Severe Thunderstorm Warning 90, NWS Milwaukee, WI

805 
WWUS53 KMKX 240804
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
304 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

WIC055-240814-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-220724T0900Z/
Jefferson WI-
304 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened. Therefore, the 
warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southeastern Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4295 8844 4307 8787 4302 8790 4296 8785
      4285 8783 4278 8775 4261 8782 4249 8780
      4250 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0804Z 260DEG 38KT 4292 8831 4278 8829 4251 8843 

$$

WIC059-079-101-127-133-240900-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-220724T0900Z/
Milwaukee WI-Walworth WI-Racine WI-Waukesha WI-Kenosha WI-
304 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR MILWAUKEE...WALWORTH...RACINE...SOUTHERN WAUKESHA AND KENOSHA
COUNTIES...

At 304 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Vernon to near Rochester to near Hebron, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Milwaukee, Kenosha, Racine, Waukesha, West Allis, New Berlin,
Greenfield, Oak Creek, Mount Pleasant, Muskego, South Milwaukee,
Pleasant Prairie, Cudahy, Greendale, Elkhorn, St. Francis, Delavan,
Hales Corners, Lake Geneva and Mukwonago.

People attending Country Thunder in Twin Lakes , SA: Wisconsin State
Fair Park , Konkel Park , and The Milwaukee Air and Water Show
should seek safe shelter immediately!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4295 8844 4307 8787 4302 8790 4296 8785
      4285 8783 4278 8775 4261 8782 4249 8780
      4250 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0804Z 260DEG 38KT 4292 8831 4278 8829 4251 8843 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

WAGNER

247 
WWUS53 KMKX 240819
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
319 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

WIC079-133-240829-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-220724T0900Z/
Milwaukee WI-Waukesha WI-
319 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MILWAUKEE AND SOUTHERN
WAUKESHA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened. Therefore, the 
warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southeastern Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4250 8863 4284 8833 4284 8782 4278 8775
      4276 8777 4274 8777 4267 8780 4266 8781
      4261 8782 4249 8780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0819Z 257DEG 37KT 4279 8816 4252 8830 

$$

WIC059-101-127-240900-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-220724T0900Z/
Walworth WI-Racine WI-Kenosha WI-
319 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN WALWORTH...RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES...

At 319 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Wind Lake to Genoa City, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Kenosha, Racine, Mount Pleasant, Pleasant Prairie, Lake Geneva,
Sturtevant, Union Grove, Paddock Lake, Williams Bay, Camp Lake, Wind
Lake, Twin Lakes, Rochester, Raymond, Wheatland, Yorkville, Genoa
City, Walworth, Silver Lake and Wind Point.

People attending Country Thunder in Twin Lakes  should seek safe
shelter immediately!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4250 8863 4284 8833 4284 8782 4278 8775
      4276 8777 4274 8777 4267 8780 4266 8781
      4261 8782 4249 8780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0819Z 257DEG 37KT 4279 8816 4252 8830 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

WAGNER

153 
WWUS53 KMKX 240836
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
336 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

WIC059-101-127-240846-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-220724T0900Z/
Walworth WI-Racine WI-Kenosha WI-
336 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WALWORTH...RACINE AND
KENOSHA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southeastern Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4250 8863 4284 8833 4284 8782 4278 8775
      4276 8777 4274 8777 4267 8780 4266 8781
      4261 8782 4249 8780
TIME...MOT...LOC 0835Z 254DEG 40KT 4284 8792 4257 8806 

$$

WAGNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
947 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

.UPDATE...
(Issued 947 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022)

Behind the first round of storms additional convection is firing
up with the 850-700mb warm air advection and associated lift with
the 850 jet ahead will continue thunderstorm chances across the
area. With 1000-3000 J/kg of MUCAPE, 45-55 knots of 0-6km shear,
and precipitable water values around 2 inches. Severe storms with
large hail and gusty winds along with heavy rainfall will remain
possible overnight. There is still the chance for an isolated
tornado with SRH values highest in the western half of the CWA.
Storms will diminish as the front moves through Sunday morning.

