Severe Thunderstorm Warning 195, NWS Atlanta, GA

624 
WWUS52 KFFC 250251
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1051 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

GAC063-113-151-255-250301-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0195.000000T0000Z-220625T0300Z/
Spalding GA-Fayette GA-Henry GA-Clayton GA-
1051 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL SPALDING...
SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE...SOUTHWESTERN HENRY AND SOUTHERN CLAYTON
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 PM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3342 8443 3341 8429 3330 8424 3319 8433
      3325 8450 3326 8450 3328 8451 3329 8451
      3334 8452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 295DEG 4KT 3330 8439 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
810 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

...Updated for 00Z Aviation Discussion...

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Moist air continues to filter in from the Atlantic through the
boundary layer keeping dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s
across all of the CWA. Temperatures have already warmed into the
upper 80s and lower 90s, and with the morning sounding at FFC
showing convective T of near 91, it is no surprise that we have
already seen convection popping in central and western GA where a
slight theta-e gradient and a little bit of moisture pooling and
convergence at the surface may reside. Elsewhere, the cu field is
definitely becoming agitated in places with clear glaciation
taking place per GOES Day Cloud Phase, and would not be surprised
if we get a little bit more convective coverage going soon. SBCAPE
values have surged to 3000+ J/kg across the area with little
noted CIN with 20- 30kts of EBWS across most of the CWA. Forcing
mechanisms are an issue for greater coverage, as we are relying on
boundary layer dynamics to get updrafts rolling, and the morning
sounding did note a very dry air layer aloft at just below 500mb
which may limit updraft strength through dry air entrainment.
Overall, can't rule out a few strong thunderstorms across the
area, and in central GA we likely could see a few cores get tall
enough to warrant severe warnings.

As upper level trough off the east coast continues to slide east
into the north Atlantic, upper level ridge will and surface high
will also slide east over the Appalachians bringing more
continental airmass with it. As a result, back door front looks
like it may impact the CWA during the early morning hours tomorrow
and stall over western GA. For eastern portions of the CWA, this
won't provide much relief temperature-wise, but will put a damper
on the humidity, and keep PoP chances lower. For western GA, PoP
chances will depend on your location relative to the front, with
better precip chances the further to the west you go where
moisture and surface forcing will be much better. Cloud cover
should act to limit maximum temperatures in these locations,
however, which in turn could impact PoP chances as well. Could be
a few showers or even storms as this back door front pushes west,
but uncertainty around convective coverage this afternoon has
confidence low for overnight/early morning impacts.

Lusk

LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

An approaching weak upper level trough sweeping over the northern
Plains will erode the high pressure over central CONUS at the start
of the long term period. The upper level trough will bring a weak
frontal boundary to the CWA Monday, bringing chance to likely PoPs
to the forecast area, particularly over north Georgia. After that,
some uncertainty still remains over where the boundary is likely to
stall over central or southern Georgia thanks to weak forcing as the
atmosphere transitions to zonal flow aloft. Regardless of where the
boundary stalls, disturbances within the flow could bring unsettled
weather to the area throughout the long term period. Given the
uncertainty of the placement of the front at this time, have limited
the PoPs to chance throughout the period with the exception of
Monday afternoon/evening across north Georgia where there is more
agreement over the placement of the frontal boundary. While any
meaningful rainfall will be welcomed as much of northern and central
Georgia are experiencing D0 drought conditions and isolated pockets
of D1 drought conditions, the QPF total throughout the long term
period will only run about 0.5-1.0 inches. Given the likely isolated
to scattered nature of thunderstorm coverage, the possibility of
widespread relief in abnormally dry conditions will be limited. The
good news is that more seasonable temperatures will return to the
forecast area with temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s across
north and central Georgia.

KAL

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...

VFR across the metro sites with some TSRA developing SW of ATL.
Storm coverage may shift towards metro over next few hours, with
TEMPO for potential TS through 03z. Lower cigs may develop
overnight at metro TAF sites with potential to see brief period of
MVFR/upper end IFR cigs near sunrise. Wind through period will be
east 6-12 kts. Added PROB30 for afternoon diurnal convection
around 18-24z

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...

Medium confidence on all elements.

Morgan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  90  69  91 /  20  20  20   5
Atlanta         72  88  72  91 /  30  50  20  20
Blairsville     65  83  63  84 /  30  40  10  30
Cartersville    71  88  69  91 /  40  50  20  30
Columbus        73  88  72  93 /  40  60  30  20
Gainesville     71  88  69  89 /  30  40  20  20
Macon           71  93  69  95 /  40  30  20   5
Rome            73  89  70  92 /  40  50  20  30
Peachtree City  70  88  68  91 /  30  50  20  20
Vidalia         73  92  69  94 /  10  10   5   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....KAL
AVIATION...Morgan

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1005 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-260215-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1005 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe storms across north
and central Georgia will diminish over the next few hours. The
primary hazards with these storms has been damaging wind gusts,
periods of heavy rain, hail, and frequent lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered thunderstorms will be likely through the weekend and
into next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
814 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

GAZ067-068-250045-
Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
814 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Meriwether
and southwestern Pike Counties through 845 PM EDT...

At 813 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Greenville, moving
south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Woodbury, Warm Springs, Gay, Raleigh, Harris City,
Odessadale, Imlac and Durand.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3316 8475 3308 8450 3297 8452 3297 8453
      3296 8453 3296 8452 3290 8453 3289 8474
      3301 8487 3302 8486
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 020DEG 7KT 3304 8467

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
825 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE MONTEZUMA          32.29N  84.02W
06/24/2022                   MACON              GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN NEAR GA26 AND SPAULDING RD. SEVERAL OTHER
            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN WITH 1 MILES OF THIS LOCATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200710

20

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
840 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S RUTLAND             32.71N  83.65W
06/24/2022                   BIBB               GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A FEW TREES DOWN ON WALDEN RD EAST OF US41.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200711

20

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
858 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

GAZ053-054-056-067>069-250130-
Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Upson GA-Spalding GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
858 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern
Spalding, Fayette, eastern Meriwether, Pike, northern Upson and
eastern Coweta Counties through 930 PM EDT...

At 858 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Peachtree City to near Sunnyside. These storms
were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Newnan, Fayetteville, Thomaston, Zebulon, Peachtree City, Tyrone,
Palmetto, Senoia, Woodbury, Brooks, Molena, Williamson, Sharpsburg,
Turin, Meansville, Haralson, Gay, Sunset Village, The Rock and Starrs
Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3351 8462 3350 8461 3352 8459 3354 8452
      3303 8426 3299 8427 3299 8424 3293 8421
      3283 8445 3285 8446 3286 8449 3288 8448
      3287 8452 3351 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 306DEG 2KT 3339 8462 3293 8440

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
919 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             3 S SKIPPERTON          32.70N  83.69W
06/24/2022  E1.75 INCH       BIBB               GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND TREES REPORTED DOWN ON S WALDEN
            RD NEAR INTERSECTION OF DUFFEY DR

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2200712

NM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
931 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

GAZ082-083-095-250200-
Bibb GA-Houston GA-Twiggs GA-
931 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Bibb,
west central Twiggs and northeastern Houston Counties through 1000 PM
EDT...

At 930 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Huber, or 9 miles south
of Macon. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Winds 40 to 50 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
         lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Macon, Warner Robins, Centerville, Bullard, Rutland, Elberta,
Franklinton, Middle Georgia Regional Airport and Huber.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8366 3269 8369 3276 8367 3282 8354
      3278 8349 3273 8345 3267 8346 3262 8350
TIME...MOT...LOC 0130Z 248DEG 1KT 3270 8358

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH