Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Wichita, KS

079 
WWUS53 KICT 312130
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
430 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

KSC191-312215-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-220531T2215Z/
Sumner KS-
430 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN SUMNER COUNTY...

At 430 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles north of
South Haven, or 8 miles south of Wellington, moving northeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wellington, Belle Plaine, Oxford, South Haven, Geuda Springs,
Hunnewell, Perth, Riverdale and Wellington Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 9743 3737 9715 3709 9715 3700 9724
      3700 9760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 214DEG 28KT 3714 9737 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

KLEINSASSER

376 
WWUS53 KICT 312147
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
447 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

KSC191-312215-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-220531T2215Z/
Sumner KS-
447 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN SUMNER COUNTY...

At 447 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles east of
Wellington, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wellington, Belle Plaine, Oxford, South Haven, Geuda Springs,
Hunnewell, Perth, Riverdale and Wellington Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 9743 3737 9715 3709 9715 3700 9724
      3700 9760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 209DEG 25KT 3726 9729 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

KLEINSASSER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
344 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 340 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

The main low pressure system is over the Northern Plains with a
portion stretching back to the Great Basin. A cold front associated
with this system has stretched from the Texas Panhandle to along the
central Kansas/Oklahoma border into central Missouri. This front
will be the focus for convective development this evening. There is
initial development visible in western Oklahoma. A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for a few counties in south
central Kansas, and this area may be expanded to the east and north
depending on further convective development. If you have outdoor
plans this evening, make sure to stay weather aware and have an idea
of where you would take shelter if needed. When thunder roars, go
indoors.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

Highlights:

1) Showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday

2) Localized flooding through early Thursday

3) Cooler

Change: Modified precipitation chances tonight-Wed

Headlines:

1) Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10PM
2) Flood Watch thru midnight Thursday

Showers and thunderstorms are expected through Wednesday. The cold
front as mentioned above should be the initial focus for convection
this evening with short term models showing storms moving
in/expanding in coverage around 5-7PM. SPC did tweak their outlook
for today removing the enhanced risk from southeast Kansas with the
better threat in western Oklahoma and parts of the Texas Panhandle.
Potential still exists for strong to severe thunderstorms with the
possibility of up to golf ball sized hail and 60 mph winds in south
central and southeast Kansas. Initial supercells could pose the
potential for a tornado, but the threat is quite low. The activity
is expected to fill in and become more linear. Elevated storms will
become the factor to the north and west of the front late this
evening and tonight.

Localized flooding is a concern especially across south central and
southeast Kansas with the possibility of training showers and storms
over those areas. Precipitable water values are on the increase. The
Flood Watch covers this well. Most locations where the heavier
rainfall is expected received minimal if any precipitation in the
last 24 hours. This will become the concentrated area for this
evening and tonight with potential for one to two inches; however,
thunderstorms can certainly overachieve on precipitation amounts.
Thus locally higher amounts are anticipated. Models disagree on the
coverage for Wednesday which in turn challenges when chances will
move out. General consensus is that precipitation should be gone by
Thursday morning. Precipitation chances have been tweaked somewhat
to better account for the latest trends.

Cooler air moves in for Wednesday through Friday with Wednesday
being the coolest day of the week thanks to rain and cloud cover.
Afternoon temperatures are forecast to range from 10 to 20 degrees
below seasonal normal on Wednesday when highs range from the lower
60s to mid 70s. Thursday and Friday should be a bit warmer as a
ridge moves in, but the temperatures are still forecast to be about
5 to 10 degrees below normal. Only minor changes were made to the
ongoing forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

Highlights:

1) Weekend warm up

2) Chances for showers and thunderstorms

After a cooler week, the weekend will offer a warm up but
essentially near the seasonal normal values (lower 80s). Models are
showing a couple of short waves through the weekend. This could
bring chances for showers and thunderstorms. These waves don't look
very impressive at this point. There are chances for showers and
storms throughout the extended. If you have outdoor plans for the
weekend, stay tuned as changes are likely. Minor tweaks were made to
the extended part of the forecast as the ongoing one appeared mainly
representative.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

Main aviation concern will be storms late this afternoon and
tonight.

