High Wind Warning 2, NWS Fairbanks, AK

912 
WWAK72 PAFG 082347
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
247 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

AKZ211-091600-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0002.220109T0300Z-220110T0300Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including the cities of Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
247 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
AKST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds will blow around loose items, and could down 
  power lines. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in the
  typical channeled areas east of Nome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure loose objects that could be blown about by the wind. Use
caution while driving.
 
&&

$$

AKZ212-091600-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0002.220109T0300Z-220110T0300Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including the cities of Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, 
Koyuk, and Shaktoolik
247 PM AKST Sat Jan 8 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
AKST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds will blow around loose items, and could down
  power lines. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in the
  Nulato Hills and in the typical channeled areas between Elim 
  and Shaktoolik.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure loose objects that could be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

683 
WWAK72 PAFG 091016
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
116 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

AKZ211-100300-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0300Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including the cities of Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
116 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds will blow around loose items, and could down 
  power lines. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in the 
  typical channeled areas east of Nome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure loose objects that could be blown about by the wind. Use
caution while driving.

&&

$$

AKZ212-100300-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0300Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including the cities of Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, 
Koyuk, and Shaktoolik
116 AM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds will blow around loose items, and could down 
  power lines. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in the 
  Nulato Hills and in the typical channeled areas between Elim 
  and Shaktoolik.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Secure loose objects that could be blown about by the wind.

&&

$$

178 
WWAK72 PAFG 092211
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
111 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

AKZ211-100300-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0300Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including the cities of Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
111 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds will blow around loose items, and could down 
  power lines. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in the 
  typical channeled areas east of Nome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means hazardous high winds are occurring or
expected. Take precautions to protect life and prevent property
damage.

&&

$$

AKZ212-100300-
/O.CON.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0300Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including the cities of Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, 
Koyuk, and Shaktoolik
111 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM AKST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Winds will blow around loose items, and could down 
  power lines. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in the
  Nulato Hills and in the typical channeled areas between Elim and
  Shaktoolik. Unalakleet winds have also increased this afternoon
  and will remain strong through the early evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means hazardous high winds are occurring or
expected. Take precautions to protect life and prevent property
damage.

&&

$$

304 
WWAK72 PAFG 100258
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
558 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

AKZ212-100400-
/O.CAN.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0300Z/
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk, 
and Shaktoolik
558 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Very strong winds are diminishing and the High Wind Warning is
canceled.

$$

AKZ211-100600-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0600Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
558 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...At Golovin and in channeled areas east of Nome.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM AKST this evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in Golovin
  and the typical channeled areas east of Nome. Winds will
  continue to diminish this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means hazardous high winds are occurring or
expected. Take precautions to protect life and prevent property
damage.

&&

$$

704 
WWAK72 PAFG 100543
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
843 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

AKZ211-100900-
/O.EXT.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0900Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
843 PM AKST Sun Jan 9 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...At Golovin and in channeled areas east of Nome.

* WHEN...Until midnight AKST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected in 
  Golovin and the typical channeled areas east of Nome. Winds 
  will continue to diminish this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means hazardous high winds are occurring or
expected. Take precautions to protect life and prevent property
damage.

&&

$$

428 
WWAK72 PAFG 100900
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1200 AM AKST Mon Jan 10 2022

AKZ211-101000-
/O.EXP.PAFG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220110T0900Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including the cities of Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
1200 AM AKST Mon Jan 10 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...


$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
345 PM AKST Fri Jan 7 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold conditions over Northern Alaska will change to very cold and
windy tonight through Sunday. Areas prone to strong northeast
winds will see blowing snow and very cold wind chills tonight
through Sunday. A significant warm up is expected south of the
Brooks Range Sunday night and Monday, with conditions remaining
above normal south of the Brooks Range most of next week.

On the North Slope, cold wind chills will continue into Sat over
the Eastern Arctic Coast, with low visibility tonight near
Kaktovik. In Brooks Range Passes, gusty north winds causing
blowing and drifting snow and very cold wind chills will continue
through Sun night.

In the Eastern Interior, Northeast winds gusting to 45 mph
developing over Summits of the Steese, Elliot and Dalton Highways
late tonight will cause blowing and drifting snow and very cold
wind chills from late tonight through early Mon. Winds will be
less from Fairbanks south. The Delta Junction area will see east
winds and cold wind chills developing early Sat that will continue
through Sun night.

Over the West Coast and Western Interior, strong northeast winds
of 40 to 50 mph will develop Sat from Nome and Huslia south, with
the Coast from St Michael to Nome having gusts over 60 mph into
Sun night. The will be areas of low visibility in blowing snow
over inland areas.

