Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Columbia, SC

901 
WWUS52 KCAE 062133
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
533 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

GAC245-SCC065-062143-
/O.CAN.KCAE.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-220506T2145Z/
Richmond GA-McCormick SC-
533 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN RICHMOND AND
SOUTHEASTERN MCCORMICK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central South Carolina.

LAT...LON 3396 8201 3413 8187 3416 8187 3418 8183
      3417 8179 3372 8118 3355 8149 3389 8208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 242DEG 59KT 3396 8147 3375 8117 

$$

SCC003-037-063-081-062145-
/O.CON.KCAE.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-220506T2145Z/
Edgefield SC-Lexington SC-Aiken SC-Saluda SC-
533 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN EDGEFIELD...SOUTHWESTERN LEXINGTON...NORTHEASTERN
AIKEN AND SALUDA COUNTIES...

At 533 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Batesburg-Leesville to 6 miles southwest of
Gaston, moving northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Batesburg-Leesville, Edgefield, Saluda, Johnston, Ridge Spring,
Saluda County Airport, Aiken State Park, Wagener, Pelion, Monetta,
Ward, Strom Thurmond High School, Saluda Co Sheriff's Office, Good
Hope, Northside Fire Station Main, Thor, Emory, Camp Kinard, New
Holland and Samaria Fire Station.

This includes Interstate 20 in South Carolina between mile markers 22
and 44.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection seek shelter inside a sturdy building and stay
away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3396 8201 3413 8187 3416 8187 3418 8183
      3417 8179 3372 8118 3355 8149 3389 8208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 242DEG 59KT 3396 8147 3375 8117 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

MJP

033 
WWUS52 KCAE 062143
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
543 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

SCC003-037-063-081-062153-
/O.EXP.KCAE.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-220506T2145Z/
Edgefield SC-Lexington SC-Aiken SC-Saluda SC-
543 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN EDGEFIELD...
SOUTHWESTERN LEXINGTON...NORTHEASTERN AIKEN AND SALUDA COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 545 PM EDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central South Carolina.

LAT...LON 3396 8201 3413 8187 3416 8187 3418 8183
      3417 8179 3372 8118 3355 8149 3389 8208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 242DEG 59KT 3400 8138 3379 8108 

$$

MJP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
356 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of an approaching
cold front this afternoon. Some of these thunderstorms will be
strong to severe. Saturday will be cooler and drier with a
chance of showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder in the
northeastern Midlands. Several days of dry weather follow
starting on Sunday with gradually warming temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
Quick update for Severe thunderstorm watch for the Midlands and
CSRA through 10pm. Organized convection lifting north-
northeastward through central GA should move into the CSRA after
4pm and continue northeastward across the Midlands providing a
damaging wind threat. Isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out but
the primary threat is damaging winds and large hail.

Previous discussion:
Tornado watch issued for the Upstate SC and western NC. The
strongest SR helicity should remain northwest of the CAE CWA and
southwest in Georgia. Severe threat expected to increase for central
SC and east central Georgia later this afternoon into the evening...

Deepening surface low pressure over Kentucky/Indiana early this
afternoon with a trailing cold front moving east of the Mississippi
Valley. Ahead of the front, Precipitable water increase across SC to
around 1.5 inches with southwest low level flow...Warm air advection
appears weak however. Upper level low over Tennessee moving east-
northeast and taking on negative tilt. Upper level divergence will
be increasing over the Carolina as upper level 100 kt jet rounding
the base of the trough moves east. In addition a strong short wave
trough will approach the Carolinas. This will result in strong lift
across the region during time of peak heating...highs in the mid to
upper 80s as the cold front approaches.

Instability appears to be moderate with SB CAPE 1500-2000 J/kg.
Mixed layer CAPE is low at the moment and with gusty winds probably
mixing down lower dew points later in the day...possible limiting
factor. The CAMS suggest a possible storm mode of discrete cells
early, with low tornado threat given the lack of SR Helicity. Then
with a uni-directional strong shear profile late this afternoon, a
squall line ahead of the front 21z-24z with damaging winds the
primary threat along with hail given relatively low wet-bulb zero
height as the upper low approaches. Went with relatively high pops.
The front should push to the east of the area during the 03z- 06z
period tonight. Drier air will filter in behind the front and the
showers should move into the coastal plain. The stronger cold
advection may be delayed until morning so overnight temps only fall
to around 60.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Upper low will swing over the forecast area Saturday with lower
heights and cooler temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 70s
with mostly cloudy skies. With considerable cooling aloft with the
upper low right over us, could get some showers and maybe even a
thunderstorm to develop, especially in the NE portion of the
forecast area. Saturday night the upper low will shift offshore with
drier air pumping into the forecast area. Overnight lows cooler as
well Saturday night with temperatures in the low to mid 50s.

