Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS La Crosse, WI

541 
WWUS53 KARX 130503
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1203 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

MNC045-130512-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220413T0530Z/
Fillmore MN-
1203 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN FILLMORE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
southeastern Minnesota...and southwestern and west central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4397 9167 4400 9155 4401 9146 4398 9142
      4398 9133 4399 9132 4402 9134 4403 9134
      4407 9131 4406 9128 4407 9127 4405 9122
      4409 9119 4409 9117 4407 9115 4407 9091
      4351 9091 4351 9172 4381 9170
TIME...MOT...LOC 0502Z 251DEG 48KT 4396 9152 4383 9142 4351 9150 

$$

MNC055-169-WIC063-123-130530-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220413T0530Z/
Winona MN-Houston MN-La Crosse WI-Vernon WI-
1203 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINONA...HOUSTON...LA CROSSE AND NORTHWESTERN VERNON
COUNTIES...

At 1202 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Trempealeau to near La Crescent to 7 miles
southeast of Spring Grove, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  La Crescent around 1210 AM CDT.
  La Crosse around 1215 AM CDT.
  West Salem and Stoddard around 1220 AM CDT.
  Bangor around 1225 AM CDT.
  Coon Valley around 1230 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include County
Roads G And H, Brinkman Ridge, Irish Hill, North Side Of La Crosse,
Camp Decorah, South Side Of La Crosse and Goose Island.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 90 in Minnesota between mile markers 254 and 276.
 Interstate 90 in Wisconsin between mile markers 1 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4397 9167 4400 9155 4401 9146 4398 9142
      4398 9133 4399 9132 4402 9134 4403 9134
      4407 9131 4406 9128 4407 9127 4405 9122
      4409 9119 4409 9117 4407 9115 4407 9091
      4351 9091 4351 9172 4381 9170
TIME...MOT...LOC 0502Z 251DEG 48KT 4396 9152 4383 9142 4351 9150 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Skow

913 
WWUS53 KARX 130512
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1212 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

MNC055-169-WIC063-123-130530-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220413T0530Z/
Winona MN-Houston MN-La Crosse WI-Vernon WI-
1212 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINONA...EASTERN HOUSTON...LA CROSSE AND
NORTHWESTERN VERNON COUNTIES...

At 1212 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Trempealeau to La Crosse Airport to near New
Albin, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  La Crosse around 1215 AM CDT.
  West Salem and Stoddard around 1220 AM CDT.
  Bangor around 1225 AM CDT.
  Coon Valley around 1235 AM CDT.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 90 in Minnesota between mile markers 262 and 276.
 Interstate 90 in Wisconsin between mile markers 1 and 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4400 9155 4401 9146 4398 9142 4398 9133
      4399 9132 4402 9134 4403 9134 4407 9131
      4406 9128 4407 9127 4405 9122 4409 9119
      4409 9117 4407 9115 4407 9091 4351 9091
      4351 9155 4380 9151
TIME...MOT...LOC 0512Z 249DEG 50KT 4400 9137 4387 9127 4352 9134 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Skow

551 
WWUS53 KARX 130524
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1224 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

MNC055-169-WIC063-123-130533-
/O.EXP.KARX.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220413T0530Z/
Winona MN-Houston MN-La Crosse WI-Vernon WI-
1224 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINONA...EASTERN
HOUSTON...LA CROSSE AND NORTHWESTERN VERNON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
1230 AM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
southeastern Minnesota...and southwestern and west central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4400 9155 4401 9146 4398 9142 4398 9133
      4399 9132 4402 9134 4403 9134 4407 9131
      4406 9128 4407 9127 4405 9122 4409 9119
      4409 9117 4407 9115 4407 9091 4351 9091
      4351 9155 4380 9151
TIME...MOT...LOC 0523Z 250DEG 50KT 4405 9120 4392 9110 4357 9117 

$$

Skow

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
611 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

Key Messages:

 - Gusty winds/scattered storms late this afternoon with hail
   potential

 - Severe weather risk this evening/tonight, highest west of the
   MS River

 - Strong, gusty winds likely on Thursday

Tonight: Severe Storm Risk

The main focus late this afternoon and tonight remains on severe
storm potential. Preceding the surface low, gusty S/SE winds have
developed in conjunction with strengthening low-level flow. Gusts
have locally reached 45 to 50 mph in some areas so did issue a short
wind advisory for areas west of the MS River. Additionally, showers
and storms will continue to translate northeast with a slug of
strong mid-level warm advection on the edge of the elevated
instability axis through late afternoon. With the steepening mid-
level lapse rates, any storms may produce some hail, with a few
storms likely to produce hail to 1"+.

Heading into this evening, the filling surface low will lift from
eastern NE into southern MN with its associated warm front lifting
north into the area. Despite the extensive low clouds north of
the boundary, an airmass change will occur as the boundary lifts
north with increasing dew points/temps. While a plume of elevated
instability will lift north through the afternoon/evening as lapse
rates steepen aloft, a pool of MLCAPE will spread north and east
more gradually and weaken ahead of the low/cold front this
evening/tonight.