Aloft...
A long wave ridge over NE Russia and Northern AK will retrograde
west over NE Russia this weekend as a strong short wave trough
drops from near the North Pole south over Western Canada and
Eastern AK. This will keep generally dry and cold than normal
conditions over Northern AK into the end of the week.

A second and stronger short wave will drop south over NE Alaska
tonight, into move into SW Alaska Sat and into the SE Bering Sea
on Sun. This will cause weak south flow aloft to develop over AK
south of the Brooks Range Sun PM into Mon, causing clouds and
temperatures to increase south of the Brooks Range.

Surface...
An Arctic Cold front that lies from the Yukon Delta to Provideniya
will move south of St Matthew Island tonight. This is causing
northeast winds along the West Coast.

A secondary Arctic front lies from Old Crow to Utqiagvik will
move to Northway to Point Lay by 3am Sat, to Yakutat to Cook
Inlet to Point Hope by 3pm Sat, to The Gulf of Alaska Coast to Nunivak
Island to Provideniya by 3am Sun, and to along the Gulf of Alaska
Coast to Bristol Bay to along the dateline by 3PM Sun. There are
low to mid level clouds and flurries with this front north of the
Brooks range, that will spread as mid level clouds with a few
flurries over the Interior tonight and Sat with the front, with
clouds tapering off Sat night. There is very cold air with the
front adding to the winds that will accompany and follow the
front, with NE winds of 15 to 25 mph in most exposed areas, and
gusts to 45 mph over channeled terrain such as passes. Will see
blowing snow and low visibility in these windier areas.

A strong low will move north into the Gulf of Alaska on Sun.
The occluded front associated with this will move northwest
over the Interior Sun PM through Mon, bringing southerly flow
aloft along with clouds, warmer temperatures and a chance of snow
for Sun PM into Mon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Models initialize well aloft at 12Z, and show similar solutions
through 3pm Sat. After that time, the NAM weakens the low aloft
moving into the SE Bering Sea much more than other the GFS/ECMF
and Canadian Models. For this reason we favor a blend of the
GFS/ECMF and Canadian models for features aloft.

For precipitation, all models show nil precip through Sun AM, then
a chance of precip moving into the Interior Sun night and Mon.
Favor a blend of the GFS and ECMF precip for Sun PM into Mon,
which just brings a chance north into the Interior.

At the surface at 15Z, models verify well on most features but all
are a few mb weak on the high north of Wrangel Island.As that
high builds SE over the North Slope today through Sat, the
Canadian and NAM models keep the pressure several MB high over the
North Slope. The NAM and Canadian also verify better on the
strong west winds at Barter Island this morning compared to the
GFS and ECMF. Differences are not as pronounced at the surface after
Sat, but since we favor the GFS/ECMF aloft, we will use a blend
of the GFS and ECMF or Sat night into Mon for surface features
and winds. Expect that model surface winds do not fully account
for strong gusts that will mix down Sat into Sun from the Central
Interior to Norton Sound, so we will adjust winds up 5-10 kt under
the 850 mb jet core from Sat PM into Sun PM.

Bottom line for models is we will use a blend of the NAM/GFS/ECMF
and Canadian for temps, clouds, precip through Sat, bringing mid-
high clouds over the Ern Interior tonight and Sat with the
secondary Arctic front. Will use a blend of the GFS and ECMF for
Sat night into Mon for temps/ clouds/precip. At the surface will
use a blend of the NAM and Canadian through Sat, then use a blend
of the GFS and ECMF, but bump up winds 5-10kt Sat PM to Sun PM
under the 850 MB jet core that develops from the Central Interior
to Norton Sound.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 304 AM AKST Fri Jan 7 2022/

SYNOPSIS...Relatively quiet weather continues across the
forecast area. Strong gusty winds on the Eastern Arctic Coast with
blowing snow this morning, but expect improving conditions later
this afternoon. Winds will be increasing on the hills in the
Interior with blowing snow developing on the summits along the
Steese, Elliott, and Dalton Highways tonight impacting travel
through those areas. Temperatures falling through the day and
overnight in most areas.

DISCUSSION...

