Storm Warning 155, NWS Anchorage, AK

001 
FZAK52 PAFC 150112
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151415-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A series of fronts will move across the western and central Aleutians
from this afternoon through Wednesday morning. 

$$

PKZ150-151415-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-151415-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-151415-
Bristol Bay-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-151415-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-151415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-151415-
Unalaska Bay-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 7 
ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-151415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-151415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-151415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-151415-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. E of Atka, SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-151415-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. E of Atka, SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. E of Atka, SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-151415-
Adak to Kiska-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 21 ft.
Rain.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-151415-
Kiska to Attu-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ179-151415-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-151415-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-151415-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-151415-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
412 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 20 kt increasing to
30 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 40 kt
increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft building to 19 ft
after midnight. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SE 50 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... S 45 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

760 
FZAK52 PAFC 151317
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160215-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front over the Central Bering extending from a Kamchatka low will
weaken in place through Wednesday morning. A weak low moving over
the Alaska Peninsula will merge with the Kamchatka low 180 nm W of
St. Matthew at 1002 mb Thursday morning.

$$

PKZ150-160215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160215-
Bristol Bay-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160215-
Unalaska Bay-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 in the afternoon. Seas 13 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160215-
Adak to Kiska-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 22
ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160215-
Kiska to Attu-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
417 AM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SE 50 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 25 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...S 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

802 
FZAK52 PAFC 160043
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-161345-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front extending over the Western and Central Aleutians will
weaken through Thursday morning. A weak low moving over the 
Alaska Peninsula will merge with a Kamchatka low 180 nm west of 
St. Matthew at 1002 mb Thursday morning. The low tracks north and 
exits the Bering Sea by Thursday afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-161345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ155-161345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-161345-
Bristol Bay-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-161345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-161345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-161345-
Unalaska Bay-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-161345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-161345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-161345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-161345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 12 ft. 
Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ176-161345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-161345-
Adak to Kiska-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 22
ft. Rain.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-161345-
Kiska to Attu-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-161345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-161345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-161345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-161345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
343 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SE 45 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SE 25 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
453 PM AKST Sun Nov 13 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

High pressure over the western Bering is bringing cold air south
towards the Aleutians with a cold front moving south near the
Aleutian Islands. An upper level trough is slowly moving across
western Alaska bringing in much colder temperatures. South of the
Aleutians a low pressure system is producing showers and
thunderstorms but this system will stay well south of the
Aleutians and AKPen. Across Bristol Bay a weakening surface low
continues to bring light rain and snow across Southwest Alaska
with only minor accumulations of snow across the area. Gusty
northerly winds continue to blow across the Kuskokwim Delta up to
35 knots. Light snow has been reported at Bethel, Aniak, and
Sleetmute. With rain and snow reported across the Bristol Bay area
with the radar showing areas of precipitation across the area. To
the east a deep southerly push of warm and moist air continues to
push north into Prince William Sound and eastern Kenai Peninsula.
A shortwave near Kodiak Island is supporting a surface low just
to the west of Kodiak City as it quickly moves north. Radar is
showing a swath of rain and snow from the Kenai Peninsula
extending north into the MATSU valleys with moderate to heavy rain
across Prince William Sound. Temperatures across Southcentral
have been in the upper 30s to low 40s from the MAT valley
southward, while low to mid 30s have been reported across the
Susitna valley as well as the Copper River Basin.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models continue to disagree slightly with the timing of the
surface low moving out of the western Gulf into the Anchorage and
MATSU valleys by this evening. Otherwise models agree well with
the high pressure over the Bering and high pressure building into
Southcentral by Tuesday. The biggest challenges will be timing
the onset of the gusty southerly winds later today across
Southcentral. And precipitation types tonight and tomorrow mainly
across the MATSU valleys as cold air slowly moves into the area
from the west as an upper level shortwave moves from western
Alaska towards Southcentral late Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...A short period of MVFR ceilings are expected this evening
as a low pressure system brings rain across the area. Northerly
winds are expected through this afternoon ahead of this low. The
low is then expected to pass over the terminal as it moves north,
which will bring a period of strong southerly winds. During a
short period of time just after the low passes overhead gusts in
the 30 to 35kt range are possible. There is some uncertainty in
the wind forecast in regards to timing and strength, particularly
between 2Z and 6Z as the low moves through. After the low passes
winds will remain southerly while slowly diminishing tomorrow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
3/Tonight through Wednesday)...

A North Pacific low is slowly moving north of Cook Inlet this
evening with another round of precipitation and wind across
Southcentral. A potent upper level shortwave ahead of the moist,
southerly flow is aiding moderate to heavy rain showers along
Prince William Sound (PWS), especially over Valdez and Cordova. As
the low moves inland tonight, precipitation increases for the
rest of the forecast area. Models have generally trended a little
deeper with this system, so gusty south-southeasterly winds along
PWS and Turnagain Arm will likely continue before subsiding Monday
morning.

Meanwhile, a surge of warmer air, dynamic support, and lack of
downsloping will provide better chances of rain for the Anchorage
Bowl and Mat Valley heading into tonight. The northern Susitna
Valley could see snow accumulation up to 4 inches, but warmer
temperatures and gusty winds should keep the lower elevations a
predominate rain event. Precipitation overall is expected to taper
off during the morning hours on Monday as the main dynamics
starts shifting east and drier air filters in. The exception will
be for the Susitna Valley and PWS as south-southwest flow and
weak shortwaves will be in place until Monday afternoon.

A ridge of high pressure builds across the mainland state by
midweek with quieter weather, offshore flow, and colder
temperatures returning Monday night and Tuesday. Given a moist
boundary layer and warmer temperatures, the potential for fog
development will be the main concern for the week ahead. Over the
Gulf of Alaska, a broad low pressure system will push some rain
and wind northward into portions of the Eastern Kenai Peninsula
and Kodiak Island between Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Wednesday)...

Precipitation will start to come to an end late tonight and into
Monday as a surface low near Bristol Bay dissipates. A ridge of
high pressure will then move into the region and promote clearer,
dryer, and even warmer temperatures later in the week as
southerly flow takes hold. By Tuesday night into Wednesday,
precipitation chances will increase again for the region beginning
with the Alaska Peninsula and then working its way northward into
the Bristol Bay region for Wednesday as a North Pacific low
tracks towards the Alaska Peninsula and eastern Aleutians.
Temperatures will still be cooler through Tuesday, but by
Wednesday, southerly flow will influence temperatures across the
region to be in the upper 30s to low 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Wednesday)...

A longwave ridge of high pressure is positioned over much of the
Bering Sea and western Aleutians with a persistent weak trough of
low pressure remaining offshore of Bristol Bay. A patch of
northeasterly small craft and gale force winds continue to stretch
over the YK Delta, across Nunivak Island, and into the Pribilof
Islands through tonight before slowly diminishing by late Monday
evening. The aforementioned ridge will continue to track across
the Bering before finally stretching to the Southwest coast
Tuesday. Upstream of the ridge, a strong upper-level low will
track into the western Bering early Monday. Expect high end gale
force winds and storm force winds west of Saint Matthew Island
through Wednesday along with elevated seas of 20+ feet from the
Western Aleutians, northward.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through Sunday)...

A stagnant high pressure ridge will blanket much of the Alaska
Mainland through the long term, promoting generally benign
conditions across Southcentral through Sunday. As a result of deep
southerly flow with the ridge, above average daytime high and
overnight lows are advertised for both Southcentral and Southwest
Alaska through the weekend. Upper-level shortwaves within the
upstream ridge flow will track across Southwest Alaska and
maintain periods of precipitation through Saturday morning. Also
on Saturday, an upper-level low and attendant surface low are
expected to move into the Gulf of Alaska. At this time,
precipitation and winds accompanying the low look to stay
confined to the Gulf waters through Sunday.

Farther west, an upper-level trough is located over the Bering on
Thursday. There is decent agreement that the feature will lift
northeast towards the Bering Strait by Friday morning.
Precipitation will subsequently clear across the Bering with the
exit of the trough and the development of a shortwave ridge. Any
respite from precipitation across the sea will likely be short
lived; a front extending from a North Pacific low is expected to
reach the Western Aleutians already on Friday morning and
generally track into the Bering through the weekend. The exact
track and strength of the low has yet to be ironed out, however
rain and winds up to gale force are currently advertised to
accompany the low. The most recent GFS solutions show the low to
be slower and slightly stronger than the Canadian solutions.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale 119 150 177 178 180.
		 Storm 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
LONG TERM...AF