Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2022
River Flood Warning 13, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Feb 18, 2022, 5:50 AM EST for Erie County, Niagara County, New York. It took effect at Feb 19, 2022, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 18, 2022, 5:50 AM EST (10:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 19, 2022, 9:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 23, 2022, 12:37 AM EST
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Erie County, NY, Niagara County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tonawanda Creek at Rapids (RAPN6). The gauge peaked at 13.93 ft at Feb 21, 2022, 4:00 PM EST.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04218000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
024
WGUS41 KBUF 181050
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
550 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022
...The National Weather Service in Buffalo NY has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in New York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Rapids...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 600 PM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-182300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0013.220219T1400Z-220220T2100Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.220219T1520Z.220220T0000Z.220220T1251Z.NO/
550 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...From Saturday morning to Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:00 AM EST Friday the stage was 9.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late Saturday morning to a crest of 12.8 feet Saturday
evening. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.9 feet on 01/08/2019.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
Hitchcock12 follow-up statements
076
WGUS81 KBUF 182040
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
340 PM EST Fri Feb 18 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia affecting Wyoming, Erie, Niagara and
Genesee Counties.
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.Heavy rain and snowmelt on Thursday will continue to produce a
flood threat through the weekend.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at 330 AM EST.
&&
NYC029-037-063-121-190845-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-220219T0900Z/
/BTVN6.1.RS.220218T2130Z.220219T0000Z.220219T0300Z.UU/
340 PM EST Fri Feb 18 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Batavia.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Flood stage, some flooding in Batavia,
possibly impacting Kibbe Park, Walnut Street, and Law Street.
Flooding in rural areas of Alexander and the lowlands of the
Alabama Swamps with some road closures likely.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late this afternoon to a crest of 9.1 feet this evening. It
will then fall below flood stage late this evening.
- Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
9.0 feet on 11/25/2014.
- For more information please visit
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$
NYC029-063-190845-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.220219T1900Z-220220T2100Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220219T2136Z.220220T0000Z.220220T1500Z.NO/
340 PM EST Fri Feb 18 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 12.2 feet tomorrow evening.
It will then fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
SJW321
WGUS81 KBUF 190949
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
449 AM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville affecting Erie and Genesee
Counties.
Tonawanda Creek At Batavia affecting Wyoming, Erie, Niagara and
Genesee Counties.
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
York...
Allegheny River At Olean affecting Cattaraugus County.
Black Creek At Churchville affecting Monroe and Genesee Counties.
.Heavy rain and rapid snowmelt on Thursday will continue to result
in high flows and flooding today.
For the Black Creek...including Churchville...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Allegheny River...including Olean...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Ellicott Creek...including Williamsville...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Batavia, Rapids...Minor flooding
is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 145 PM EST.
&&
NYC029-037-191845-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-220219T1841Z/
/WILN6.1.RS.220219T0152Z.220219T0547Z.220219T1241Z.NO/
449 AM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville.
* WHEN...Until this afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Flood stage, some flooding begins along
Aero Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some
flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as
the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek
Park. Little or no overall damage.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 4:16 AM EST Saturday the stage was 8.3 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 4:16 AM EST Saturday was 8.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late this morning and continue falling to 2.9 feet Monday
evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
8.3 feet on 02/13/2009.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
4295 7865 4293 7865
$$
NYC029-037-063-121-191900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-220219T1900Z/
/BTVN6.1.RS.220218T2006Z.220219T0145Z.220219T1300Z.UU/
449 AM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Batavia.
* WHEN...Until this afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Moderate flood, flooding along West Main
Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from
Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian
Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some
residential and commercial flooding possible.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 4:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 9.5 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 4:00 AM EST Saturday was 10.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late this morning and continue falling to 3.3 feet Monday
evening.
- Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
9.9 feet on 07/14/2017.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810
4293 7817 4293 7832
$$
NYC009-192200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-220220T1330Z/
/OLNN6.1.RS.220218T1121Z.220219T0131Z.220220T0730Z.NO/
449 AM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Allegheny River At Olean.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, flooding possible on Union
Street in Allegany and East Riverside Drive 1 to 3 miles upstream
of Olean. Some farm lands along the river are also impacted.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 4:16 AM EST Saturday the stage was 12.7 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 4:16 AM EST Saturday was 13.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 6.9 feet
early Thursday morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.3 feet on 03/11/2009.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC029-063-192200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.220219T2136Z-220220T2100Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220219T2136Z.220220T0000Z.220220T1500Z.NO/
449 AM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 4:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late this afternoon to a crest of 12.2 feet this evening. It
will then fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.9 feet on 01/08/2019.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
NYC037-055-192200-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220220T1200Z/
/CHRN6.1.RS.220219T0422Z.220219T1200Z.220220T0600Z.NO/
449 AM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black Creek At Churchville.
* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 4:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 6.5 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 4:00 AM EST Saturday was 6.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 3.9 feet
Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
6.6 feet on 03/22/1984.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
Hitchcock954
WGUS81 KBUF 192159
FLSBUF
Flood Statement...RESENT
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
459 PM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.Heavy rain and rapid snowmelt on Thursday will continue to result
in high flows and flooding through the weekend.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at 500 AM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-201000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220222T0630Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T0440Z.220220T0600Z.220222T0030Z.NO/
459 PM EST Sat Feb 19 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 4:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late this evening to a crest of 12.2 feet just after midnight
tonight. It will then fall below flood stage Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
SJW644
WGUS81 KBUF 201045
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
545 AM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
York...
Allegheny River At Olean affecting Cattaraugus County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
York...
Black Creek At Churchville affecting Monroe and Genesee Counties.
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers.
For the Black Creek...including Churchville...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this morning at 645 AM EST.
&&
NYC009-201145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-220220T1045Z/
/OLNN6.1.RS.220218T1121Z.220219T0131Z.220219T2238Z.NO/
545 AM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Allegheny River At Olean.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 11.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.2 feet early
Thursday afternoon.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4200 7841 4205 7844 4208 7858 4218 7859
4210 7831 4200 7832
$$
NYC029-063-202245-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220222T0630Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1114Z.220220T1200Z.220222T0030Z.NO/
545 AM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 11.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this morning to a crest of 12.2 feet this morning. It will
then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.9 feet on 01/08/2019.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
NYC037-055-202245-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220222T0200Z/
/CHRN6.2.RS.220219T0422Z.220220T1200Z.220221T2000Z.NR/
545 AM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast. This approaches the flood of record.
* WHERE...Black Creek At Churchville.
* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 7.2 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 5:00 AM EST Sunday was 7.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 7.5
feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage
tomorrow afternoon.
- Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
7.5 feet on 03/15/2007.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
Apffel287
WGUS81 KBUF 202228
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
528 PM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
York...
Black Creek At Churchville affecting Monroe and Genesee Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Black Creek...including Churchville...Minor flooding is
forecast.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at 400 AM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-211030-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220222T0800Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T0600Z.220222T0100Z.NO/
528 PM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 12.7 feet and rising.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 5:00 PM EST Sunday was 12.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.0
feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
flood stage Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.1 feet on 01/27/1999.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
NYC037-055-210900-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220221T0900Z/
/CHRN6.1.RS.220219T0422Z.220220T0315Z.220221T0600Z.NR/
528 PM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
This approaches the flood of record.
