Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2022, 11:52 PM CDT for Polk County, Minnesota; 4 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 21 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2022, 11:52 PM CDT (04:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 20, 2022, 12:13 AM CDT
- In force
- 21 min
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Damage threat
- Considerable
- Hail
- 1.5 in
- Wind
- 70.0 mph
Counties Polk County, MN, Grand Forks County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Steele County, ND, Traill County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 11:55 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 9 W Northwood, ND | SEVERAL LARGE 4 TO 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN AT A FARMSTEAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. |
| Jun 19, 11:59 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 56.4 | 2 E Logan Center, ND | PEAK WIND MEASURED AT AN NDAWN STATION ON CR16. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 3 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 281 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 462 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -140 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2631 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
178
WUUS53 KFGF 200452
SVRFGF
MNC119-NDC035-063-091-097-200600-
/O.NEW.KFGF.SV.W.0072.220620T0452Z-220620T0600Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1152 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Polk County in northwestern Minnesota...
Grand Forks County in northeastern North Dakota...
Southeastern Nelson County in northeastern North Dakota...
Northwestern Traill County in southeastern North Dakota...
Northern Steele County in southeastern North Dakota...
* Until 100 AM CDT.
* At 1152 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northeast
of Sharon, or 36 miles southwest of Grand Forks, moving north at 35
mph.
HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.
* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
Northwood and Logan Center around 1205 AM CDT.
Other locations in the path of this severe thunderstorm include
Kempton, Larimore, Arvilla, McCanna, Honeyford and Mekinock.
This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 128 and 158.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4819 9736 4810 9668 4749 9735 4757 9798
4820 9767
TIME...MOT...LOC 0452Z 201DEG 32KT 4766 9775
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
$$
Perroux/CJ1 follow-up statement
089
WWUS53 KFGF 200513
SVSFGF
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1213 AM CDT Mon Jun 20 2022
MNC119-NDC035-063-091-097-200523-
/O.CAN.KFGF.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-220620T0600Z/
Polk MN-Grand Forks ND-Nelson ND-Traill ND-Steele ND-
1213 AM CDT Mon Jun 20 2022
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN POLK...GRAND
FORKS...SOUTHEASTERN NELSON...NORTHWESTERN TRAILL AND NORTHERN STEELE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. However gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.
LAT...LON 4819 9736 4810 9668 4749 9735 4757 9798
4820 9767
TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 201DEG 32KT 4784 9765
$$
Perroux/CJWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 11:50 PM CDT, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 11:50 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1150 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
Several severe storms have fired in the late evening, mainly from
Cooperstown to western Steele and Grand Forks counties. These have
produced some strong wind reports so far. SPC issued a Mesoscale
Convective Discussion a while back, saying the cells should
continue to progress northeast to the Canadian border by 06z-07z.
So will be monitoring strong to severe cells for a few more hours.
UPDATE Issued at 935 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
Storms have been firing southwest of Jamestown, but they have been
pulse storms (up and down). They have produced gusty winds and
could also be dropping some hail. This activity is moving
northeast and could affect the Devils Lake region in the next few
hours. Not sure it will stay strong to severe, but it could bring
some spotty rain if it holds together.
UPDATE Issued at 642 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
As of early this evening, most sites within the Red River Valley
were holding around 100 degrees. The eastern and western portions
of the FA were in the mid 90s. South-southwest winds remained
windy, with dewpoints mainly in the mid to upper 60s. Temperatures
will begin to fall again this evening, and the winds will
decrease somewhat. However, heat indices for most areas will
remain above 75, so the Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisory
will continue overnight, and into Monday as well. There is
somewhat of a convergent boundary over north central South Dakota
and south central North Dakota, where some cloud cover and
showers/thunderstorms have been trying to form. However, 700mb
temperatures are very warm, therefore so far not much has
sustained itself. This will be the area to watch this evening. If
anything forms, it would track northeast and potentially affect
the Devils Lake region.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
* Hot and humid today through Monday
* Isolated severe thunderstorms possible this evening
* Scattered severe thunderstorms possible Monday evening
Hot, humid conditions prevail this afternoon through late Monday
with an H5 ridge directly over the forecast area. Southerly to
southwesterly winds continue to advect warm air into the area, along
with copious amounts of moisture as mixing ratios climb to near 17
g/Kg. Isolated thunderstorm activity is possible tonight ahead of an
approaching, but slow moving cold front. With MUCAPE upwards of 3000
J/Kg, strong to severe thunderstorms are possible, with wind and
hail being the primary risks.
Precipitable water will be upwards of 2 inches by midday Monday,
with dew points remaining in the 60s to low 70s. This will solidify
another humid day across the area, with instability building through
the afternoon to values of around 3500 to 4500 J/Kg of CAPE. The
most favorable deep layer shear is expected to remain to the west of
the highest instability, which will serve to limit the organization
potential of any thunderstorm activity. The axis of development will
be a cold front that will push through the area late Monday evening
and into the overnight hours. Severe thunderstorms are possible,
with the most likely mode being of the single-cell or multi-cell
variety. With deep layer shear remaining weak, our primary risk is
expected to be damaging wind gusts and hail up to 1.5 inches. DCAPE
values (1500 to 2500 J/Kg), along with precipitation loading
potential, are expected to be quite favorable for strong downburst
winds.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
Overview... The high amplitude H5 ridge will continue to flattened
and move eastward across the Great Lakes into New England, while a
H5 shortwave trof clips west to east across the Northern Plains
region on Tuesday... firmly suppressing the holiday weekend heat
dome and leading to a much more zonal flow pattern for the mid to
late week periods.
Tuesday... looks primarily post cold-frontal and somewhat stabilized
after 12z, with a northwesterly blayer flow turning more westerly
late Tuesday into Wednesday. H5 heights should be coolest mid
afternoon on Tuesday, so that any mid-afternoon stratocu field will
start to diminish from late afternoon into the evening. Expect dry
and mild conditions Tuesday afternoon and evening, with daytime
highs holding very near long term normals.
Wednesday and Thursday... a broad/weak H5 ridge builds across the
Northern Plains Wednesday and shifts a bit eastward towards the
Great Lakes on Thursday. Temperatures should warm back into the 80s
across most of the area and winds slowly shift from the west to
southwest on Wednesday. Then on Thursday, a continued warming
airmass with temperatures stretching from the middle 80s north to
the middle 90s nearer the SD border. Warmer temperatures from
Wednesday into Thursday and a destabilizing southerly flow will
increase the chance for thunderstorms, Wednesday night into
Thursday.
Friday into Sunday... Guidance suggests that the northern branch of
the Polar Jet Stream could get even a bit more amplified for late
week and weekend period. Friday should continue to push somewhat
above normal,with temperatures again ranging from the mid 80s
nearer Canada and the mid 90s nearer SD. Ensembles suggest that the
next H5 shortwave trof will nudge into the Northern Plains from
Friday evening into Saturday, with that having the highest risk for
more widespread thunderstorms. Saturday into Sunday then trend to
more widely scattered showers and temperatures nearer to long term
normals.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
Pretty much kept with the ideas from the 00z set of TAFs, although
wind directions have changed a tad. Will also be mentioning
thunderstorms at KGFK and KDVL for a few more hours past midnight.
Do not have a really good feel for thunder redevelopment Monday
afternoon and evening, so mentioned VCTS for now. Think the best
potential will be in the late afternoon and early evening.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Excessive Heat Warning until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for NDZ008-016-027-
030-039-049-052-053.
Heat Advisory until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for NDZ026-028-029-038-054.
MN...Excessive Heat Warning until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ001>004-007-
029-030-040.
Heat Advisory until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ005-006-008-009-
013>017-022>024-027-028-031-032.
UPDATE...Godon
SHORT TERM...Lynch
LONG TERM...Gust
AVIATION...GodonHazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 9:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 950 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022 NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>029-038-054-210300- Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Barnes-Western Walsh- 950 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota. .DAY ONE...Tonight Heat indices will remain over 75 degrees in some areas. Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible tonight, with hail to 1 inch and damaging winds to 60 mph the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Monday will also be hot and humid, especially within the Red River Valley, with heat indices possibly as high as 100 degrees again. Scattered thunderstorms may develop across the region late Monday afternoon through Monday night. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible with ping pong ball size hail and damaging winds to 60 mph the main threats. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ030-039-049-052-053- 210300- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Traill-Cass-Ransom- Sargent-Richland- 950 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Tonight Heat indices will remain over 75 degrees. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Monday will also be hot and humid, especially within the Red River Valley, with heat indices possibly as high as 100 degrees again. Scattered thunderstorms may develop across the region late Monday afternoon through Monday night. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible with ping pong ball size hail and damaging winds to 60 mph the main threats. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 19, 10:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1046 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1041 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NNE SUTTON 47.42N 98.43W
06/19/2022 M59 MPH GRIGGS ND PUBLIC
PWS REPORTED 59 MPH WIND GUST.
&&Special weather statement, Jun 19, 10:52 PM CDT, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1052 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
NDZ014-024-200430-
Eddy ND-Benson ND-
1052 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Benson and
eastern Eddy Counties through 1130 PM CDT...
At 1052 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Brantford, or 36 miles south of Devils Lake, moving northeast at 30
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Warwick and Hamar around 1130 PM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4794 9882 4783 9852 4775 9853 4759 9866
4759 9906
TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 208DEG 28KT 4759 9888
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
PerrouxLocal storm report, Jun 19, 11:32 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1132 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1045 PM TSTM WND GST 6 W COOPERSTOWN 47.44N 98.25W
06/19/2022 M58 MPH GRIGGS ND PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT OF 58 MPH MEASURED ON PERSONAL
WEATHER STATION VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
1106 PM TSTM WND GST 4 NW COOPERSTOWN 47.49N 98.18W
06/19/2022 M68 MPH GRIGGS ND PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT OF 68 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED
ON PERSONAL WEATHER STATION 4 NW OF
COOPERSTOWN.
&&Special weather statement, Jun 19, 11:46 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1146 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
MNZ004-007-NDZ007-008-015-016-026-027-054-200530-
Kittson MN-West Marshall MN-Nelson ND-Pembina ND-
Eastern Walsh County ND-Western Walsh County ND-Ramsey ND-
Cavalier ND-Grand Forks ND-
1146 PM CDT Sun Jun 19 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Marshall,
southwestern Kittson, southern Cavalier, northwestern Grand Forks,
northern Nelson, northeastern Ramsey, Walsh and southern Pembina
Counties through 1230 AM CDT...
At 1146 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Southam to 6 miles south of Ardoch.
Movement was north at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Johnstown around 1150 PM CDT.
Poland, Ardoch and Oslo around 1155 PM CDT.
Minto around 1200 AM CDT.
Edmore, Warsaw and Big Woods around 1205 AM CDT.
Derrick around 1210 AM CDT.
This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 154 and 195.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4851 9648 4817 9704 4817 9714 4812 9712
4792 9745 4813 9882 4867 9877 4882 9763
TIME...MOT...LOC 0446Z 193DEG 39KT 4823 9854 4811 9731
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
PerrouxThe office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 3:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Norman, Polk | 55 min |
| Jun 20, 3:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Becker, Mahnomen | 40 min |
| Jun 20, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Marshall, Norman, Pennington, Polk, Red Lake | 64 min |
| Jun 20, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Marshall, Pennington, Polk | 41 min |
| Jun 20, 4:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater, Marshall, Pennington, Polk, Red Lake | 53 min |
| Jun 20, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Roseau | 67 min |
| Jun 20, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Polk | 65 min |
| Jun 20, 6:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Lake of the Woods | 44 min |
| Jun 20, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Norman | 64 min |
| Jun 20, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Griggs | 42 min |
| Jun 19, 10:52 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Eddy | 38 min |
| Jun 19, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Eddy, Grand Forks, Griggs, Nelson, Steele and 1 more | 55 min |
| Jun 19, 11:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Griggs, Steele, Traill | 41 min |
| Jun 19, 11:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Grand Forks, Pembina, Ramsey, Walsh | 44 min |
| Jun 19, 11:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Traill | 50 min |
| Jun 20, 12:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Griggs, Steele | 49 min |
| Jun 20, 12:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Griggs, Steele, Traill | 25 min |
| Jun 20, 3:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Benson | 29 min |
| Jun 20, 3:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Ramsey, Towner | 51 min |
| Jun 20, 4:11 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Cavalier | 64 min |
| Jun 20, 4:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Grand Forks | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 4:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Cass, Ransom | 65 min |
| Jun 20, 5:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Ransom, Sargent | 35 min |
| Jun 20, 5:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Ransom, Sargent | 17 min |
| Jun 20, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Cass, Ransom | 54 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2022Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.