Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 148, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 23, 2022, 4:22 PM CDT for McLean County, Ward County, North Dakota. It was in force for 68 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 23, 2022, 4:22 PM CDT (21:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 23, 2022, 5:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 68 min
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties McLean County, ND, Ward County, ND
The radar
The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 4:25 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | Max, ND | CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM MAX. VARIOUS SIZES OF HAIL WITH THE BIGGEST AT QUARTER SIZE. HEAVY RAIN. DID NOT MEASURE IT YET. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 3 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 370 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -239 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1175 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.0
The text
As transmitted.
189
WUUS53 KBIS 232122
SVRBIS
NDC055-101-232230-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0148.220823T2122Z-220823T2230Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
422 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022
The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
South central Ward County in north central North Dakota...
Northeastern McLean County in south central North Dakota...
* Until 530 PM CDT.
* At 422 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Max, or 12
miles northeast of Garrison, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.
* This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
south central Ward and northeastern McLean Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4784 10144 4793 10126 4756 10089 4745 10112
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 317DEG 20KT 4782 10129
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
JP MARTIN2 follow-up statements
956
WWUS53 KBIS 232141
SVSBIS
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
441 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022
NDC101-232150-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0148.000000T0000Z-220823T2230Z/
Ward ND-
441 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WARD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved into
McLean County.
LAT...LON 4780 10141 4780 10113 4756 10089 4745 10112
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 317DEG 20KT 4775 10119
$$
NDC055-232230-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0148.000000T0000Z-220823T2230Z/
McLean ND-
441 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MCLEAN COUNTY...
At 440 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles southeast of
Max, or 12 miles northeast of Garrison, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
roofs, siding, and trees.
Locations impacted include...
Underwood.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4780 10141 4780 10113 4756 10089 4745 10112
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 317DEG 20KT 4775 10119
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
JP MARTIN431 WWUS53 KBIS 232201 SVSBIS Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Bismarck ND 501 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 NDC055-232230- /O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0148.000000T0000Z-220823T2230Z/ McLean ND- 501 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN MCLEAN COUNTY... At 501 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast of Coleharbor, or 12 miles east of Garrison, moving southeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. Locations impacted include... Underwood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4767 10130 4776 10109 4756 10089 4745 10112 TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 324DEG 16KT 4765 10115 HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH $$ JP MARTIN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 23, 2:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 23, 2:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Bismarck ND 256 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday) Issued at 243 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 Satellite imagery shows thunderstorms over north central North Dakota are beginning to fizzle out while storms begin to bubble across the southwest. An upper level disturbance over eastern Montana extending into western South Dakota will continue move northeastward into North Dakota. Warmer temperatures in the lower 90s with dewpoints in the lower 60s will provide plenty of energy for afternoon storms. This will lead to CAPE values around 1500-2000 j/kg with 0-6km bulk shear up to 30 kts over central North Dakota. Therefore, an isolated strong to severe storm should not be ruled out. Convection continues to bubble up in the southwest this afternoon while the CAMs highlight an area of precip along the HWY 83 corridor this evening. Thunderstorms along a stationary front slowly moving southward, located from Tioga to Minot, could see the greatest chance for severe weather this afternoon. Inverted V soundings and high D-CAPE around 1000 j/kg could support outflow winds up to 60 mph. Quarter size hail is possible this afternoon and evening from any strong to severe storms over central North Dakota. Thunderstorms could also produce brief heavy rain with PWATs well over 1 inch. Rain chances will continue overnight across much of the region. Thunderstorms are possible tonight, however the strong to severe threat should subside. A cold front is expected to move through the area tonight bringing low stratus deck in from Canada that will linger through tomorrow afternoon. Patchy fog is set to develop over portions of north central and northwestern North Dakota early this morning. Low temperatures are forecast to cool off into the upper 50s to lower 60s. High temperatures Wednesday are forecast to stay in 70s across the state with some lingering rain showers across the south. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 243 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 Surface high pressure over the Dakotas is going to progress eastward Thursday as a shortwave over Montana. The aforementioned shortwave is going to increase precipitation chances Friday afternoon across the west. Temperatures are forecast to fairly cool in the upper 70s to 80s through work week with a warming trend returning this weekend. A slow moving cutoff low over the Pacific Northwest is forecast to reach the Northern Plains this weekend bringing increased chances for severe weather over the weekend. The CSU MLP is highlighting a 15% chance for severe weather Friday and Saturday. We will see how models develop the aforementioned system this weekend. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon) Issued at 1248 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening across much of the state. As storms develop AMDs will be made to match current conditions, as confidence on timing and location of storms remains low. VFR conditions will continue this through this evening until a low cloud deck moves in from the north. This will bring widespread IFR to LIFR conditions to the region tomorrow morning. However, KBIS and KJMS may be on the edge of the low cloud deck, therefore they were left VFR for now. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...Johnson LONG TERM...Johnson AVIATION...Johnson
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 23, 2:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Bismarck ND 218 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 NDZ002>005-010>013-019>023-034>036-241930- Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Mountrail-Ward-McHenry-Pierce- Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder- 218 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 /118 PM MDT Tue Aug 23 2022/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, and south central North Dakota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible today through this evening. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible with quarter hail size and winds gusts up to 60 mph. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. NDZ001-009-017-018-025-031>033-037-040>048-050-051-241930- Divide-Williams-McKenzie-Dunn-Foster-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark- Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan- La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey- 218 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2022 /118 PM MDT Tue Aug 23 2022/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota, southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated thunderstorms are possible today through this evening. Severe weather is not likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 23, 2:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
142 PM MDT Tue Aug 23 2022
NDZ033-040-041-232015-
Hettinger ND-Stark ND-Slope ND-
142 PM MDT Tue Aug 23 2022
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
HETTINGER, NORTHEASTERN SLOPE AND SOUTHWESTERN STARK COUNTIES THROUGH
215 PM MDT...
At 142 PM MDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest of
New England, or 17 miles southwest of Dickinson, moving east at 15
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
New England around 200 PM MDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4656 10306 4674 10307 4679 10267 4652 10265
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 267DEG 13KT 4665 10296
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
SAVADELLocal storm report, Aug 23, 4:13 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
413 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL 5 N MAX 47.89N 101.29W
08/23/2022 E0.70 INCH WARD ND EMERGENCY MNGR
HAIL AS LARGE AS DIMES REPORTED ON HIGHWAY
83.
&&
ZHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 7:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Sioux | 30 min |
| Aug 23, 2:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Stark | 33 min |
| Aug 23, 3:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Mountrail, Ward | 55 min |
| Aug 23, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Ward | 66 min |
| Aug 23, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mountrail | 54 min |
| Aug 23, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Sheridan | 60 min |
| Aug 23, 5:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | Bottineau, Rolette | 32 min |
| Aug 23, 5:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bottineau, Rolette | 54 min |
| Aug 23, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burleigh, McLean, Morton, Oliver | 66 min |
| Aug 23, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mercer | 32 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.