Models...The 07/00Z solutions continue the good run to run
continuity that we have seen over past couple weeks, and are in
good agreement today through the midrange. Not a very active
pattern, so will again be using a general blend of the solutions
for the short term as differences are minor across the board.
Temperatures will continue to be a bit tricky as any wind or
clouds can make temperatures much warmer, and no diurnal trend
adds to the difficulty in accurate temperature forecasts, even in
the very short term. Cold air advection will keep temperatures
down through Sunday morning, then warming as warmer air surges
north across to the Brooks Range to start the week.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...A 555 dam high is 200 nm south of Wrangel
Island with the axis extending southeast over the Lower Yukon
Delta, King Salmon, and Kodiak Island. The low that was over the
Canadian Archipelago has moved over Nunavut and the associated
trough has moved south over the Copper River Basin. A couple more
shortwaves are caught in the flow diving south with one over the
Brooks Range, and another approaching the Arctic Coast. Troughing
remains south of the Aleutians. By Saturday morning the high will
be 200 nm southwest of Wrangel Island with the ridge axis
extending southeast over the Gulf of Anadyr and Bristol Bay the
southeast. Low will remain over Nunavut with trough extending
southwest to a 510 dam low that will develop over the Copper
River Basin overnight. At 850 hpa...-10C isotherm lies from Point
Hope to Minchumina, then south, and the -20C isotherm lies from
Point Lay to Fort Yukon to Northway. Cold air will push southwest
as the -10C isotherm will be south and west of the forecast area
by Saturday morning, and the -20C isotherm will lie from Cape
Lisburne to Buckland to McGrath, then south of the Alaska Range.
Pools of colder air will develop north of the Alaska and Brooks
Ranges with temperatures to -35C by Saturday afternoon.

Surface...A 1038 mb high is 300 nm north of Wrangel Island with
high pressure extending southeast across the northwest coast to a
1033 mb high near Umiat, then Southeast to a 1026 mb high near
the Top of the World Highway crossing. A weak front is moving
south near the Eastern Arctic Coast, while another front that
moved through the area yesterday is moving across the Alaska Range
as it continues to weaken. This afternoon no real change in the
overall pattern with 1040 mb high 300 nm north of Wrangel Island,
a 1034 mb high near Umiat, a 1029 mb high in the Upper Yukon
Flats, and a 1025 mb high near Dawson YT. Weather front is near
the Eastern Arctic Coast and will move to the Brooks Range as it
weakens and gets pulled to the east. A 973 mb low will be south of
Nikolski as low pressure persists south of the Aleutians. By
Saturday afternoon the high in the Arctic will be 200 nm northwest
of Wainwright at 1040 mb, with high pressure extending southeast
to a 1040 mb high in the Eastern Brooks Range, then southeast to a
1040 mb high in the southeast Yukon Territory. A inverted trough
of low will along the West Coast, and another will lie from King
Salmon north to the Alaska Range, then along the north slopes of
the Alaska Range.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Weather front on the Eastern
Arctic Coast is bringing some snow, wind, and blowing snow to
areas mainly east of Deadhorse this morning. Conditions will
slowly improve by late in the day with some clearing skies
overnight. The remainder of the area will see clouds at times, but
will be generally partly cloudy through Saturday. Winds from
Utqiagvik west will be northwest to north at 5 to 15 mph, while
winds east of Utqiagvik will be west to northwest at 15 to 30 mph
with the strongest winds from Point Thomson east gusting to around
40 mph. High temperatures will be single digits above and below
today, and have already occurred for most areas as temperatures
will be falling through the day. Low temperatures tonight will
range from 10 below to 30 below with the coldest temperatures in
the plains.

West Coast and Western Interior...Quiet and generally clear
through Saturday. Winds variable to 10 mph. Highs today along the
coast generally in the single digits below, while inland they will
be 10 to 20 below. Lows tonight in the single digits below along
the coast to near 35 below inland.

Central and Eastern Interior...A few clouds lingering in the
southeast Interior, otherwise partly cloudy to clear. Winds in the
valleys generally light and variable, while winds on the hills
will become gusty from the northeast this evening with blowing
snow developing on the summits and visibility reduced to less than
one half mile at times making travel difficult. The strong winds
on the hills will continue into Monday before diminishing. Highs
today will range from around 10 below to 35 below. Lows tonight in
the 20s to 40s below. Drainage winds will impact temperatures
with even light winds keeping some areas warmer.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Broad area of low pressure
centered near the Gulf of Alaska will extend north over the
Interior. Inverted troughing will extend into the Interior and
north over the West Coast. A mix of clouds with chances of snow
south of the Brooks Range. The Arctic will generally be quiet with
a mix of clouds and clear skies. Warming trend through the week.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ203.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ204-AKZ206-AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ220-
AKZ221-AKZ222.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ245.
&&

JAN 22