* WHERE...Black Creek At Churchville.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, Flood stage, more widespread agricultural
land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to
Chili but minimal damages.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 6.4 feet and falling.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 5:00 PM EST Sunday was 7.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 5.4 feet
early Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
6.4 feet on 05/07/2017.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
TMA145
WGUS81 KBUF 210342
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1042 PM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 1045 AM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-211545-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220222T1030Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T0600Z.220222T0417Z.NO/
1042 PM EST Sun Feb 20 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate flood, some residential flooding
with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into
Newstead and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks
such as Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in
some low lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and
Wolcott Road, with widespread farmland flooding.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:17 PM EST Sunday the stage was 13.3 feet and rising.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 10:17 PM EST Sunday was 13.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of near
13.5 feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall
below flood stage late Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.6 feet on 03/11/2009.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
TMA010
WGUS81 KBUF 210839
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
339 AM EST Mon Feb 21 2022
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 345 PM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-212045-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220222T1030Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T0816Z.220222T0417Z.NO/
339 AM EST Mon Feb 21 2022
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate flood, some residential flooding
with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into
Newstead and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks
such as Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in
some low lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and
Wolcott Road, with widespread farmland flooding.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:16 AM EST Monday the stage was 13.6 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 3:16 AM EST Monday was 13.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late this evening and continue falling to 10.8 feet Wednesday
evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.7 feet on 01/02/1991.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
JLA147
WGUS81 KBUF 211642
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1142 AM EST Mon Feb 21 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1145 PM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-220445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220222T1630Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T1616Z.220222T1030Z.NO/
1142 AM EST Mon Feb 21 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 11:16 AM EST Monday the stage was 13.8 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 11:16 AM EST Monday was 13.8 feet.
- Forecast...The creek is cresting at noontime and is expected
to fall below flood stage late tonight and continue falling
to 11.6 feet Thursday morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.9 feet on 01/22/1996.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
DRT757
WGUS81 KBUF 220330
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1030 PM EST Mon Feb 21 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 1030 AM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-221530-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220223T0600Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T2101Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 PM EST Mon Feb 21 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate flood, some residential flooding
with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into
Newstead and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks
such as Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in
some low lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and
Wolcott Road, with widespread farmland flooding.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 13.8 feet and falling.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 10:00 PM EST Monday was 13.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late Tuesday evening and continue falling to 11.4 feet
Wednesday evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.8 feet on 04/05/2005.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
TMA574
WGUS81 KBUF 221132
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
632 AM EST Tue Feb 22 2022
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Attica, Batavia, Rapids...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 200 PM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-222345-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220223T0600Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T2101Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
632 AM EST Tue Feb 22 2022
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Minor flood, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Reservation.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 6:00 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 13.3 feet and falling.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 6:00 AM EST Tuesday was 13.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to lower below flood stage
late this evening before possibly rising back above flood
stage on Thursday.
Rise above flood stage late Thursday morning and continue
rising to 12.4 feet Thursday evening.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.8 feet on 04/05/2005.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
RSH514
WGUS81 KBUF 221753
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1253 PM EST Tue Feb 22 2022
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
.There continues to be flooding on some slower responding rivers and
creeks.
For the Tonawanda Creek...including Rapids...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at 100 AM EST.
&&
NYC029-063-230600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220223T0900Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T2101Z.220223T0300Z.NO/
1253 PM EST Tue Feb 22 2022
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda
Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby,
and Tonawanda Creek Roads.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 12:31 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 12:31 PM EST Tuesday was 13.9 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late this evening and continue falling to 11.2 feet Friday
morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.9 feet on 01/08/2019.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
Apffel817
WGUS81 KBUF 230537
FLSBUF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1237 AM EST Wed Feb 23 2022
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
York...
Tonawanda Creek At Rapids affecting Erie and Niagara Counties.
NYC029-063-230645-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220223T0537Z/
/RAPN6.1.RS.220220T1452Z.220221T2101Z.220223T0145Z.NO/
1237 AM EST Wed Feb 23 2022
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 12:00 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet and slowly
receding.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.4 feet Friday
evening.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863
4315 7847 4302 7846
$$
RSHWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 18, 3:26 AM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 3:26 AM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
326 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Runoff from rain and snowmelt yesterday will continue to produce
flooding today even as temperatures drop well below freezing. Snow
will taper off this morning, but the combination of snow, ice, and
rapidly falling temperatures last night will continue to result in
hazardous travel this morning. Low pressure will pass by to the
north of the region Saturday, producing gusty winds, a few bursts of
snow, and blowing snow. Lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario may
produce locally heavy accumulations across the Tug Hill Plateau.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Precipitation has changed to snow across most of Western NY and the
North Country early this morning. The last of the wintry mix through
the Finger Lakes to points southeast of Lake Ontario will change
over to snow by daybreak. The widespread snow from Western NY to the
North Country will last until shortly after daybreak before rapidly
diminishing in coverage and intensity by mid morning. Some limited
lake effect snow will linger today southeast of Lake Ontario with
additional minor accumulations. A brief period of lake enhancement
and upslope flow will also keep snow going through midday for the
Chautauqua Ridge before ending this afternoon.
Snow amounts from last night into today will not be overly
impressive, but the combination of a wintry mix during the
transition and rapidly falling temperatures will continue to produce
very hazardous travel through the morning hours with many roads
having ice beneath covered by a layer of snow. The highest snowfall
totals will likely be across Niagara and Orleans counties where the
change to snow occurred the earliest last night, and where the most
persistent snow is falling early this morning.
Most areas will be dry by mid afternoon, with the exception of the
southeast corner of Lake Ontario where limited lake effect snow will
continue through early evening.
Our attention then turns to a rather potent clipper system, which
will move from the Upper Great Lakes this evening to the Ottawa
Valley by Saturday, with a trailing cold front crossing the eastern
Great Lakes early Saturday morning. The clipper cold front will
produce a burst of snow showers and possibly snow squalls with its
passage. The clipper cold front will become lake enhanced northeast
and east of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, producing a few inches of
accumulation across Western NY and the eastern Lake Ontario region
late tonight and early Saturday.
Cold air will quickly deepen behind the cold front, with lake
induced equilibrium levels rising to around 10K feet over Lake
Ontario with favorably deep cold air and moisture. The latest model
guidance holds flow westerly over Lake Ontario for roughly 6 hours
on Saturday. Given the favorable thermodynamics and convergence down
the long axis of Lake Ontario, expect a band of heavy lake effect
snow to develop. The band will briefly cross Jefferson County
including Watertown in the morning, then focus on the central Tug
Hill from mid to late morning through late afternoon before moving
south across Oswego County and weakening by early evening. CIPS
analogs, pattern recognition, and high-res guidance suggests the
potential for warning criteria snow amounts on the Tug Hill
Saturday. With this in mind, a Winter Storm Watch for lake effect
snow has been issued east of Lake Ontario.
The clipper will also produce strong wind gusts Saturday. Winds will
peak near the cold frontal passage over and northeast of Lake Erie
Saturday morning, with gusts of 45+ knots possible. Forecast
soundings show enough wind aloft to potentially support a brief
period of low end warning criteria gusts across Western NY, but the
fact that the low begins to fill as it passes our longitude suggests
an advisory event. Regardless, it will be very windy and the
combination of a few inches of snow and strong winds will produce
extensive blowing snow. It will stay windy through the afternoon,
but gusts will come down to around 35 knots or so areawide.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Saturday night...lingering lake snows will focus southeast of the
lakes with winds still out of the west-northwest. Lake snows will
weaken through the night on Saturday and slowly shift to the north
(Lake Ontario), or completely scatter out (Lake Erie). While 850H
temps remain plenty cold enough for a lake response, an incoming
ridge will begin to lower earlier, more favorable equilibrium
heights. As any remaining lake snows shift north early Sunday
morning over Lake Ontario, there may be a brief uptick in the snow
as winds briefly align down the center of the lake. Could see some
accumulations but will be on the light side for counties along the
south shore of Lake Ontario. Otherwise...outside of the residual
lake snow it will be a largely dry night as sfc high over the Ohio
Valley influences the Lower Lakes. Should be the coldest night of
this period...lows in the low teens to below zero in spots. Winds
fall off quickly in the evening and then become light...so it
appears there will not be any wind chill issues.