After the initial warm advection storms, the general expectation is
for storms to develop late this afternoon closer to the triple point
in western IA/eastern NE/southwest MN spreading east through evening
and likely organizing into a linear band of storms by the time they
approach. HREF UH paintballs show clustering across western
IA/southern MN during the evening, with storms approaching the local
area by late evening (10-11 pm), weakening as they track east
into WI overnight. Scattered elevated storms also could form by
early to mid evening near the warm front in northern IA/southern
MN/northern WI as the low-level jet strengthens posing primarily a
hail threat given the strong low-level stability/capping in the
warm sector.

There remains some uncertainty in the evolution/strength of the
storms late this evening. RAP soundings show fairly stable/capped
low-levels despite the moistening/increasing MLCAPE through the
evening. The window for surface-based storms looks quite narrow,
focused right ahead of the approaching front. This is when the risk
for damaging winds or an isolated tornado would be maximized with
any bowing segments/mesovortices, especially across far
southwestern counties where HREF/RAP fields show SBCAPE/MLCAPE
maximized over 1000 J/kg. Some severe weather risk could persist
into western WI, although buoyancy will be on the decline
overnight as storms move into this area. Despite the impressive
low-level shear, the low-level thermodynamic profiles and late
evening/overnight timing decreases confidence in the overall
threat, especially with eastward extent, but it will be an evening
to keep on eye on trends as storms begin to develop, given the
rapid airmass change as warm, moist air advects north.

Wednesday/Wednesday Night

Upper level closed low over the Northern Plains States lifts slowly
northeast into northern Minnesota Wednesday into Thursday. Several
pieces of energy rotate around the closed upper level low into the
Upper Mississippi River valley. Main surface front passes across the
forecast area early Wednesday morning. This will push the deeper
moisture transport/east of the forecast area during the day
Wednesday. However...with pieces of energy rotating around the upper
closed low...showers and potentially a few thunderstorms will linger
mainly along and east of the Mississippi River Wednesday afternoon.
Cooler temperatures will advect in behind the surface front and
allow for temperatures to remain nearly steady or fall into the
middle 40s to lower 50s by middle of Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday

Focus turns to the windy conditions across the forecast area
Thursday. Combination of pressure gradient tightening and winds
aloft mixing down to the surface will produce windy conditions
across the forecast area. Both of the NAM/GFS Bufkit soundings show
45 to 50 knots at the top of the mixed layer. Expect wind gusts to
be 40 to 50 miles per hour. Along with the windy
conditions...rain/snow showers will develop Thursday afternoon and
mainly over the northern half of the forecast area.

Friday through Tuesday

Main forecast concerns Friday through Tuesday are precipitation
chances Sunday into Monday. Upper level closed low/trough slowly
pulls east of the Upper Mississippi River valley and another
shortwave trough will track into the Northern Plains States this
weekend. The 12.12z deterministic GFS/ECMWF show some differences on
the strength with the shortwave trough. This will have impacts on
timing of precipitation chances. Depending on temperatures Sunday
into Monday...light snow will continue to be possible across much of
the forecast area. The deterministic models continue to show cooler
airmass filtering in with the shortwave trough and into early next
week. The 12.12z GFS/ECMWF indicate 925mb temperatures around 0
degrees celsius to minus 4 degrees celsius through the forecast
period. Temperatures will remain well below normal...with highs
mainly in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

The next round of convection is quickly developing over northern
Iowa and is expected to expand northeast into the area this
evening. Current expectations are that thunderstorms will be
possible at both sites from mid-evening through about midnight or
so with MVFR/IFR conditions. Behind the storms, lingering
showers/rain for awhile overnight with what should be VFR ceilings
before the ceilings go back down to MVFR late tonight as the
showers/rain come to an end. The winds will be gusty out of the
southeast this evening coming around to the south/southwest
overnight before going west once the front goes through early
Wednesday morning.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...DTJ/JM
AVIATION...04

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
326 AM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-131230-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
326 AM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are possible this evening and early
tonight, mainly across northeast Iowa and southeast Minnesota.
Hail and damaging winds would be the main threats along with a
narrow window of opportunity for a few tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Strong west to southwest winds develop on Thursday with gusts of
40 to 50 mph possible. Scattered snow showers are possible north
of Interstate 90 that, when combined with the strong winds, may
lead to brief visibility reductions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Severe weather reports may be needed this evening.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

KDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1100 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1048 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW TAOPI              43.55N 92.65W
04/12/2022                   MOWER              MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF DAMAGE TO RESIDENCE JUST SOUTHWEST OF TOWN. POSSIBLE
            TORNADO.

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1106 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1048 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TAOPI                   43.56N 92.64W
04/12/2022                   MOWER              MN   911 CALL CENTER

            ANOTHER REPORT OF HOME DAMAGE IN TOWN

1105 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHARLES CITY            43.07N 92.68W
04/12/2022  E60 MPH          FLOYD              IA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            AT FIRE STATION

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1112 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1109 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW SPRING VALLEY      43.67N 92.42W
04/12/2022  E60 MPH          FILLMORE           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1114 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1109 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW SPRING VALLEY      43.68N 92.40W
04/12/2022                   FILLMORE           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER POLES BLOWN DOWN

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1119 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 E CHARLES CITY        43.07N 92.62W
04/12/2022  M64 MPH          FLOYD              IA   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KCCY CHARLES CITY AIRPORT.

&&

JAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1126 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW SPRING VALLEY      43.66N 92.42W
04/12/2022                   FILLMORE           MN   PUBLIC

            BARN DOWN.

&&

JAR