RAH

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Issued 254 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022)

Tonight and Sunday:

All of the focus is on how the severe event unfolds this afternoon
and evening. Things are still looking on track and we're expecting
to get put into a watch in the next hour or so. Here are the
latest thoughts.

Latest mesoanalysis shows a multicell cluster of storms in
southeast MN/north central IA which have formed along the nose of
a 6000 J/kg SBCAPE axis that arcs from that area down into
northwest IL. These storms have at times had some rotation with
them, but things haven't organized quite yet into well developed
system. The expectation is that these storms are the focus for
what will develop into a line and then roll through southern
Wisconsin late this afternoon on into tonight.

The 23.18z RAP (and previous runs) have had a good handle on the
current situation and have been fairly consistent with the picture
it paints for this afternoon/evening. The expectation is that
stronger low level flow will kick in over the next couple of
hours, which will help advect the surface/low level warm front
northward from its current position on up into southern Wisconsin.
By 24.00z tonight, the warm front is expected to align from near
La Crosse east toward the Dells and then dropping southeast toward
northeast IL. Deep layer 0-6km shear is already decent and in
place due to some 35-45kt winds in place at 500mb. Low level wind
shear is expected to increase through the evening hours as the low
level jet strengthens out of the southwest. 0-1km wind shear is in
a bit of lull over southern WI at the moment, but 0-3km is okay at
25-30kts out of the west-northwest. Again, that is forecast to
increase as the storms arrive into southern Wisconsin this evening
which will lead to a better environment for mesovort production if
the QLCS is at it's peak intensity.

What could lead to this possibly not happening? Well, there's some
high level anvil blowoff from the current convection in MN/IA that
has lead to temperatures being a bit 'cooler' in that area.
However, with the LLJ cranking up and feeding into the storms, it
doesn't look like that will affect things much. Other than that,
there's not much to say this won't happen. If anything, it's just
a matter of where it goes. The past few runs of the HRRR have come
in line with our thinking here that the complex will start off
going east but then will follow the better instability to its
southwest and dig southeast through southeast WI toward the
evening. Some of the other CAMS/NAM-nest have hinted at more of a
direct east propagation as a result of it pushing the warm
front way further north.

Once the complex gets a bit organized, it is expected to
accelerate across southern WI. The main thing we'll be watching
for with mesovort development is if the line can keep up with its
outflow. Also, the HRRR has been showing a 'tag line' of weaker
convection leading into the line which could highlight the warm
front and where there would be a higher potential for mesovort
development.

Otherwise, beyond the main show there does look to be a period of
more unorganzied convection occurring across southern WI due to
the low level jet remaining strong and out of the southwest
overnight. This could lead to some heavy rainfall and localized
flash flooding with PWs up around 2". This show should come to an
end tomorrow morning as the cold front pushes in.

Sunday through Sunday night:

Cold front will be shifting off to the southeast. Some lingering
showers or storms may still be in the area at the outset before
trending out of SE WI but the bulk should have shifted out of the
area. Otherwise cool and dry advection will get underway ahead of
high pressure working in from the west.

Halbach

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Issued 254 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022)

Monday through Tuesday:

Quiet weather pattern will continue this period with low level
thermal trough dominating for Monday. We will start to see a warm
air advection regime take hold later Monday night with low level
warm axis becoming established for Tuesday.

Tuesday night through Wednesday:

The next weather maker arrives Tuesday night as a mid level wave
combined with a surface boundary generate the potential for more
showers/thunderstorms. The best chance will be in the west late
with the chances expanding across the remainder of the area on
Wednesday.

Thursday through Saturday:

A generally quiet period is expected once again with high pressure
gradually working into the area.

Halbach

&&

.AVIATION...
(Issued 947 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022)

Thunderstorm chances will continue through the overnight with the
potential for a few severe storms with strong winds and large hail
possible. IFR to MVFR conditions will be possible with any storm
due to lower ceilings and visibilities due to heavy rainfall.

