Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 37, NWS Jackson, MS

March 30, 2022Hinds County, Rankin County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Mar 30, 2022, 4:23 PM CDT for Hinds County, Rankin County, Mississippi. It was in force for 52 min. 29 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2022, 4:23 PM CDT (21:23 UTC)
Expired
Mar 30, 2022, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
52 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Hinds County, MS, Rankin County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 30, 4:26 PM CDTTORNADO7 Sse Raymond, MSAT THE START OF THE TORNADO AND EARLY PARTS OF THE PATH WERE A FEW DOWNED OR DAMAGED TREES. TREE DAMAGE INCREASED A BIT ALONG KIMBELL ROAD AS THE TORNADO MOVED QUICKLY NORTHEAST. THE TORNADO PEAKED IN INTENSITY IN THE WOODED AREA CROSSING RHOADS CREEK. ALONG N
Mar 30, 4:28 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG4 E Raymond, MSLARGE PINE TREE ACROSS JACKSON RAYMOND RD ON A VEHICLE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
Mar 30, 4:28 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG6 Nw Terry, MSTREE DOWNED AT KIMBELL AND MCWILLIAMS. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
Mar 30, 4:31 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG6 Sw Forest Hill, MSREPORT FROM MPING OF WIND DAMAGE SIMILAR TO BROKEN 1 INCH TREE LIMBS, OR SHINGLES BLOWN OFF. POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE.
Mar 30, 4:31 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG6 Sw Forest Hill, MSREPORT FROM MPING OF WIND DAMAGE SIMILAR TO BROKEN 3 INCH TREE LIMBS, OR POWER POLES BROKEN. POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE.
Mar 30, 4:33 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG4 Wnw Byram, MSUTILITY POLES AND A TREE DOWNED AT DAVIS RD PARK. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
Mar 30, 4:35 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Forest Hill, MSMINOR ROOF DAMAGE ON CARRIAGE HILLS DR AND CEDARWOOD DR.
Mar 30, 4:37 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGForest Hill, MSROOF DAMAGE TO MULTIPLE HOMES ON PLUMMER CIR. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
Mar 30, 4:37 PM CDTTORNADO1 Ene Forest Hill, MSTREE DOWNED AT ROBINSON RD AND COLONY SQUARE.
Mar 30, 4:37 PM CDTTORNADO1 N Forest Hill, MSTORNADO CONFIRMED BY SKY CAMERA ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF JACKSON AND ALSO HEARD IN THE AREA.
Mar 30, 4:39 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Ssw Hawkins Field, MSTREE DOWNED AT LINDSEY AND MCCAIN.
Mar 30, 4:39 PM CDTTORNADO2 Ene Forest Hill, MSTREE SNAPPED ALONG DORGAN ST.
Mar 30, 4:40 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 S Hawkins Field, MSA STEEPLE WAS BLOWN OFF A CHURCH AT ROBINSON AND ELLIS.
Mar 30, 4:41 PM CDTTORNADO3 Wsw Jackson, MSTHIS TORNADO STARTED AT ELLIS AVENUE AND RAYMOND ROAD AND TRACKED ENE ACROSS BATTLEFIELD PARK AND SOUTH JACKSON. MINOR TREE DAMAGE WAS NOTED IN THE INITIAL PART OF THE TRACK. THE TORNADO INCREASED IN INTENSITY AS IT CROSSED INTERSTATE 20 AND MOVED INTO THE BAT
Mar 30, 4:42 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 58Jan Airport, MSOBSERVED AT THE JAN ASOS.
Mar 30, 4:43 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Nw Jackson, MSTREE DOWNED ON A HOUSE ON CAMPBELL ST.
Mar 30, 4:43 PM CDTTORNADO1 E Hawkins Field, MSTHIS EF1 TORNADO BEGAN NEAR MEDGAR EVERS BLVD NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH POCAHONTAS AVE AND TRACKED EASTWARD THROUGH THE CITY OF JACKSON, PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE AND SPORADIC ROOF AND MOSTLY MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE EXCEPT WHERE DOWNED TREES RESULTED IN GREATER D
Mar 30, 4:43 PM CDTTORNADO1 Sw Jackson, MSTREES DOWNED ON SUMMER ST, STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ON GALLATIN ST, SEVERAL TREES DOWNED IN BATTLEFIELD PARK.
Mar 30, 4:43 PM CDTTORNADO1 Sw Jackson, MSUTILITY POLE DOWNED AT UNIVERSITY AND DAUN.
Mar 30, 4:44 PM CDTTORNADO1 Sse Jackson, MSBUILDING DAMAGE AT SILAS BROWN AND JEFFERSON.
Mar 30, 4:44 PM CDTTORNADO1 Sse Jackson, MSUPDATES PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 1 SSE JACKSON. BUILDING DAMAGE AT SILAS BROWN AND JEFFERSON, TREES DOWN ON COMMERCE ST, LARGE TREE DOWN AT SILAS BROWN AND CONGRESS.
Mar 30, 4:44 PM CDTTORNADOJackson, MSTIN FROM A ROOF WAS BLOWN INTO THE ROAD AT CONGRESS AND TOMBIGBEE.
Mar 30, 4:44 PM CDTTORNADOJackson, MSTREE DOWNED ON THE CENTRAL FIRE STATION.
Mar 30, 4:54 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Nne Jan Airport, MSLARGE TREE DOWN CAUSING DAMAGE TO FENCE ON BAYBERRY DRIVE IN LAURELWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD.
Mar 30, 4:55 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Nne Jan Airport, MSSEVERAL SHINGLES PEELED BACK ON A ROOF, ALONG WITH MINOR DAMAGE TO A WOODEN GATE AT A HOME ON BAY BRIDGE DRIVE IN LAURELWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD.
Mar 30, 5:12 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGFlorence, MSTREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN IN THE FLORENCE AREA.
Mar 30, 5:15 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Nw Monterey, MSTREES DOWN ALONG MONTEREY RD.
Mar 30, 5:17 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGWhitfield, MSCORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM WHITFIELD. TREE SNAPPED BY WHITFIELD OFF HWY 475.
Mar 30, 5:19 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Brandon, MSTREE DOWNED ACROSS MS HWY 468.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 12 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 3 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 30, 12:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2022-03-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2022-03-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 177 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-557 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
781 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
452 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

