Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
346 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

.SHORT TERM /Rest of today through Wednesday Night/...

Majority of convection has been across parts of north GA, so that
may bet a bit worked over, then focus farther southward. Outflow
interactions could keep active as well going into this evening and
still advertising some strong to few severe possible with strong
to damaging winds, frequent lightning and locally heavy rain
especially with slow movers or training.

Not sure about low level stratus formation Wednesday morning but
it could again occur and potentially lead to differential heating
trends that either help focus early convective triggering near the
edge or delay where cloud deck is more cohesive.

Bermuda ridge shows little change east of the area for Wednesday
and we stay in this similar high moisture airmass along with
another decently diurnally unstable day near 2500 J/kg SBCAPE
progged. Have very similar pops as well with mainly likely mention
NW to chance SE. Given all this, we should also have similar storm
intensity potential and threats as today.

Max temps similar too with near to slightly below normal highs
Wednesday and most areas reaching mid 80s to low 90s.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Looks like we'll see a bit of a pattern change later this week and
through the weekend. A deepening upper trough across the Eastern
CONUS will help to push a frontal boundary through a good portion of
the CWA Thursday through Friday resulting in another round of
showers and storms. At this time the front looks to stall across
southern GA closer to the GA/FL border. Thus PoPs will be higher
in these areas. And thanks to some drier air behind the front
dewpoints in the mid-60s, high temperatures in the mid-80s and
lower PoPs can be expected through much of the weekend.

In looking at next week, expect rain and thunderstorm chances to
return primarily during the afternoon hours. Temperatures will be
near-normal for this time of year.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

TSRA coverage and associated tempo groups with VRB gusts and
reduced VSBYs are for the sites through the afternoon that may
need to be extended into the evening. Otherwise mainly VFR
conditions and cu field near 3-5 kft, then overnight possible
lingering cloud coverage near 5 kft and alto level with potential
for another morning low level stratus deck (not confident on the
formation but could be IFR/LIFR). Have carried the potential with
SCT 500 ft and can adjust as needed with updates. Looking at
another round of TSRA and associated prob30 groups Wednesday near
18-00z. Winds mainly SW 7 kts or less during period (could be
light SW to calm overnight), otherwise VRB gusts with any TSRA.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Low on Wednesday morning lower cig potential.
Medium on TSRA coverage this afternoon/evening.
High on all else.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  89  71  85 /  20  50  40  60
Atlanta         72  89  71  86 /  30  60  50  70
Blairsville     66  82  65  80 /  30  70  70  70
Cartersville    71  87  70  85 /  30  60  60  70
Columbus        72  92  72  91 /  20  60  40  60
Gainesville     70  87  70  84 /  30  60  50  70
Macon           71  93  72  91 /  20  30  30  60
Rome            72  90  71  88 /  40  70  60  70
Peachtree City  71  90  70  88 /  20  60  50  70
Vidalia         72  94  74  93 /  20  40  30  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baker
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
302 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
302 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the
afternoon and evening across north and central Georgia. Some
storms could become strong and a few isolated severe storms
cannot be ruled out with the main threats of strong to damaging
winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms in the afternoons and
evenings are expected each day through Thursday. As usual during
the summer, any storm will have the potential to become strong to
severe and be capable of producing gusty winds, frequent
lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

Thunderstorm chances look to be confined mainly to central Georgia
and portions of north Georgia for Friday and then mainly far
south central Georgia for the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
642 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ053-054-092315-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-
642 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Fayette and
central Coweta Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 641 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Sharpsburg, or 8 miles
east of Newnan, moving northwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Newnan, Peachtree City, Tyrone, Palmetto, Senoia, Sharpsburg, Turin,
East Newnan, Starrs Mill, Arnco-Sargent, Cannongate, Thomas
Crossroads and Madras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3351 8473 3351 8462 3350 8462 3350 8461
      3351 8461 3352 8459 3352 8458 3332 8448
      3325 8470 3343 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 150DEG 7KT 3337 8466

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
648 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ043-092315-
Douglas GA-
648 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Douglas County
through 715 PM EDT...

At 648 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Chapel Hill, or near
Douglasville, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Douglasville, Lithia Springs, Sweetwater Creek State Park, Winston
and Chapel Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8473 3381 8472 3380 8462 3374 8458
      3370 8463 3369 8463 3368 8464 3368 8465
      3366 8466 3365 8471 3363 8473 3363 8475
      3362 8477 3377 8486
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 161DEG 7KT 3373 8470

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
656 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ047-092330-
Walton GA-
656 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Walton County
through 730 PM EDT...

At 656 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Good Hope, or near
Monroe, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Monroe, Social Circle, North High Shoals, Between, Good Hope,
Herndonville, Ebenezer, Gratis, Windsor, Nicholasville, Pannell and
Campton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 8364 3389 8363 3388 8358 3387 8359
      3385 8358 3382 8352 3380 8351 3367 8362
      3365 8370 3388 8385 3391 8376 3390 8376
      3390 8373 3392 8367
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 161DEG 7KT 3375 8363

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
709 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ102-092345-
Stewart GA-
709 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Stewart
County through 745 PM EDT...

At 709 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Sanford, or 7 miles
southwest of Lumpkin, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Lumpkin, Omaha, Charles, Sanford, Westville, Louvale and Providence
Canyon State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8491 3193 8492 3193 8493 3195 8496
      3198 8496 3198 8502 3217 8502 3218 8501
      3220 8496 3221 8498 3218 8471 3193 8480
      3192 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 188DEG 15KT 3199 8491

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
720 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

GAZ109-092345-
Dodge GA-
720 PM EDT Tue Aug 9 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Dodge County
through 745 PM EDT...

At 720 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Godwinsville, or near
Eastman, moving northwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Eastman, Chauncey, Jay Bird Springs, Achord, Gresston, Plainfield,
Godwinsville and Five Points.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 8333 3236 8310 3215 8299 3216 8297
      3211 8295 3209 8298 3203 8315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 157DEG 14KT 3214 8309

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH