Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2022

Storm Warning 4, NWS Juneau, AK

January 8, 2022

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 8, 2022, 2:54 PM AKST. It was in force for 32 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 8, 2022, 2:54 PM AKST (23:54 UTC)
Expired
Jan 9, 2022, 11:09 PM AKST
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

032 
FZAK52 PAJK 082354
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-091800-
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front lifts northward through the region Saturday
evening through Sunday. At the same time, a strong area of low 
pressure moves northward toward Kodiak Island by Sunday evening. 
Outlook. A series of strong lows and fronts move into the region 
next week. 

$$

PKZ041-091800-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt late. Seas 12 ft 
building to 17 ft late. Snow early in the evening. Rain in the 
evening, then rain and snow late. 
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-091800-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING AND LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt in the evening, diminishing to 30 kt, then
becoming SE 35 kt late. Seas 15 ft. Snow early in the evening. 
Rain. Snow in the evening.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-091800-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain, snow.
.SUN...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt late. Seas
26 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-091800-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft late.
Freezing spray. Rain with snow and freezing rain late. 
.SUN...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow in the morning. Rain and freezing rain. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain and freezing
rain in the evening, then rain late. 
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-091800-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
254 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 17 ft late. Rain
late. 
.SUN...E storm force wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
678 
FZAK52 PAJK 091253
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-100700-
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front lifts northward through the region Sunday. At 
the same time, a strong area of low pressure moves northward 
toward Kodiak Island by Sunday evening. Outlook. A series of 
strong lows and fronts move into the region next week. 

$$

PKZ041-100700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 17 ft building to 
27 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 23 ft. 
Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-100700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 
27 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-100700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt. Seas building to 25 
ft. Snow early in the morning. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt late. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-100700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt. Seas 14 ft building to
27 ft. Snow early in the morning. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-100700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
353 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...STORM WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt. Seas 17 ft building to
26 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$
257 
FZAK52 PAJK 100038
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-101845-
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A storm force low will cross the outer coast west of Yakutat by
this evening. Gale force winds will persist over the eastern
Gulf of Alaska through Monday as a wave rides north along the
existing frontal boundary. Outlook. A series of strong lows and 
fronts will move over the region through mid week. 

$$

PKZ041-101845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt late. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 20 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-101845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SE 40 kt late. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain in the evening. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 20 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-101845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-101845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt late. Seas 22 ft.
Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 22 ft. 
.FRI...SE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 22 ft
subsiding to 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-101845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
338 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SE swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 22 ft. 
.FRI...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft. 

$$
724 
FZAK52 PAJK 100809
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-110215-
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low moves northward through the central gulf through
Tuesday. At the same time, an associated front lifts north 
through the Panhandle. Outlook. A series of additional lows and 
fronts will move northward through the Gulf this week. 

$$

PKZ041-110215-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 20 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-110215-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 20 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-110215-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-110215-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 22 ft. 
.FRI...SE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 22 ft
subsiding to 16 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-110215-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
1109 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the 
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SE swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 22 ft. 
.FRI...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 8, 11:06 AM AKST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 11:06 AM AKST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1106 AM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

.UPDATE...With the first front stalling across the southern
Panhandle, critical level has been induced across Salsbury Ridge
east of Downtown Juneau, beginning early this morning, after a few
observations in excess of 50 KT, we elected to go ahead and issue
a high wind warning through 6 PM, as the onset of precipitation
will ease winds. While we considered beginning the winter storm
warning early to account for the high winds and blowing snow, we
decided against trying to message that the snow would not begin as
early.

We are also concerned with some 100 year recurrence intervals of
precipitation and will coordinate with APRFC regarding potential
flooding issues for Monday across the south. While it is not cut
and dry, the fact that we will have such a deep snowpack might
make issues more pronounced than otherwise.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION......ISSUED AT ...712 AM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

SHORT TERM.../Through Sunday/

**SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA**

Impressive meteorological set up for the incoming winter storm
that could bring record daily snowfall to many locations around
Southeast Alaska. Strong upper jet dynamics exist over the region
already this morning. Enhanced lift from the entrance region of a
110kt jet streak over the Southern Panhandle combined with a
stalled surface boundary have allowed snow showers to break out
across the south this morning. Snowfall accumulations of 1 to 5
inches have fallen already prompting the winter weather hazards to
go into effect much earlier than originally planned. The snow
showers from this morning are actually not associated with the big
system approaching from the south. However on the ground you may
not notice the difference as these snow showers will likely linger
around until the main event begins.