Cold front currently stretches from near KPPF to near KPNC and has
become more stationary over the past couple of hours. Storms are
expected to develop along this feature first over western OK and
will likely try and develop to the northeast as the early evening
hours approach. Then after 00z they should become more numerous
across south central KS as the low level jet strengthens. So KCNU
and KICT will have the better storm chances, generally after 23z.
Some MVFR ceilings will also linger at KICT and KCNU this
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    61  65  52  72 /  80  80  40   0
Hutchinson      59  63  49  72 /  80  80  30   0
Newton          60  64  51  71 /  80  80  40   0
ElDorado        61  66  52  70 /  80  80  50   0
Winfield-KWLD   63  71  54  71 /  80  80  60  10
Russell         54  63  45  74 /  70  80  20   0
Great Bend      55  61  46  72 /  80  80  20   0
Salina          58  63  49  74 /  60  70  20   0
McPherson       58  63  48  71 /  80  80  30   0
Coffeyville     66  74  57  73 /  80  80  70  10
Chanute         64  74  56  72 /  80  80  60  10
Iola            64  72  55  71 /  80  80  60  10
Parsons-KPPF    65  74  57  73 /  80  80  70  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late Wednesday night for KSZ052-053-068>072-
082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VJP
SHORT TERM...VJP
LONG TERM...VJP
AVIATION...RBL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
359 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
359 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Evening into Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this evening mainly
across south central and southeast Kansas. The main threats will be
golf ball sized hail and damaging winds to 60 mph. Locally heavy
rainfall will also become a threat in the evening and overnight
across southern Kansas where some flooding is possible. Check the
Flood Watch for the latest information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Chances for thunderstorms will linger through Wednesday mainly
across south central and southeast Kansas. While severe storms are
not expected, a couple of strong storms with small hail and locally
heavy rainfall will be possible. There is potential for localized
flooding to continue into even early Thursday.

There is a chance for thunderstorms Saturday through Monday.
However, the risk for organized severe storms appears low for now.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1036 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSE NEWTON            37.98N 97.31W
05/31/2022  M1.81 INCH       HARVEY             KS   COCORAHS

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNW STRONG CITY       38.43N 96.56W
05/31/2022  M1.59 INCH       CHASE              KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1039 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0522 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW WALTON             38.10N 97.28W
05/30/2022  E60 MPH          HARVEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0540 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW WALTON             38.10N 97.28W
05/30/2022  E60 MPH          HARVEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GETTING ANOTHER BOUT OF 60 MPH WINDS 20
            MINUTES LATER. SOME TREE LIMBS BEING DOWNED.

0548 PM     TSTM WND GST     PEABODY                 38.17N 97.11W
05/30/2022  E60 MPH          MARION             KS   PUBLIC

            TREE LIMB DOWNED. RECEIVED VIA TWITTER.

0556 PM     HAIL             CONWAY SPRINGS          37.39N 97.64W
05/30/2022  E0.75 INCH       SUMNER             KS   PUBLIC

            ALSO ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS.

0632 PM     TSTM WND GST     FLORENCE                38.24N 96.93W
05/30/2022  E60 MPH          MARION             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0640 PM     TSTM WND GST     COTTONWOOD FALLS        38.37N 96.54W
05/30/2022  E70 MPH          CHASE              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL OCCURRED WITH THE WIND.

0640 PM     HAIL             COTTONWOOD FALLS        38.37N 96.54W
05/30/2022  E1.00 INCH       CHASE              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            60 TO 70 MPH WINDS OCCURRED WITH THE HAIL.
            TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0641 PM     HAIL             STRONG CITY             38.39N 96.54W
05/30/2022  E1.00 INCH       CHASE              KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

0733 PM     HAIL             STRONG CITY             38.39N 96.54W
05/30/2022  E1.00 INCH       CHASE              KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

1258 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSW SMOLAN            38.73N 97.69W
05/31/2022                   SALINE             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BURMA ROAD WAS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE DUE TO
            HIGH WATER.

0652 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GENESEO                 38.52N 98.15W
05/31/2022  M3.00 INCH       RICE               KS   PUBLIC

            COCORAHS REPORT.

0657 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE NEW CAMBRIA       38.88N 97.49W
05/31/2022  M2.13 INCH       SALINE             KS   PUBLIC

            COCORAHS REPORT.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 NNE MARQUETTE         38.64N 97.80W
05/31/2022  M3.73 INCH       SALINE             KS   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 WNW MARQUETTE         38.61N 97.95W
05/31/2022  M3.64 INCH       ELLSWORTH          KS   MESONET

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNE MARQUETTE         38.60N 97.82W
05/31/2022  M3.00 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NE ASSARIA            38.71N 97.55W
05/31/2022  M2.90 INCH       SALINE             KS   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSE SALINA            38.79N 97.60W
05/31/2022  M2.88 INCH       SALINE             KS   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NE ELBING             38.06N 97.12W
05/31/2022  M2.25 INCH       BUTLER             KS   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSE NEWTON            37.98N 97.31W
05/31/2022  M1.81 INCH       HARVEY             KS   COCORAHS

0725 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE MARQUETTE         38.58N 97.82W
05/31/2022  M2.06 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   COCORAHS

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       COTTONWOOD FALLS        38.37N 96.55W
05/31/2022  M2.78 INCH       CHASE              KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNW STRONG CITY       38.43N 96.56W
05/31/2022  M1.59 INCH       CHASE              KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
411 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

KSZ092-312145-
Sumner KS-
411 PM CDT Tue May 31 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Sumner
County through 445 PM CDT...

At 410 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm just
southwest of South Haven, or 8 miles southeast of Caldwell, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Oxford, South Haven, Geuda Springs and Hunnewell.

This includes Interstate 35 between Mile Markers 1 and 16.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9760 3722 9743 3731 9715 3700 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 223DEG 20KT 3699 9746

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DARMOFAL