029 
WFUS54 KJAN 302123
TORJAN
MSC049-121-302230-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0037.220330T2123Z-220330T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
423 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Rankin County in central Mississippi...
  Southeastern Hinds County in central Mississippi...

* Until 530 PM CDT.
    
* At 423 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Dry Grove, or 9 miles west of Byram, moving east
  at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Jackson around 430 PM CDT.
  Byram around 435 PM CDT.
  Richland and Florence around 445 PM CDT.
  Pearl, Flowood and Monterey around 450 PM CDT.
  Brandon around 500 PM CDT.
  Pelahatchie around 515 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3226 9048 3234 9027 3244 8975 3236 8973
      3221 8973 3213 9010 3211 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 255DEG 38KT 3216 9042 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC
7 follow-up statements
853 
WWUS54 KJAN 302134
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
434 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC049-121-302230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-Hinds MS-
434 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RANKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 433 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Byram, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Jackson around 440 PM CDT.
  Richland and Florence around 450 PM CDT.
  Pearl, Flowood and Monterey around 455 PM CDT.
  Brandon around 505 PM CDT.
  Pelahatchie around 525 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 9027 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973
      3213 9010 3212 9039 3229 9039
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 255DEG 31KT 3219 9031 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC
707 
WWUS54 KJAN 302139
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
439 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC049-121-302230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-Hinds MS-
439 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RANKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 439 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Jackson, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Broadcast media confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Jackson around 445 PM CDT.
  Richland around 450 PM CDT.
  Pearl and Flowood around 455 PM CDT.
  Brandon around 505 PM CDT.
  Pelahatchie around 520 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 9027 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973
      3213 9010 3212 9035 3230 9036
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 256DEG 34KT 3227 9028 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC
702 
WWUS54 KJAN 302143 CCA
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
443 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC049-121-302230-
/O.COR.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-Hinds MS-
443 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RANKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 442 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Jackson, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Broadcast media confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Pearl and Flowood around 450 PM CDT.
  Brandon around 500 PM CDT.
  Pelahatchie around 515 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 9027 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973
      3213 9010 3212 9035 3230 9036
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 257DEG 38KT 3227 9028 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC
047 
WWUS54 KJAN 302146
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
446 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC049-121-302230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-Hinds MS-
446 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RANKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 445 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Flowood, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Broadcast media confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Brandon around 455 PM CDT.
  Pelahatchie around 510 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 9027 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973
      3213 9010 3212 9028
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 255DEG 40KT 3230 9015 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC
821 
WWUS54 KJAN 302156
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
Issued by National Weather Service Huntsville AL
456 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC049-121-302230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-Hinds MS-
456 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RANKIN AND EAST CENTRAL HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 455 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Flowood, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Broadcast media confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Flowood, Richland, Florence, Pelahatchie and
Monterey.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973 3213 9010
      3213 9020 3235 9023
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 254DEG 34KT 3232 9008 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

AMP.24
896 
WWUS54 KJAN 302203
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
503 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC049-302213-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Hinds MS-
503 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL HINDS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973 3213 9010
      3213 9020 3214 9020 3237 9008
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 259DEG 33KT 3237 8998 

$$

MSC121-302230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-
503 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RANKIN COUNTY...
    
At 503 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Fannin, or near Brandon, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Flowood, Florence, Pelahatchie and Monterey.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973 3213 9010
      3213 9020 3214 9020 3237 9008
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 259DEG 33KT 3237 8998 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DC
339 
WWUS54 KJAN 302215
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
515 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

MSC121-302224-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-220330T2230Z/
Rankin MS-
515 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.  However
gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3244 8975 3236 8973 3221 8973 3213 9010
      3213 9020 3214 9020 3237 9008
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 257DEG 38KT 3238 8993 

$$

DC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 30, 1:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 1:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
113 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
Southerly winds sustained 25-30kts with gusts of 40-50 kts are
expected ahead of a line of TSRA. The TSRA could bring gusts to
75kts along with flight restrictions. The line of TSRA wl affect
GLH by 19Z and continue east across the area this aftn into evng.
The line is expected to be around the I-55 corridor around 22z and
east of MS by 03Z. Lighter winds are expected once the TSRA move
through. VFR conditions are expected to prevail away from TSRA
activity until after 05Z when MVFR ceilings will be possible. VFR
conditions are expected to prevail areawide Thursday after 14Z.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Not much to add or change to the going forecast as expectations
remain the same as prev forecasts. JAN 12z sounding has a large
cap, but erosion of that cap through isentropic ascent and strong
forcing will focus convection in the line as has been prev noted.
I will add that the more S you go, the orientation of the deep
shear favors some discrete updrafts, but the lower/mid level
forcing is driving a linear mode. So, the trade of may be some
potential for a broken line in spots. Ultimately, same threats
hold with damaging winds, then some tornado threat.

Timing looks to be basically the same. The 12 hrrr is a tad slower,
but when assessing the current line and it's movement, the timing in
our graphics remains very solid. Anticipate tornado watches to be
added well in advance of the line with something out likely in the
11 to noon time window. /CME/

Prior discussion below:

Today and tonight...

Quite an active day in store for the region. Just walk outside and
you can tell something in the weather will occur today. It has been
very warm overnight with temperatures in the lower 70s through the
night. A very potent southerly wind has prevailed with the 850mb low
level jet really kicking in tonight. Sustained winds overnight have
been 15-20kts with gusts around 25-30kts, even a brief near 40kt
gust at JAN.