Later this afternoon, the northern and southern branches of the
jet streams phase, allowing for significant amplification of the
storm system approaching in the southern gulf. SE Alaska will be
placed in a prime location for significant lift as a jet couplet
between the right entrance region of the northern jet and the
exit region of an approaching 120 kt southern stream jet streak
move overhead. In the mid levels of the atmosphere, copious
amounts of subtropical moisture will be pumped northward into
Southeast Alaska. Closer to the surface, a deep arctic airmass
has been in place for weeks and will be hard to scour out despite
strong southerly flow. Currently at the Juneau Forecast the
temperature is -15 F as of the writing of this AFD. All of this
combined will set the stage for an extremely impactful winter
storm across the region.

For early Saturday morning, a weak lee side low exists in the
northern gulf with a frontal boundary extending eastward across
the Southern Panhandle. As mentioned above, this has been the
focus for snow shower activity this morning. This weak system will
get absorbed by the main player coming in from the south this
afternoon. Snow showers will persist across the Southern Panhandle
today as one of the main fronts lifts northward toward the
region. With impressive upper dynamics, would not be surprised to
see snowfall rates of 1-2+ inches per hour with any given shower
today. Expect snowfall coverage and intensity to only increase and
begin to push northward by late tonight.

By Sunday precipitation overspreads the entire region as the first
frontal boundary pushes northward and a deep 955 mb surface low
makes its way northward in the western gulf. A much stronger
occluded front approaches the Outer Coast Sunday morning with
strong mid level wind dynamics and much warmer air. This part of
the system will also enhance lift and continue to help pump up
moisture from the south leading to impressive precipitation
rates. Due to warm air approaching, expect areas along the Outer
Coast and South to warm above freezing and switch over to rain.
Further north and inland, the cold airmass will continue to win
out allowing for very heavy snowfall to persist. Snowfall rates
exceeding 2+ inches per hour are likely Sunday especially along
the Coast Mountains to Juneau to Upper Lynn Canal. At the same
time, winds will dramatically increase along the Coast and through
the Southern Panhandle where winds could gust 40 to 50 mph as the
occluded front pushes in. High end gales to low end storms
expected along the Outer Coast at the peak of the event Sunday
morning. Small craft to gale force conditions will persist through
much of the Inner Channels through Sunday. Areas that see strong
wind will likely warm up above freezing faster and therefore
change over to rain. Lower confidence exists in the exact
changeover time from snow to rain along the outer coast. An
earlier changeover would mean significantly lower snowfall
totals, but much higher liquid rain.

Overall the main changes to the forecast this morning were to
increase snowfall for the southern Panhandle due to the weak
frontal boundary. Also increased snowfall amounts for Hyder and
along the Coast Mountains. Allowed the winter weather hazard to
begin for the south due to the heavy snow showers. Increased
snowfall totals for Hyder, as cold air damming and significant
orographic lifting typically allows this area to remain colder
longer and receive much heavier precip than guidance suggests.
Other than that, the forecast remains largely on track with 12 to
30+ inches of snow likely for much of the Panhandle. Lowest
confidence exists in the change over from snow to rain for most
places. There is the possibility some northern areas could stay
snow for the entirety of the event; however model guidance still
disagrees with the northern extent of the "warmer" air.

LONG TERM...(Sunday) A pattern change is expected in the long
term with a warm-up, back-to-back precipitation events, and
strong coastal winds.

A very wet weekend and next week is expected with multiple back-
to- back rounds of subtropical moisture being pushed northwards.
Winter Storm Warnings will be in effect through late Sunday
night.Behind them, precipitation will continue through the week.
As the major system which brought such substantial impacts departs
and is replaced by system after system racing out of the South.
Ensembles and operational runs alike continue to be at odds with
timing, intensity, and location of these systems. All however,
agree that these systems will bring a mixture of rain, snow, and
perhaps even some freezing drizzle to the area.

