Tornado Warning 28, NWS Jacksonville, FL

329 
WWUS52 KJAX 101658
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1158 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

GAC039-101715-
/O.CON.KJAX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-221110T1715Z/
Camden GA-
1158 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
CAMDEN COUNTY...
    
At 1157 AM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles east of Woodbine, moving west at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Woodbine around 1215 PM EST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Colesburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3089 8156 3093 8182 3110 8176 3097 8151
      3090 8150
TIME...MOT...LOC 1657Z 107DEG 30KT 3093 8158 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

SHASHY

938 
WWUS52 KJAX 101708
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1208 PM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

GAC039-101718-
/O.EXP.KJAX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-221110T1715Z/
Camden GA-
1208 PM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1215
PM EST...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened, and no longer 
appears capable of producing a tornado. Therefore, the warning will 
be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM EST for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3089 8156 3093 8182 3110 8176 3097 8151
      3090 8150
TIME...MOT...LOC 1708Z 107DEG 50KT 3096 8171 

$$

SHASHY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1108 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

.UPDATE...

Tropical storm force winds, showers, thunderstorms, and possible
isolated tornados will continue to develop across the forecast
area today as Tropical Storm Nicole moves towards the Florida
peninsula's west coast before turning northward. Powerful winds,
storm surge flooding, and beach erosion are occuring as a result
of this storm with flooding along beaches occuring in tandem with
the high tide. Localized flooding and wind damage are possible
today through Friday, with an additional 2 to 4 inches of rainfall
possible.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [659 AM EST]...

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Friday)
Issued at 426 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

The focus this period will be on Tropical Cyclone named Nicole.

Nicole will track northwest across central FL this morning. Then
continue to track northwest toward Tallahassee this afternoon,
before turning more to the north Tonight, then northeast Friday.

As for Tornado potential, a surge of moisture and instability will
come up the right side of the storm into coastal NE FL this morning.
This is where the greatest chance for Tornadoes will be this AM. As
the storm travels to the west of the forecast area this afternoon
and evening, tornado chances will spread across the forecast area.

Coastal hazards will continue through Today, then begin to subside
Tonight. Flooding along the St Johns river will also be expected
this period.

The greatest Areal flooding potential will be focused around the
St Johns river basin, where any rainfall will enhance flooding from
surge and trapped tides. Could also see localized flooding from
rainfall in flood prone areas across region.

The swath of elevated winds will be across the area Today into
Tonight, with a decreasing trend during the overnight hours. The
strongest winds will be at the coast.

On Friday, as the storm moves quickly away to the north northeast,
the systems trailing cold front will linger over the area. While
conditions will improve rapidly across area Friday, the chance for
precipitation will linger into the early afternoon due to the
trailing front.

Temperatures this period will trend above normal.

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday night through Saturday night)
Issued at 426 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

A secondary cold front extending from remnants of Nicole Friday
night, will be just northwest of the area. This front is expected
to slowly move southeast across forecast area Saturday into
Saturday night, as strong high pressure builds from the northwest.
This boundary will keep clouds in the forecast this period. A dry
frontal passage is currently forecast given drier air in place,
but the chance will not be zero. A few spotty showers on this
boundary can not be ruled out.

Temperatures Friday night and Saturday will be above normal, while
Saturday night lows will be closer to seasonal averages.

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 426 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

Strong high pressure will build to the north Sunday through Monday,
then more to the northeast Tuesday.

An area of low pressure is expected to track east along the Gulf
coast Tuesday, then weaken as it moves to the northeast through
Wednesday.

Dry weather is expected for Sunday and Monday, but chances will
return for Monday night and Tuesday. These chances will both be
associated with gulf low, as well as from coastal showers.

With a cool and dry flow from the north on Sunday, highs will be
below normal. Readings will be quite cool Sunday night as well, with
a little patchy frost possible inland SE GA. Temperatures will be a
little warmer on Monday, but still below seasonal averages. Near
normal readings are then expected for Monday night through
Wednesday.

.AVIATION...
[Through 12Z Friday]

IFR ceilings will be in place through the morning and into the
early afternoon as TS Nicole progresses across the Florida
peninsula. Winds will range 20-30 knots with gusts 30-40 knots
for most of the sites through the forecast period, with higher
winds at the immediate coastal sites 35-40 knots and gusts of
45-50 knots at SGJ 12-18Z with 35-40 knots and gusts up to 40-45
knots possible at SSI 14-23Z. Showers with possible thunderstorms
will pass through the forecast area today with winds, showers,
and storms becoming more diminished for southern locations as
Nicole moves northward towards the end of the forecast period.

.MARINE...
Issued at 426 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

Tropical Cyclone named Nicole will move northwest across FL
Today, then make a turn more toward the north Tonight and
northeast Friday. Elevated conditions associated with Nicole will
be expected through Friday night. A cold front will move southeast
across area Saturday into Saturday night, with high pressure
building to the northwest then north on Sunday. High pressure will
be to the north through Monday, then to the northeast Tuesday.

Rip Currents: High Risk through Friday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  73  68  75  60  77 /  90  90  60   0   0
SSI  75  70  79  64  77 /  90  60  50   0   0
JAX  76  69  81  63  80 / 100  60  40   0   0
SGJ  79  69  81  64  79 / 100  30  30   0   0
GNV  75  68  79  63  79 / 100  60  30   0   0
OCF  77  69  80  64  80 / 100  70  30   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...GA...AM...&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1129 AM EST THU NOV 10 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TROPICAL STORM   1 ESE JACKSONVILLE      30.32N 81.64W
11/10/2022                   DUVAL              FL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 1323W 1.3 SE JACKSONVILLE
            (WEATHERSTEM) MEASURED WIND GUST OF 55 MPH.

&&

PK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1130 AM EST THU NOV 10 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1024 AM     TROPICAL STORM   2 S SAINT SIMONS        31.15N 81.38W
11/10/2022                   GLYNN              GA   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KSSI BRUNSWICK MEASURED WIND
            GUST OF 53 MPH.

&&

PK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1138 AM EST THU NOV 10 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 AM     STORM SURGE      BRUNSWICK               31.15N 81.48W
11/10/2022                   GLYNN              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER THE ROAD ON GLOUCESTER ST. AND
            LANIER BLVD. WATER IS ALSO OVER THE ROAD ON
            LANIER BLVD NEAR PRINCE STREET TO NEAR THE
            GLYNN COUNTY MIDDLE SCHOOL.

&&

SANDRIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1142 AM EST THU NOV 10 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1141 AM     STORM SURGE      VILANO BEACH            29.94N 81.30W
11/10/2022                   ST. JOHNS          FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STATE ROAD A1A IS UNDERMINED AND PARTLY
            COLLAPSED ON THE NORTH BOUND LANE.

&&

SANDRIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1147 AM EST THU NOV 10 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1146 AM     STORM SURGE      DOCK JUNCTION           31.20N 81.52W
11/10/2022                   GLYNN              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BLYTHE ISLAND PARKWAY, STORM SURGE WATER
            OVER THE ROADWAY.

&&

SANDRIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1149 AM EST THU NOV 10 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1108 AM     STORM SURGE      2 SSE MARINELAND        29.63N 81.20W
11/10/2022                   FLAGLER            FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODING IN PALM COAST NEAR WASHINGTON OAKS
            GARDENS STATE PARK AND A1A. PHOTOS ON
            TWITTER.

&&

PK