Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 116, NWS Jackson, MS

December 13, 2022Franklin Parish, Madison Parish, Tensas Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Dec 13, 2022, 9:56 PM CST for Franklin Parish, Madison Parish, Tensas Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 64 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2022, 9:56 PM CST (03:56 UTC)
Expired
Dec 13, 2022, 11:00 PM CST
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 13, 10:10 PM CSTFUNNEL CLOUD6 Ne Chase, LAFUNNEL CLOUD VIEWED EAST OF US 425.
Dec 13, 10:19 PM CSTTORNADO4 Se Crowville, LATHIS TORNADO BEGAN ALONG LA HIGHWAY 610 IN EASTERN FRANKLIN PARISH, SNAPPING SPORADIC TREES AND DOWNING A UTILITY POLE. IT REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AS IT CROSSED INTO SOUTHWESTERN MADISON PARISH, SNAPPING SEVERAL MORE TREES. ON PARKER RD, A HOME WAS SHIFTED
Dec 13, 10:25 PM CSTTORNADO4 Ese Crowville, LASTRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO HOMES ALONG LA 610, INCLUDING A HOME WITH A TREE THAT FELL ON IT.
Dec 13, 10:33 PM CSTTORNADO5 E Warsaw, LAROOF DAMAGE TO CAMPS NEAR HUNTERS BEND.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 23 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Dec 13, 6:25 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2022-12-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 50 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2022-12-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 307 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
50 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
307 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
433 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

268 
WFUS54 KJAN 140356
TORJAN
LAC041-065-107-140500-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0116.221214T0356Z-221214T0500Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
956 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Tensas Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Southwestern Madison Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Eastern Franklin Parish in northeastern Louisiana...

* Until 1100 PM CST.
    
* At 956 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Jigger, or 8 miles south of Winnsboro, moving
  northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Wisner around 1000 PM CST.
  Winnsboro around 1005 PM CST.
  Newlight and Crowville around 1020 PM CST.
  Afton around 1050 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Gilbert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 9177 3205 9179 3238 9152 3237 9119
      3206 9118
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 235DEG 35KT 3204 9174 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
7 follow-up statements
333 
WWUS54 KJAN 140413
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1013 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC041-065-107-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Tensas LA-Madison LA-Franklin LA-
1013 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN TENSAS...SOUTHWESTERN MADISON AND EASTERN FRANKLIN
PARISHES...
        
At 1013 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Winnsboro, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters reported a funnel cloud.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Crowville around 1020 PM CST.
  Bakers around 1030 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Gilbert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 9168 3216 9170 3238 9152 3237 9119
      3206 9118
TIME...MOT...LOC 0413Z 230DEG 35KT 3215 9161 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
752 
WWUS54 KJAN 140420
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1020 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC041-065-107-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Tensas LA-Madison LA-Franklin LA-
1020 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN TENSAS...SOUTHWESTERN MADISON AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN
PARISHES...
        
At 1019 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Crowville, or 10 miles east of Winnsboro, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters reported a funnel cloud.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bakers around 1030 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3212 9161 3224 9163 3238 9152 3237 9119
      3219 9118
TIME...MOT...LOC 0419Z 235DEG 35KT 3219 9155 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
819 
WWUS54 KJAN 140428
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1028 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC041-065-107-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Tensas LA-Madison LA-Franklin LA-
1028 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN TENSAS...SOUTHWESTERN MADISON AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN
PARISHES...
        
At 1028 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Crowville, or 15
miles northeast of Winnsboro, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Tensas, southwestern Madison and northeastern Franklin
Parishes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3212 9161 3224 9163 3238 9152 3237 9119
      3219 9118
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 232DEG 34KT 3225 9148 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
382 
WWUS54 KJAN 140429
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1029 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC041-107-140439-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Tensas LA-Franklin LA-
1029 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN TENSAS AND NORTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN PARISHES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for northeastern
Louisiana.

LAT...LON 3225 9152 3230 9152 3229 9150 3232 9150
      3232 9147 3234 9147 3235 9150 3236 9149
      3235 9148 3236 9145 3238 9146 3237 9119
      3224 9118 3223 9122 3221 9124 3223 9128
      3220 9132 3221 9153 3223 9151 3225 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 235DEG 35KT 3225 9148 

$$

LAC065-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Madison LA-
1029 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON PARISH...
        