NW flow aloft across the area Sunday with N flow at the surface with
drier air pumping into the forecast area as PWATs drop to .7 to .8
inches and skies begin to clear from SW to NE. Cold advection and
clouds will keep temperatures in the upper 60s NE to mid 70s SW.
Cold advection will continue overnight with lows in the upper 40s
north and low 50s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Good agreement among global models and their ensemble suites in
the low pressure remaining just east of the area with a
blocking ridge preventing it from pushing further downstream.
All euro ensemble members keep PWATs below an inch with
generally northerly flow continuing. Temperatures will slowly
recover into next week, remaining below normal. The low will
slowly shift back to the west by the middle of the week with
some increasing moisture which may lead to showers developing
late in the period, although moisture will still be fairly
limited.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A cold front will approach from the lower Mississippi Valley by this
evening. Ahead of the front, the air mass is becoming moderately
unstable. The CAMS suggest a convective squall line with a few
discrete cells will develop in east central GA then move northeast
through the area during the 20z-24z. Kept the brief period of IFR
conditions as the thunderstorms moves through the area. Clearing
skies in the late evening with mainly mid level ceilings. Winds will
be southwest 15 to 20 knots with a few higher gusts ahead of the
front then shift to west after 12z Saturday. Strato-cumulus may
develop after 12z Saturday as the upper level low moves over the
area and maybe some brief light showers, but VFR conditions expected.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...There will be another chance for showers
on Saturday, especially across the northern CWA as the upper level
low passes by. Patchy early morning stratus/fog possible
particularly at OGB/AGS on Saturday.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...No significant impacts to aviation
expected.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Columbia SC
439 AM EDT Fri May 6 2022

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ016-018-020>022-025>031-035-037-038-041-115-
116-135>137-070845-
Lincoln-McDuffie-Columbia-Richmond-Burke-Chesterfield-McCormick-
Newberry-Fairfield-Kershaw-Edgefield-Saluda-Lexington-Richland-Lee-
Aiken-Sumter-Barnwell-Calhoun-Clarendon-Bamberg-Northern Lancaster-
Southern Lancaster-Northwestern Orangeburg-Central Orangeburg-
Southeastern Orangeburg-
439 AM EDT Fri May 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Midlands of South Carolina
and the Central Savannah River area of Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A cold front will bring a line of strong to severe thunderstorms
through the area this afternoon. The main threat will be damaging
winds, isolated tornadoes, and large hail. Brief heavy rainfall will
also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0436 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N GROVETOWN           33.48N 82.20W
05/06/2022                   COLUMBIA           GA   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTED TREES DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF
            HORIZON SOUTH PKWY. AND GATEWAY BLVD.

&&

LCV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
501 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     HAIL             2 ENE AUGUSTA DANIEL FI 33.47N 82.01W
05/06/2022  M1.75 INCH       RICHMOND           GA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ALONG SUMMER
            RIDGE DRIVE IN AUGUSTA.

&&

LCV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
505 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL             2 WNW AUGUSTA DANIEL FI 33.48N 82.07W
05/06/2022  E2.00 INCH       RICHMOND           GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORT FROM MEDIA OF HAIL JUST LARGER THAN 2
            INCHES AT THE FIRST BAPTIST CHURCH AT
            WHEELER ROAD AND JACKSON ROAD.

&&

LCV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
507 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             2 NNE BELVEDERE         33.56N 81.93W
05/06/2022  E1.75 INCH       AIKEN              SC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY. 25 AND I-20.

&&

LCV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
509 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

SCZ021-022-028-029-031-062145-
Fairfield SC-Richland SC-Sumter SC-Kershaw SC-Lee SC-
509 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Fairfield, northwestern Lee, northwestern Sumter, northeastern
Richland and Kershaw Counties through 545 PM EDT...

At 508 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Elgin, or 10 miles east of Dentsville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Columbia, Camden, Bishopville, Lake Wateree Dam, Dentsville, Lugoff,
Villages at Sandhill, Cassatt, Elgin, Killian, Sesquicentennial State
Park, Lake Carolina, Fort Jackson, Goodale State Park, Woodfield,
Blythewood, Lucknow, North Central High School, Spring Hill and North
Towne Square Shopping Center.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 20 in South Carolina between mile markers 76 and 116.
 Interstate 77 near mile marker 16, and between mile markers 22 and
29.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central South Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3397 8087 3423 8102 3447 8052 3420 8024
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 241DEG 41KT 3412 8078

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
510 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW CLEARWATER        33.49N 81.92W
05/06/2022                   AIKEN              SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREES DOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF SC HWY. 421 AND STORM BRANCH
            ROAD.

&&

LCV