Much of the forecast thinking remains the same. The upper trough
across the west will continue to track east and become negatively
tilted with time. As this occurs, the 990mb surface low will track
across the Mid-Mississippi Valley region and deepen. The line of
storms currently ongoing over the DFW metroplex will continue to
track east through the morning hours. This line is expected to reach
the western part of our forecast are by around noon-1pm. Some of
this line may be a little broken at first before intensifying and
congealing more into a solid squall line/QLCS. This line is expected
to quickly become severe as it encounters an airmass that will reach
the low to mid 80s before it moves through. Widespread 1400-1600
J/kg of MUCAPE, 45-55kts of deep layer shear, 300-600 m2/s2 helicity
all look to be in place to organize storms and produce a potent QLCS
to move through the region today. Given the abundance of wind in
place today, widespread damaging winds up to 80mph is expected and
there remains potential for tornadoes as well, including a strong
tornado. CAM guidance still indicates less potential for discrete
storms to develop ahead of the line(which if one of these were to
occur would be more supportive to produce a strong tornado in this
environment). With sufficient mixing today, 20 degree
Temperature/dewpoint spreads would support higher LCL heights, which
could mitigate tornadogenesis but especially reduce the strong
tornado risk today. However this risk remains non-zero given the
sufficient shear and helicity in place and if a supercell were to
develop along the line then the risk for a stronger tornado would
exist. A moderate risk still is in place for the entire region.
However, it is prudent to note that with this event we are not
expecting the QLCS to produce quite the numbers of tornadoes as we
saw last week, though certainly an embedded one is possible. We are
most concerned about the damaging wind aspect of this line and this
will certainly be widespread and likely to affect a larger portion
of our population. Winds up to 80mph, in addition to the gradient
wind ahead of the line, will pose risks of downed trees and
powerlines and result in power outages.

Of additional concern is the gradient wind ahead of/outside of
thunderstorms today. As mentioned, winds are already stout this
morning and with additional mixing up to around 850mb which would
suggest tapping into gusts around 45-50kts, and increasing low level
jet, winds will only continue to get stronger ahead of the squall
line through the afternoon. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph will be
possible, but we could see some higher gusts of 55-60mph. Generally
speaking, I feel really good about the gusts nearing 55mph, but am
quite concerned about a few locations(likely more isolated than
widespread) of reaching 60mph. That being said, the gradient winds
will be as much of a concern ahead of the line and have gone ahead
and issued a High Wind Warning to account for this. Once the line
passes, winds will remain gusty but should return to gusts closer to
20-25mph through the evening into tonight. Gusts will diminish after
midnight to around 15mph.

As the line moves through the region, there could be some locally
heavy rainfall. However, given the quick movement to it and lack of
indications of any training storms, the flooding risk is of lower
concern and will continue to not mention this in the HWO or
graphics.

Hold on to your hats, folks....it will be a windy, active weather
day today! /28/

Thursday through Next Wednesday...

After Wednesday's system, the longterm is pretty quiet. There will
be a series of shortwaves introducing rain chances periodically
throughout the forecast. Thursday afternoon, the elongated trough
centered over the Midwest will begin to shift east and mid-level
ridging will start to build in behind it. Dry weather will prevail
Thursday and Friday as this happens. By Saturday morning the first
shortwave will push across the ArkLaMiss while at the same time, a
stalled boundary along the Gulf will help increase rain chances
across the Deep South. Long range models continue to struggle with
timing and how far north the rain will be so for now, kept light
rain through Saturday morning. By the afternoon, the previously
mentioned wave will have transitioned east and dry air will filter
into the region returning dry conditions across the area through
Monday. A second shortwave is expected Tuesday which will bring
another round of rain across the ArkLaMiss. Temperatures will vary
throughout the period. Thursday and Friday highs will range from the
60s to low 70s while a warming trend is expected Saturday through
Monday. Temperatures will warm into the upper 70s for most places
while some areas south of I-20 will see temps rise into the mid
80s. /JNE/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       83  50  69  43 / 100  45   0   0
Meridian      84  54  72  43 /  67  92   0   0
Vicksburg     81  48  70  43 / 100  13   0   0
Hattiesburg   84  55  75  45 /  74  93   0   0
Natchez       80  49  71  45 / 100  13   0   0
Greenville    79  47  66  42 / 100  13   0   0
Greenwood     81  48  66  41 / 100  33   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-
     025>066-072>074.