Storms will clear with the front Sunday morning as winds shift to
the northwest. As the front moves through we could see a period of
MVFR ceilings around 1500 feet before they clear out for the
afternoon.

RAH

&&

.MARINE...
(Issued 254 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022)

Main concern is with the potential for a squall line with intense
winds rolling across the lake this evening. The southern to
central half of the lake is the most likely area to see these
potentially high winds. Otherwise, winds are expected to swing
around to the northwest behind the cold front that passes tonight.

Halbach

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...None.
&&

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
953 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-250300-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
953 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will continue overnight into early Sunday
morning before the front moves through. Severe storms will remain
possible with 60 mph winds and quarter size hail as the main
hazards. Locally heavy rainfall from storms may cause flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Saturday

There are chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed tonight.

LMZ643>646-250300-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
953 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Storms remain possible overnight with the potential for severe
storms producing 50 knot winds and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Saturday

There are chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-250300-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
953 PM CDT Sat Jul 23 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Storms remain possible overnight with the potential for severe
storms producing 50 knot winds and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Saturday

There are chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday.

www.weather.gov/mkx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
207 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

WIZ046-047-051-057-058-063-064-240800-
Dodge WI-Columbia WI-Green Lake WI-Marquette WI-Fond Du Lac WI-
Jefferson WI-Dane WI-
207 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Green Lake, western
Fond du Lac, Columbia, northeastern Dane, Marquette, northwestern
Jefferson and western Dodge Counties through 300 AM CDT...

At 207 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles northwest of Portage to near Fall River
to near Deerfield. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Eastern Madison, Sun Prairie, Watertown, Beaver Dam, Waupun, Portage,
Ripon, Windsor, Berlin, Columbus, Marshall, Waterloo, Juneau,
Deforest, Cottage Grove, Poynette, Pardeeville, Randolph, Fall River
and Montello.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
south central and southeastern Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4390 8888 4390 8857 4321 8873 4306 8927
      4341 8941 4354 8960 4356 8961 4356 8964
      4363 8974 4364 8973 4364 8960 4398 8960
      4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0707Z 232DEG 41KT 4363 8959 4340 8914 4301 8914

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

WAGNER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
211 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ENE MONTICELLO        42.78N 89.51W
07/24/2022                   GREEN              WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER OUTAGES ACROSS NORTHERN GREEN COUNTY
            AND SOUTHERN DANE COUNTY.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
219 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     TSTM WND GST     PARDEEVILLE             43.54N 89.30W
07/24/2022  E55 MPH          COLUMBIA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 50 TO 55 MPH WINDS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
227 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0226 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE ROCK SPRINGS       43.51N 89.88W
07/24/2022                   SAUK               WI   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS SAUK COUNTY FROM
            BOTH ROUNDS OF STORMS OVER THE PAST HOUR.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
227 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

WIZ052-240800-
Sheboygan WI-
227 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Sheboygan County through 300 AM CDT...

At 227 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Sheboygan, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Sheboygan, Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Kohler, Waldo and Haven.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4368 8770 4367 8771 4367 8795 4389 8786
      4389 8774 4385 8773 4381 8773 4376 8770
      4372 8771 4370 8770
TIME...MOT...LOC 0727Z 249DEG 27KT 4378 8772

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

WAGNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
229 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

WIZ052-059-060-240815-
Sheboygan WI-Washington WI-Ozaukee WI-
229 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Ozaukee, Washington
and southern Sheboygan Counties through 315 AM CDT...

At 229 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Newburg, or near West Bend, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
West Bend, Mequon, Hartford, Grafton, Cedarburg, Port Washington,
Jackson, Slinger, Saukville, Thiensville, Germantown, Oostburg,
Belgium, Fredonia, Cedar Grove, Random Lake, Newburg, Richfield,
Cascade and Adell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4356 8779 4346 8780 4337 8788 4326 8791
      4320 8790 4328 8836 4337 8840 4354 8816
      4368 8802 4368 8771
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 234DEG 34KT 4340 8807

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

WAGNER