Alert archive / Alaska / High Wind Watches in 2022

High Wind Watch 2, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 21, 2022

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this high wind watch at Jan 21, 2022, 9:20 PM AKST. It took effect at Jan 23, 2022, 6:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 234 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 21, 2022, 9:20 PM AKST (06:20 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 23, 2022, 6:00 PM AKST
Expired
Sep 15, 2022, 4:51 AM AKDT
In force
234 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

952 
WWAK71 PAFC 220620
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
920 PM AKST Fri Jan 21 2022

AKZ101-221500-
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220124T0000Z-220124T2100Z/
Anchorage-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, 
and Eklutna
920 PM AKST Fri Jan 21 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Turnagain Arm and higher elevations.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds could move loose debris, damage property,
  and cause power outages. Travel could be difficult, especially
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind watch means there is potential for a hazardous high
wind event. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates
on this situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a
safe location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/afc
6 follow-up statements
890 
WWAK71 PAFC 221254
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
354 AM AKST Sat Jan 22 2022

AKZ101-230300-
/O.EXT.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220124T0300Z-220124T2100Z/
Anchorage-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, 
and Eklutna
354 AM AKST Sat Jan 22 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Turnagain Arm and higher elevations.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds could move loose debris, damage property, 
  and cause power outages. Travel could be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind watch means there is potential for a hazardous high
wind event. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates
on this situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a
safe location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/afc
865 
WWAK71 PAFC 230027
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
327 PM AKST Sat Jan 22 2022

AKZ101-231500-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220124T0300Z-220124T2100Z/
Anchorage-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, 
and Eklutna
327 PM AKST Sat Jan 22 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Turnagain Arm and higher elevations.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds could move loose debris, damage property,
  and cause power outages. Travel could be difficult, especially
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind watch means there is potential for a hazardous high
wind event. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates
on this situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a
safe location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/afc
096 
WWAK71 PAFC 231500
NPWAER

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
600 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

AKZ101-240300-
/O.UPG.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220124T0300Z-220124T2100Z/
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0003.220124T0700Z-220124T1900Z/
Anchorage-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, 
and Eklutna
600 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
AKST MONDAY FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

* WHAT...East winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 80 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Anchorage Hillside and Turnagain Arm.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM AKST Monday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of
widespread power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/afc
303 
WWAK72 PAFC 141151
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
351 AM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

AKZ195-150100-
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220916T1800Z-220917T1200Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the city of Saint Paul
351 AM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT FOR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 50 to 65 mph with gusts up to 85 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Pribilof Islands.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Typhoon Merbok will transition to a strong
  extra-tropical low pressure system and is expected to intensify
  as it moves from the Northwest Pacific Ocean into the Bering Sea
  from Thursday to Saturday. There is some uncertainty in the
  storm track on Friday, but current forecasts indicate a swath of
  strong southwesterly winds moving over the Islands Friday.
  Currently St. Paul is favored to get higher winds than St.
  George due to the proximity to the low center, which is forecast
  to be west of St. Matthew Island by Friday afternoon. However, 
  both areas are still forecast to receive gusts in the 70 to 85 
  mph range with the current forecast. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

AKZ187-191-150100-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.A.0001.220916T0600Z-220916T1800Z/
Central Aleutians-Western Aleutians-
Including the cities of Atka and Adak and Shemya and Amchitka
351 AM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 50 to 70 mph with gusts up to 90 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Western and Central Aleutians.

* WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Typhoon Merbok will transition to an extra-
  tropical low pressure system and is expected to intensify as it
  moves from the Northwest Pacific Ocean into the Bering Sea from
  Thursday to Saturday. Initially, winds will be south to
  southwest out ahead of the low, then switch to the west as the
  low passes to the north. Some uncertainty remains regarding the
  exact track and intensity. The latest forecast shows the core of
  the strongest winds in an area between Attu Island to Adak with
  the strongest winds peaking early Friday morning. The winds 
  should begin to slowly diminish through the day Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$
836 
WWAK72 PAFC 150007
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
407 PM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

AKZ187-191-151400-
/O.UPG.PAFC.HW.A.0001.220916T0600Z-220916T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0001.220916T0600Z-220916T1800Z/
Central Aleutians-Western Aleutians-
Including the cities of Atka and Adak and Shemya and Amchitka
407 PM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM AKDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 50 to 70 mph with gusts up to 90 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Central Aleutians and Western Aleutians.

* WHEN...From 10 PM Thursday to 10 AM AKDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Typhoon Merbok will transition to an extra-
  tropical low pressure system and will intensify as it moves from
  the Northwest Pacific Ocean into the Bering Sea from Thursday to
  Saturday. Initially, winds will be south to southwest out ahead
  of the low, then switch to the west as the low passes to the
  north. The core of the strongest winds are expected in an area
  east of Attu Island and west of Adak. Winds should begin to 
  slowly diminish through the day Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of
widespread power outages. Use caution if you must travel.

&&

$$

AKZ155-151400-
/O.EXB.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220917T0000Z-220917T1500Z/
Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Bethel and Nunivak Island
407 PM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 45 to 60 mph with gusts 80 mph possible.

* WHERE...Kuskokwim Delta.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A potent storm system, the extra-tropical
  remnants of Typhoon Merbok, is expected to move from the
  Northern Pacific Thursday, through the Southern Bering Thursday
  night and Friday morning, and into the Northern Bering Sea late
  Friday into Saturday. Winds are expected to increase by late
  morning Friday and continue through Saturday morning before
  slowly diminishing Saturday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

AKZ195-151400-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220916T1800Z-220917T1200Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the city of Saint Paul
407 PM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT FOR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 50 to 65 mph with gusts up to 85 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Pribilof Islands.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Typhoon Merbok will transition to a 
  strong extra-tropical low pressure system and is expected to 
  intensify as it moves from the Northwest Pacific Ocean into 
  the Bering Sea from Thursday to Saturday. There is some 
  uncertainty in the storm track on Friday, but current 
  forecasts indicate a swath of strong southwesterly winds 
  moving over the Islands Friday. Currently St. Paul is favored 
  to get higher winds than St. George due to the proximity to 
  the low center, which is forecast to be west of St. Matthew 
  Island by Friday afternoon. However, both areas are still 
  forecast to receive gusts in the 70 to 85 mph range with the 
  current forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$
812 
WWAK72 PAFC 151251
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

AKZ155-152100-
/O.UPG.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220917T0000Z-220917T1500Z/
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0002.220917T0000Z-220917T1800Z/
Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Bethel and Nunivak Island
451 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM AKDT 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 45 to 60 mph with gusts up to 80 mph expected.

* WHERE...Kuskokwim Delta.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 1 PM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A potent storm system, the extra-tropical 
  remnants of Typhoon Merbok, is expected to move from the Northern 
  Pacific Thursday, through the Southern Bering Thursday night and 
  Friday morning, and into the Northern Bering Sea late Friday into 
  Saturday. Winds are expected to increase by late morning Friday 
  and continue through Saturday morning before slowly diminishing 
  Saturday night. The highest winds will be along the coast to the 
  east of the Kuskokwim Delta and over Nunivak Island, where gusts 
  to 80 mph will be likely. Farther inland, sustained winds are 
  expected to be around 45 mph with gusts to 60 mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees 
and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home 
during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must 
drive.

&&

$$

AKZ195-152100-
/O.UPG.PAFC.HW.A.0002.220916T1800Z-220917T1200Z/
/O.EXB.PAFC.HW.W.0001.220916T1800Z-220917T0900Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the city of Saint Paul
451 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM AKDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 50 to 65 mph with gusts up to 90 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Pribilof Islands.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Friday to 1 AM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extra-tropical remnants of Typhoon
  Merbok will cross over the Aleutian Chain tonight and move into
  the western Bering on Friday. Strong winds to the southeast of
  the low center will move over the Pribilof Islands during the
  day on Friday with peak intensity expected between noon and 4pm.
  Winds will then slowly diminish through the overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ187-191-152100-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0001.220916T0600Z-220916T1800Z/
Central Aleutians-Western Aleutians-
Including the cities of Atka and Adak and Shemya and Amchitka
451 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM AKDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts up to 90 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Central Aleutians and Western Aleutians.

* WHEN...From 10 PM Thursday to 10 AM AKDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Typhoon Merbok has transitioned to and
  extra-tropical low and will begin to impact the area after noon
  today. Initially, winds will be south to southwest out ahead of
  the low, then switch to the west as the low passes to the 
  north. The core of the strongest winds are expected in an area 
  east of Attu Island and west of Adak. Winds should begin to 
  slowly diminish through the day Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

CJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Jan 21, 6:19 PM AKST, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 21, 6:19 PM AKST, 3 hours 1 minute before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
619 PM AKST Fri Jan 21 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Southern Alaska sits between a longwave trough stretching over
the Bering into the Northwest Pacific and a longwave ridge
extending northward from the Northeast Pacific into Southeast
Alaska. As a result, broad southerly flow continues to direct
several lows and shortwaves northward into the state along with
warm, moist air. The first shortwave stretches from Southwest
Alaska through the interior of Alaska this wave is producing light
snow across the northern Susitna Valley and northern Copper River
Basin. Additionally light snow is seen on radar across most of
Southwest Alaska with light rain from near King Salmon to Iliamna
as downsloping has warmed the atmosphere. The parent surface low
is spinning near the AKPen and is moving into the Bristol Bay
area. Rain and snow showers are seen on radar from Kodiak Island
north through Cook Inlet as well as rain showers near eastern
Prince William Sound due to the front moving inland. The MAT
valley winds have increased with gusts up near 40 mph and
temperatures into the 40s. Finally northerly flow with snow
showers spreads across most of the Bering with a few rain showers
across the Aleutians where temperatures are in the mid to upper
30s.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in good synoptic agreement through the short term.
The timing and placement of upper-level shortwaves tracking
northward through the broad southerly flow is in good agreement
through Sunday, although some minor differences on timing of
shortwaves moving northward across the Gulf through the short term.
As we look towards late Sunday into Monday the next low and
shortwave show some uncertainty on strength and timing as it heads
towards Southern Alaska. The biggest challenge continues to be
the areal coverage of freezing precipitation for both Southwest
and Southcentral Alaska through Saturday. Another challenge is how
much precipitation and areal coverage of precipitation with each
weak shortwave moving across Southcentral Saturday and Sunday.
Currently shortwaves look very weak with weak forcing so
precipitation may be overdone a bit on some of the models
especially across interior valleys.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Ceilings remain predominantly VFR through the forecast
timeframe. Wind shear will continue until the Turnagain winds
bend into the airfield. Timing is somewhat uncertain, however
winds at the surface are expected to turn southeasterly sometime
by late this afternoon through the evening hours. Gusty
southeasterly winds are likely to continue through at least
Saturday morning and then winds should decrease and become
northerly by sometime Saturday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

An active pattern will continue for the next several days. Strong
southerly flow aloft is allowing for precipitation to persist
along the coast this evening, although it will be generally
light. Gusty winds along Turnagain Arm will occur through Saturday
morning with a tightening pressure gradient. Although these will
diminish thereafter, the same general pattern will continue and
thus winds will remain higher in this area. After a brief lull on
Saturday, another strong push of moisture will enter the Gulf
with slightly higher precipitation rates and stronger Turnagain
winds as today. Much of the precipitation will be confined to
coastal areas and stay all rain as temperatures in the low 40s are
expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Monday)...

A warm and active pattern will continue to affect much of the
region with a variety of impacts ranging from rain and light
freezing rain to snow through much of the weekend into early next
week. To start off, a weakening front stemming from an upper level
low in the Bering will continue to work east through Saturday
morning as another weak low moves up along the Alaska Peninsula
into Bristol Bay. Warm air will continue to stream north out ahead
of the front, allowing for a wintry mix of rain, freezing rain and
snow across much of Bristol Bay and up into the Middle Kuskokwim
Valley. A transition zone will work east with time as colder air
briefly advects back in behind the front, with any mixed precip
becoming all snow by Saturday afternoon. It remains the
expectation for any ice accumulations to be very light, with only
a short window for freezing rain to occur before the cold air
ushering in changes everything over to all snow.

A brief pause in the active weather is expected for Sunday morning
as the low and associated snow band exit into the northern Alaska
Range and Susitna Valley, with dry and cooler low temperatures
ranging from the single digits over the Y-K Delta to the 20s over
the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay. Unfortunately, the pause
will be quite brief, with another North Pacific low and attendant
front expected to lift north across the Alaska Peninsula and into
Bristol Bay by Sunday evening, sending another shield of snow
along with another push of warmer air back into place from south
to north. Once again, there may be enough warm air moving in to
change snow over to rain, with some returning threat for a mix
with freezing rain. Current thinking is that areas near and east
of Dillingham will have the best potential to see a period of snow
mixing with or changing to rain and freezing rain, possibly
expanding north into portions of the Middle Kuskokwim Valley
through Monday. A Special Weather Statement highlighting both the
more immediate concerns for wintry mix and snow and for the
second system moving in on Sunday and Monday remains in effect
this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2: Today
through Saturday)...

The general weather pattern will remain about the same over the
next several days, with a train of North Pacific lows moving north
around a longwave ridge centered over the Gulf. This will keep
most of the active weather over the eastern portions of the
forecast area, with multiple rounds of rain and snow moving across
the eastern Bering and Aleutians through Monday with each
subsequent low passage. The strongest of these lows will move
north into Bristol Bay by Monday morning, with a band of light
snow and gusty northerly winds up to gale force moving across the
Eastern Aleutians from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning. Benign
conditions will persist for most of the western parts of the
Bering region, with Arctic air remaining in place and supporting
periods of convective snow showers across the Western Aleutians
and Pribilofs through Monday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Monday through Wednesday)...

Gulf of Alaska...A well developed Bristol Bay low moves to the
Northern Gulf of Alaska for Wednesday. Its front moves across the
Gulf by Wednesday. Forecast confidence is fair due to the low
track by Wednesday. Southerly gales ahead of the front become an
easterly gale force barrier jet along the North Gulf Coast for
Tuesday, and northwesterly gales along the Alaska Peninsula coast
for Tuesday and Wednesday. Seas to 22 feet from the Alaska
Peninsula across the western Gulf, subsiding Tuesday, and to 15
feet east of the Barren Islands, subsiding Wednesday.

Aleutians / Bering...A well-developed Bristol Bay low moves
inland late Monday. Northerly gales move across the Alaska
Peninsula by late Monday. Seas to 22 feet on the Pacific side of
the Alaska Peninsula, subsiding. Forecast confidence good through
the period. Areas of weak low pressure with gusty winds move
across the Bering through Wednesday. A well developed North
Pacific low intensifies as it approaches the Western Aleutians.
Widespread high end gales with areas of possible storm force winds
spread into the Central Aleutians and southern Bering through
Wednesday. Seas building to 18 feet on the Pacific side of the
Aleutians by Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through
Thursday)...

The pattern will remain amplified during the extended period with
upper troughing extending across Southcentral and Southwest
Alaska on Tuesday while upper ridging builds across the eastern
Bering/Aleutians. The upper trough will then move eastward on
Wednesday and Thursday across Southwest and Southcentral as upper
ridging builds in the wake. Then, the upper level ridging will
extend across the eastern Bering/Aleutians, Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska by Friday. Upper level troughing will continue
to extend across the far western Bering/Aleutians during the
extended period. This means the extended period will start off
cold for Southwest Alaska and gradually become warmer as the
ridging builds across the area. Southcentral will remain cold for
a longer period of time as the ridge-axis is expected to remain
west of the area which will allow for northwesterly flow (cold air
advection) aloft. This pattern is also conducive to sunny skies
during the day and clear skies at night. This results in colder
overnight low temperatures across Southcentral due to radiational
cooling.

A weakening surface low is expected to move northeastward from
the Gulf into Yukon Territory on Tuesday and result in a chance of
light snow for Southcentral Alaska. The next chance for snow will
be on Thursday as a second low moves into the northern Gulf of
Alaska. Forecast confidence remains low at this time with snowfall
amounts due to significant differences in the placement of this
low.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale: 130 132 139.
Heavy Freezing Spray: 179 185 412 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS
MARINE/LONG TERM...KZ/ED

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 21, 4:20 PM AKST, 5 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
420 PM AKST Fri Jan 21 2022

AKZ152-155-161-221500-
Lower Kuskokwim Valley-Kuskokwim Delta-Bristol Bay-
Including the cities of Aniak, Sleetmute, Bethel, Hooper Bay,
Nunivak Island, King Salmon, Dillingham, Naknek, and Pilot Point
420 PM AKST Fri Jan 21 2022

...SNOW AND POTENTIAL WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS
BRISTOL BAY, THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA, AND MIDDLE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY...

Two active storm systems and their associated fronts will continue
to bring winter weather across Southwest Alaska. Additional snow
accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are expected for much of the
Southwest as the second front tracks north through Saturday
morning, with higher totals possible near the Kuskokwim Mountains.
Snow may continue to mix with freezing rain or transition to
rain, leading to lower snowfall totals. Some uncertainty remains
regarding how and where this transition will set up. Current
thinking places the transition zone from Dillingham to King Salmon
and then Goodnews Bay to Sleetmute, with rain further south. Any
wintry mix is expected to be brief with minimal ice accumulations.

As cold air returns behind the low Saturday, precipitation will
begin gradually transitioning back to snow from west to east.
Another low pressure system will move into the Southwest from
Sunday into Monday, sending warmer air north once again with the
potential for several more inches of snow and possible mixed
precipitation.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 3:49 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jan 21, 3:53 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Jan 22, 3:20 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 22, 3:20 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Jan 22, 3:46 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Jan 22, 3:59 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

High Wind Watches in Alaska, 2022Every high wind watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.