
showers and storms that develop today once again will have the
chance to become strong to severe sporting large hail and damaging
wind gusts in any of the more robust convection. This is
particularly true in any cases where storm mergers are involved.
Temperatures are topping out in the upper 80's to lower 90's today
with temperatures falling into the middle to upper 60's tonight.

Heading into Monday our trough shifts east some and transient
shortwave ridging moves overhead in the mid to upper levels. This
should help induce some subsidence over the area and help keep
convective coverage more limited across the area during the
afternoon hours. Once again though can't rule out an isolated
shower or thunderstorm owing to daytime heating or the seabreeze
boundary. High temperatures will likely reach the lower 90's for
most locations.

As has been the case the past couple days, monitoring how
convection evolves upstream across MO/AR this afternoon for a
complex of thunderstorms that develops and moves quickly
southeast. This should begin to fizzle out as it moves across
northern MS into AL after sunset given loss of daytime heating
and subsequently SBCAPE. Will continue to watch as forecast
guidance often has a difficult time in these regimes diagnosing
the evolution of these convective complexes even with a 12 to 24
hour lead time.

A low risk of rip currents remains in place through Monday. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...VFR conditions prevail today into tonight outside
of showers and thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms may reduce
ceilings and visibility at times. Best chance for this would be in
the vicinity of the I-10 corridor. A seabreeze boundary lifts
north this afternoon and will shift winds from light and variable
to southerly around 10 to 15kts, mainly across coastal counties of
AL/FL. The seabreeze should begin moving inland between 18 to 19z.
MM/25

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
132 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

FLZ205-206-151915-
Okaloosa Inland FL-Okaloosa Coastal FL-
132 PM CDT Sun May 15 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Okaloosa
County through 215 PM CDT...

At 132 PM CDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 4 miles northwest of
Eglin Air Force Base to 7 miles north of Santa Rosa Beach. Movement
was southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Niceville, Destin, Eglin AFB, Valparaiso, Lake Lorraine and Shalimar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3039 8660 3040 8660 3040 8656 3043 8656
      3043 8659 3046 8660 3044 8660 3042 8659
      3059 8672 3070 8639 3045 8639 3045 8642
      3040 8642 3040 8639 3038 8640
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 065DEG 8KT 3064 8635 3049 8626

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

CGAL