Sunday...sfc high pressure drifts east but will likely maintain dry
weather as it becomes positioned along the Mid-Atlantic. As this
occurs...southwest flow picks up with moderating temps cross the
region. Daytime highs pushing into the 30s to low 40s.
Sunday night...a weakening front will approach the Lower Lakes from
the north. Not much moisture with it...but we could still see some
flurries with it across the North Country.
Monday through Monday night...the front stalls but will maintain
overall low end chance POPs for the potential of some rain or snow
showers.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A robust storm system originating in the southern branch of a split
flow will highlight this time frame. While the resulting pcpn will
be largely in the form of rain...a half to as much as an inch of
rain on Tuesday will aggravate lingering high flows on area
tributaries.
The pcpn may start as a mix of wet snow and rain on the onset
Tuesday morning...then strong waa ahead of the sfc low over the
Upper Mid West will prompt H85 temps to surge to +6c or so. This
will support that all of the steady pcpn during the midday and
afternoon to be in liquid form...with only the Thousand Islands
region possibly hanging on to a mix.
The sfc low will pass over/close to the region Tuesday night. While
the heaviest/steadiest pcpn will be done at that point...lingering
light pcpn can be expected with pops lowering during the course of
the night.
Strong cold advection in the wake of the exiting system will result
in near steady...if not falling temps...on Wednesday with a
notably colder night Wednesday night. While the vast majority of
this 24 hour will be pcpn free...some lake snows are anticipated on
a veering 290-320 flow.
Thursday will then be characterized by mainly fair cold weather as
ridging at all levels will build east from the Upper Great Lakes.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Widespread IFR/LIFR will continue through around daybreak with snow
in Western NY and the North Country. Mixed precipitation from the
western Finger Lakes to areas southeast of Lake Ontario will change
over to snow by daybreak. The widespread snow will quickly end by
mid morning, although some limited lake effect snow will linger
southeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario today with local IFR.
Outside of lake effect, the IFR this morning will improve to
MVFR/VFR as CIGS gradually improve.
Any lake effect southeast of Lake Ontario near KFZY late this
afternoon will end this evening, with VFR otherwise prevailing most
of tonight. A clipper system will pass north of the area late
tonight and Saturday, bringing increasing winds late tonight and
snow showers toward Saturday morning with IFR developing late.
Outlook...
Saturday...Snow showers and lake effect snow east of the lakes with
areas of IFR. Very windy with blowing snow.
Sunday and Monday...Mainly VFR.
Tuesday...MVFR/IFR possible. Rain.
&&
.MARINE...
Northerly winds will continue to produce Small Craft Advisory
conditions today on Lake Ontario and Lake Erie before diminishing
later this afternoon and evening.
A potent clipper will move from the Upper Great Lakes tonight to the
Ottawa Valley Saturday, with the trailing cold front crossing the
eastern Great Lakes early Saturday morning. This system will bring a
period of gales to Lake Erie and Lake Ontario late tonight through
Saturday.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
...FLOODING ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN NY...
A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire region today
for ongoing multiple flood risks.
Widespread rain yesterday and last night combined with warm
temperatures and extensive snowmelt will continue to result in
high water and flooding in small streams, larger rivers, and
poor drainage areas today, even as temperatures fall well below
freezing. The small stream and poor drainage flooding will
improve through the afternoon as colder temperatures end runoff,
but larger rivers will take longer to recede.
Flooding is ongoing across far western NY with the latest RFC
forecasts suggest many of the larger rivers in Western NY will
reach or exceed flood stage, including all the Buffalo area
creeks, Tonawanda Creek, Cattaraugus Creek, the upper Genesee,
upper Allegheny, and Black Creek. Flood warnings are in effect
for most of these locations.