At 1029 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Crowville, or 14
miles northeast of Winnsboro, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Afton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 9152 3230 9152 3229 9150 3232 9150
      3232 9147 3234 9147 3235 9150 3236 9149
      3235 9148 3236 9145 3238 9146 3237 9119
      3224 9118 3223 9122 3221 9124 3223 9128
      3220 9132 3221 9153 3223 9151 3225 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 235DEG 35KT 3225 9148 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
977 
WWUS54 KJAN 140431
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1031 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC065-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Madison LA-
1031 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON PARISH...
        
At 1031 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Bakers, or 16 miles northeast of Winnsboro, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Afton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 9152 3230 9152 3229 9150 3232 9150
      3232 9147 3234 9147 3235 9150 3236 9149
      3235 9148 3236 9145 3238 9146 3237 9119
      3224 9118 3223 9122 3221 9124 3223 9128
      3220 9132 3221 9153 3223 9151 3225 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0431Z 235DEG 35KT 3227 9145 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
999 
WWUS54 KJAN 140436
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1036 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC065-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Madison LA-
1036 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR WEST
CENTRAL MADISON PARISH...
        
At 1035 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado 
was located near Tensas River National Wildlife Refuge, or 16 miles 
southwest of Tallulah, moving northeast at 40 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
west central Madison Parish.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3229 9150 3232 9150 3232 9147 3234 9147
      3235 9150 3236 9149 3235 9148 3236 9145
      3238 9146 3237 9123 3223 9140 3223 9149
TIME...MOT...LOC 0435Z 223DEG 33KT 3230 9144 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC
186 
WWUS54 KJAN 140444
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1044 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

LAC065-140500-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0116.000000T0000Z-221214T0500Z/
Madison LA-
1044 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR WEST
CENTRAL MADISON PARISH...
    
At 1044 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located near the Tensas River National Wildlife Refuge, or 10 
miles west of Tallulah, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
west central Madison Parish.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3232 9147 3234 9147 3235 9150 3236 9149
      3235 9148 3236 9145 3238 9146 3237 9123
      3231 9130
TIME...MOT...LOC 0444Z 235DEG 35KT 3235 9135 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

DC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Dec 13, 7:40 PM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 7:40 PM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
740 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 715 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

No major forecast updates were made. Models continue to be
consistent on previously forecasted timeline for showers and
storms. Storms will move into the nw of our forecast area and
move towards the se ahead of the approaching cold front. As storms
move through the area there are possibilities for some to become
severe and could be capable of producing tornadoes(some strong),
golfball sized hail and damaging wind gusts of up to 70mph.
Showers and storms are expected to be slow moving through the area
as they will not clear the forecast area until late Wednesday
afternoon/early evening. As storms will be slow moving, rainfall
accumulations of 2 inches to 4 inches will be possible with
locally higher amounts. For this reason, there will be threats for
flash flooding across the forecast area into Wednesday. A tornado
watch is currently in effect for western portions of the forecast
area and additional watches will be possible overnight into
Wednesday. /KP/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

Tonight and Wednesday: Mid afternoon satellite imagery/RAP analysis
showed a large closed low spinning over Nebraska. Beneath the low
was a <1000mb surface low that had a cold front across eastern
Oklahoma into east Texas. Regional radars already showed a band of
storms developing along and ahead of the cold front that will move
into our CWA this evening and not clear our CWA until late Wednesday
afternoon. Overall, not much has changed with the thinking
concerning the potential for severe weather and flash flooding
across our CWA through Wednesday as mentioned in our previous
forecast discussion:

Severe: An "Enhanced" Risk (3/5) for severe weather is currently
along and south of a line from Bastrop, Louisiana to De Kalb
Mississippi, while a "Slight" Risk (2/5) north of the same line. The
potential for tornadoes; a few of which could be strong, hail
quarter to golf ball size, and damaging winds to 70 mph will be
likely with the strongest storms. This severe weather threat is
expected to be a LONG event and continue until the cold front passes
through the area.

Flash flooding: Flash flooding will also be likely for many areas
tonight through Wednesday. Heavy rainfall of two to four inches with
locally high amounts in a short amount of time are likely,
especially along and east of the Natchez Trace. "Elevated (2/4)"
threat for flash flooding has been outlooked in the HWO for much of
our Mississippi CWA. A "Limited (1/4)" has been outlooked for the
area generally along and west of the Mississippi river where flash
flooding will be possible.

Gradient Winds: Ahead of the cold front and associated storms
tonight, a tightening pressure gradient and a strong upper jet will
increase southerly surface winds to 20-25 mph and gusts up to 40 mph
generally along the Highway 82 corridor. A "Limited (1/3)" for winds
has been outlooked for areas north of the I-20 corridor as this may
affect high profile vehicles and cause weak trees and tree limbs to
break and fall.