LA...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

22/CME/28/JNE
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 4:11 AM CDT, 12 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
411 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-034-040-041-047-
059-060-310915-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren-Jefferson-Adams-
411 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, southwest
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today

Today, severe storms are expected and significant severe weather
is possible for the entire outlook area this afternoon into
this evening. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts up
to 80 mph and possible tornadoes. A strong tornado can not be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, sustained winds of at least 25 to 35 mph with gusts of up
to 55 mph are expected across the forecast area before
thunderstorms arrive.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ025>033-035>039-042>046-048>058-061>066-072>074-310915-
Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-
Oktibbeha-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
411 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today

Today, severe storms are expected and significant severe weather
is possible for the entire outlook area this afternoon into this
evening. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts up to 80
mph and possible tornadoes. A strong tornado can not be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, sustained winds of at least 25 to 35 mph with gusts of up
to 55 mph are expected across the forecast area before
thunderstorms arrive.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

14

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 30, 4:09 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
409 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 N LITTLE YAZOO        32.76N 90.37W
03/30/2022                   YAZOO              MS   STORM CHASER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED IN THE VICINITY OF US
            49 AND CASTLE CHAPEL RD. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Mar 30, 4:10 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
410 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SE EASTABUCHIE        31.40N 89.24W
03/30/2022                   FORREST            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ALONG LYNN RAY
            ROAD.

&&
Local storm report, Mar 30, 4:11 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
411 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FLORENCE                32.15N 90.14W
03/30/2022                   RANKIN             MS   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWNED ON A HOUSE ON LEWIS ST.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Mar 30, 4:13 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
413 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N LITTLE YAZOO        32.76N 90.37W
03/30/2022                   YAZOO              MS   STORM CHASER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS NON-TSTM WND DMG REPORT
            FROM 4 N LITTLE YAZOO TO TSTM WIND DMG.
            MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED IN THE VICINITY OF US
            49 AND CASTLE CHAPEL RD. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Mar 30, 4:18 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
418 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W BENTON              32.83N 90.28W
03/30/2022                   YAZOO              MS   STORM CHASER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED AT MS HWY 16 AND
            REDBUD DR. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Mar 30, 4:21 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
421 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TORNADO          BENTON                  32.83N 90.26W
03/30/2022                   YAZOO              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MS HWY 16 BLOCKED BY TREES WITH STRUCTURAL
            DAMAGE IN BENTON.

&&

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 3:44 AM CDTHigh Wind WarningJANAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 41 more15 hr
Mar 30, 2:13 PM CDTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Washington62 min
Mar 30, 2:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWarren39 min
Mar 30, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Washington74 min
Mar 30, 2:52 PM CDTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo68 min
Mar 30, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Warren63 min
Mar 30, 2:59 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington, Yazoo61 min
Mar 30, 3:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Jefferson56 min
Mar 30, 3:12 PM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar33 min
Mar 30, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower70 min
Mar 30, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Franklin, Jefferson44 min
Mar 30, 3:36 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo54 min
Mar 30, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore73 min
Mar 30, 3:54 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHolmes, Yazoo66 min
Mar 30, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Madison61 min
Mar 30, 4:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANWarren97 min
Mar 30, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo66 min
Mar 30, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln60 min
Mar 30, 4:32 PM CDTTornado WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Holmes, Montgomery, Webster58 min
Mar 30, 4:34 PM CDTTornado WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison56 min
Mar 30, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada, Montgomery55 min
Mar 30, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott and 1 more48 min
Mar 30, 4:58 PM CDTTornado WarningJANLeake, Madison, Rankin, Scott41 min
Mar 30, 5:20 PM CDTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster55 min
Mar 30, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Leake, Neshoba, Winston54 min
Mar 30, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson50 min
Mar 30, 5:32 PM CDTTornado WarningJANAttala, Leake26 min
Mar 30, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith46 min
Mar 30, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Webster, Winston55 min
Mar 30, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Simpson46 min
Mar 30, 6:17 PM CDTTornado WarningJANClay, Oktibbeha24 min
Mar 30, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNewton, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith61 min
Mar 30, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston64 min
Mar 30, 6:40 PM CDTTornado WarningJANJasper, Smith27 min
Mar 30, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Smith41 min
Mar 30, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha82 min
Mar 30, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Marion51 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2022Every tornado warning in 2022Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.