Ice jams have also produced some additional localized flooding
on the Buffalo area creeks, and ice jams have been noted on a
few smaller creeks across Western NY as well. High flows will
continue to break up and move ice through today, with additional
ice jam flooding issues possible in susceptible areas.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Flood Watch through this evening for NYZ001>008-010>014-
019>021-085.
Winter Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for
NYZ003>008-010>014-019>021-085.
Winter Storm Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for NYZ006>008.
Winter Storm Warning until 9 AM EST this morning for NYZ001-
002.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for LEZ040-
041.
Gale Warning from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Saturday for LEZ040-
041.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon
for LOZ030.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
LOZ043>045.
Gale Warning from 5 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday for
LOZ043>045-063>065.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for
LOZ042.
Gale Warning from 3 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday for LOZ042-062.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock/TMA
NEAR TERM...Hitchcock
SHORT TERM...AR/SW
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Hitchcock
HYDROLOGY...HitchcockHazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 3:46 AM EST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 NYZ001-002-190900- Niagara-Orleans- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Low pressure passing just north of the region will produce strong wind gusts over 50 mph late tonight and Saturday morning. A few inches of snow is also possible, along with extensive blowing and drifting snow. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ003-010>012-019-020-085-190900- Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus- Southern Erie- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Low pressure passing just north of the region will produce strong wind gusts over 50 mph late tonight and Saturday morning. A few inches of snow is also possible, along with extensive blowing and drifting snow. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006>008-190900- Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-005-013-014-021-190900- Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-Allegany- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-190900- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042-062-190900- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ043>045-063>065-190900- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-190900- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-190900- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 346 AM EST Fri Feb 18 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf Hitchcock
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 17, 11:50 PM EST, 6 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1150 PM EST THU FEB 17 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM FLOOD 2 NW PORTAGEVILLE 42.59N 78.07W
02/17/2022 WYOMING NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NY ROUTE 19A CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS NEAR
LETCHWORTH STATE PARK DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
HITCHCOCKLocal storm report, Feb 17, 11:52 PM EST, 5 hours 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1152 PM EST THU FEB 17 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM FLOOD HONEOYE 42.79N 77.52W
02/17/2022 ONTARIO NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
US ROUTE 20A CLOSED IN HONEOYE DUE TO
FLOODING.
&&
HITCHCOCKLocal storm report, Feb 18, 12:07 AM EST, 5 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1207 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1201 AM FLOOD 5 N HINSDALE 42.24N 78.39W
02/18/2022 CATTARAUGUS NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NY ROUTE 16 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO
FLOODING NEAR ISCHUA.
&&
HITCHCOCKLocal storm report, Feb 18, 1:41 AM EST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
141 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 AM FLOOD ALEXANDER 42.91N 78.25W
02/18/2022 GENESEE NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
US 20 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS NEAR ROUTE
98 DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
HITCHCOCKLocal storm report, Feb 18, 2:28 AM EST, 3 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
228 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0146 AM FLOOD CUBA 42.22N 78.28W
02/18/2022 ALLEGANY NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WATER ST CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO
FLOODING.
&&
HITCHCOCKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 11:41 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Ontario and 1 more | 20 hr |
| Feb 18, 12:30 AM EST | River Flood Warning | BUF | Genesee, Wyoming | 5 hr |
| Feb 18, 3:36 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 11 hr |
| Feb 18, 3:39 AM EST | Gale Warning | BUF | 42 hr | |
| Feb 18, 9:25 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Cattaraugus, Erie, Niagara | 65 min |
| Feb 18, 9:45 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Lewis | 28 hr |
| Feb 18, 1:17 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 36 hr | |
| Feb 18, 1:59 PM EST | Wind Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 9 more | 31 hr |
| Feb 18, 2:30 PM EST | Lakeshore Flood Watch | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Oswego | 12 hr |
| Feb 18, 2:43 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 27 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New York, 2022Every river flood warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.