With this in mind, made few changes to the wind grids-as wind
direction and speed will be largely dependent on the timing and
placement of various systems. Moved temperatures more towards the
NBM, which slightly moderated the warmup, while still keeping it
in forecast-as is supported by anticipated 850 mb heights. Am
confident in continued existence of warmup as the parade of
systems will successfully scour most of the cold air out of the
area, though some areas could switch back to snow during nighttime
periods.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM AKST Sunday for AKZ026-028.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM AKST Sunday for AKZ027.
     Strong Wind late tonight for AKZ027.
     Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to 9 PM AKST Sunday
     for AKZ020>022-024-025.
     High Wind Warning until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind from 6 PM AKST this evening through late tonight for
     AKZ025.
     Winter Storm Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to noon AKST
     Sunday for AKZ023.
     Winter Storm Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM AKST
     Monday for AKZ029.
     Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 6 AM AKST Monday
     for AKZ017>019.
     Strong Wind through late tonight for AKZ018.
     Wind Chill Advisory until midnight AKST tonight for AKZ018.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ011.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ013.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ032.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012-031.
     Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-021-022-031-041>043-051-052-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-032>036-053.

&&

99/99

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 8, 10:55 AM AKST, 3 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1055 AM AKST SAT JAN 8 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0802 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N DOUGLAS             58.29N 134.39W
01/08/2022  M70 MPH          PKZ031             AK   MESONET

            MESONET STATION JMLA2 AML DOCK JUNEAU.

&&
Special weather statement, Jan 8, 2:33 PM AKST, 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Juneau AK
233 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

AKZ017>022-024-025-029-091500-
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area-
Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway-Haines Borough and Lynn Canal-
Glacier Bay-Eastern Chichagof Island-
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area-
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island-
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island-Misty Fjords-
Including the cities of Yakutat, Skagway, Haines, Gustavus,
Hoonah, Elfin Cove, Pelican, Angoon, Juneau, and Hyder
233 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...RAIN AND HIGH FREEZING LEVELS TO FOLLOW SIGNIFICANT WEEKEND
WINTER STORM...

There is high confidence in a pattern shift with rain and warmer
temperatures next week following a significant winter storm that
will likely drop more heavy snow across our region. Winter storm
warnings have been issued for heavy snow amounts across Southeast
Alaska. As snow transitions to rain or even heavy rain Sunday
into Monday, conditions will worsen, become very slippery, and
promote ponding. Additional heavy snow on top of already deep
snowpack on roof-tops and other structures, boats, and aircraft
will become heavier as rain-soaked snow challenges load
capability. Rain in higher terrain and higher freezing levels
could also lead to a risk of nuisance flooding into next week.
Finally, we are also concerned that an abrupt rise in temperatures
and freezing levels could mean an increased risk of avalanches
near steep terrain.

While nuisance flooding could occur, no flooding of rivers and
streams is expected.

AKZ023-027-028-091500-
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Sitka, Port Alexander, Craig, Klawock,
Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
233 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...RAIN AND HIGH FREEZING LEVELS AFTER WINTER STORM COULD PROMPT
NUISANCE FLOODING SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...

After a winter storm passes Saturday night, precipitation changes
to rain. With a deep snow pack in many locations across the
southern Panhandle, nuisance flooding could develop in parts of
the southern Panhandle. A flood watch has been posted for the
Ketchikan area as confidence is higher for significant ponding and
yard flooding, given the heavy rain forecasted over the deep snow
pack. Other areas could develop issues as well. Otherwise, surface
conditions will become very slippery. Unplowed areas will become
difficult to pass. In addition, heavy snow loads on roof-tops,
boats, and idle aircraft will be challenged by the heavy rains for
Sunday into Monday. While nuisance flooding could occur, no
flooding of rivers and streams is expected.

AKZ026-091500-
Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island-
Including the cities of Petersburg, Wrangell, and Kake
233 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...RAIN AND HIGH FREEZING LEVELS AFTER WINTER STORM COULD PROMPT
NUISANCE FLOODING SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...

After a winter storm passes Sunday, precipitation changes to
rain Sunday night. With a deep snow pack in many locations across
the south central Inner Channels, nuisance flooding could develop
in parts of the region. Otherwise, surface conditions will become
very slippery. Unplowed areas will become difficult to pass.
Heavy snow loads on roof- tops, boats, and idle aircraft will be
challenged by the heavy rains for Sunday night into Monday.

While nuisance flooding could occur, no flooding of rivers and
streams is expected.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 3:36 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK56 hr
Jan 7, 3:37 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 days
Jan 7, 3:40 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK3 days
Jan 7, 3:51 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK56 hr
Jan 7, 3:51 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK3 days
Jan 7, 3:51 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK23 hr
Jan 8, 3:54 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK72 hr
Jan 8, 4:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Jan 8, 6:12 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAJK18 hr
Jan 8, 10:32 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAJK7 hr
Jan 8, 2:01 PM AKSTFlood WatchAJK3 days
Jan 8, 2:54 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK61 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2022Every storm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.