Although the gusty gradient winds will diminish by morning the
severe storm and flooding threat will continue until the cold front
clears the CWA by Wednesday evening. /22/

Wednesday night through Monday night...A few showers will continue
to be possible in the east Wednesday evening, but will move east out
of the area by mid/late evening. Drier/colder air will build in
across the area on Thursday, with highs ranging from the low 50s in
the north to around 60 in the south. Broad upper troughing will
continue to prevail across the region on Friday with morning lows
falling into the 30s and highs ranging from the upper 40s to upper
50s. A short wave will drive another cold front across the area on
Saturday and this will mainly be a reinforcing shot of cold air. The
GFS does indicate the potential for a little light rain with this
boundary, but the ECMWF is mainly dry. Will lean with the drier
solutions through the weekend. Saturday night looks to be the
coldest night through the extended, with overnight lows ranging from
the upper 20s to low 30s.

Surface high pressure will move across the area on Sunday and as the
high shifts east the surface flow will become more southeasterly
Sunday night. A short wave will approach the area late Sunday night
and move across the area on Monday. Currently temperatures look like
they will remain warm enough for all rain Monday and Monday night,
with highs in the 50s and lows in the mid/upper 30s./15/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

Increasing cloudiness ahead of showers and storms has resulted in
lowered ceilings to MVFR/IFR across much of the area. Overnight,
showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage from west to
east as ceilings continue to lower with MVFR/IFR common.
Southerly to southeasterly winds will increase overnight for
northern sites with gusts as high as 35kt possible. For HBG/PIB,
prior to rain after 09Z, fog could result in reduction in
visibility to MVFR/IFR. Flight categories will begin to improve at
GLH by the end of the TAF period. /86/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  71  41  57 / 100  90  40   0
Meridian      61  71  43  59 /  80  90  90   0
Vicksburg     60  68  41  58 / 100  90  20   0
Hattiesburg   65  76  45  62 /  70 100  90   0
Natchez       61  69  41  58 / 100  90  20   0
Greenville    58  63  40  54 / 100  70  10   0
Greenwood     62  67  40  54 /  90 100  30   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for MSZ025>033-035>039-
     042>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

22/15/LP/KP
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 2:43 PM CST, 7 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-142045-
Ashley-Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60
mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

MSZ026>033-036>039-142045-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60
mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, areas of flash flooding likely and
some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

LAZ007>009-MSZ040-041-142045-
Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Issaquena-Sharkey-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through wednesday, localized flash flooding is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding
is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ058-074-142045-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Clarke-
Forrest-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, east central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through wednesday, several inches of rain in a short
amount of time will make localized flash flooding possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

MSZ042>045-142045-
Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, two to four inches of rain with locally
higher amounts will likely lead to areas of flash flooding and
some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

MSZ046>057-059>066-072-073-142045-
Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
243 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight through Wednesday

Tonight through Wednesday, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes; including a few strong tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and large
hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight through Wednesday, two to four inches of rain with locally
higher amounts will likely lead to areas of flash flooding and
some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 13, 8:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWest Carroll54 min
Dec 13, 8:37 PM CSTTornado WarningJANMorehouse, Richland, West Carroll53 min
Dec 13, 8:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse55 min
Dec 13, 9:16 PM CSTTornado WarningJANEast Carroll, West Carroll28 min
Dec 13, 9:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin47 min
Dec 13, 9:52 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll3 hr
Dec 13, 10:42 PM CSTTornado WarningJANEast Carroll, Madison63 min
Dec 13, 11:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRichland, West Carroll43 min
Dec 13, 11:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Franklin, Madison54 min
Dec 13, 11:54 PM CSTTornado WarningJANEast Carroll, Madison66 min
Dec 13, 11:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia48 min
Dec 14, 12:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Tensas44 min
Dec 14, 12:54 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia51 min
Dec 14, 12:55 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANEast Carroll, Madison3 hr
Dec 14, 12:56 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia37 min
Dec 14, 1:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia, Tensas49 min
Dec 14, 1:27 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia3 hr
Dec 14, 1:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia44 min
Dec 14, 1:50 AM CSTTornado WarningJANConcordia55 min
Dec 14, 1:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANTensas49 min
Dec 14, 2:01 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANTensas3 hr
Dec 14, 2:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia54 min
Dec 14, 3:05 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANConcordia3 hr
Dec 14, 10:37 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANConcordia3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Louisiana, 2022Every tornado warning in 2022Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.