Gale Warning 751, NWS Anchorage, AK

420 
FZAK52 PAFC 260011
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-261245-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front extending from a 970 mb North Pacific low moves across 
the Western Aleutians on Sat afternoon. A 998 mb low forms on the 
front 70 nm North of Amchitka Sat night and moves to 260 nm North 
of Attu by Sun afternoon. Its front extends into the Central 
Bering for Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-261245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261245-
Bristol Bay-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, NE wind 15 kt
becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261245-
Unalaska Bay-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 16
ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261245-
Adak to Kiska-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261245-
Kiska to Attu-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming variable 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft building to 13 ft after midnight.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas
5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
311 PM AKST Fri Nov 25 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NW 20 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 30 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

885 
FZAK52 PAFC 261150
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-270045-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 mb low will move 250 nm northeast of Shemya Saturday 
evening. The low then moves 475 nm northwest of Shemya at 976 mb 
Monday morning. An 1017 mb low will develop over Bristol Bay 
Monday morning.

$$

PKZ150-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-270045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-270045-
Bristol Bay-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-270045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, NE wind 15 kt
becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-270045-
Unalaska Bay-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-270045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-270045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-270045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-270045-
Adak to Kiska-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-270045-
Kiska to Attu-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-270045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-270045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-270045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-270045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
250 AM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 45 kt W of Saint
Matthew Island. Seas 23 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

007 
FZAK52 PAFC 270007
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-271330-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 mb low 50 nm west of Kiska Island moves to 250 nm north of
Shemya at 993 mb for Sun afternoon. It curves towards the 
Kamchatka Peninsula through Mon afternoon. A 1017 mb low develops 
150 nm east of Saint Paul on Mon morning and exits into the 
Western Gulf at 1015 mb by Mon afternoon.


$$

PKZ150-271330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-271330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-271330-
Bristol Bay-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray along the coast. 
Snow and Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray along the coast.
Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-271330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, NE wind 15 kt
becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-271330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-271330-
Unalaska Bay-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-271330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-271330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-271330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-271330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-271330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-271330-
Adak to Kiska-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-271330-
Kiska to Attu-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-271330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-271330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray along the ice
edge. Snow and rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-271330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-271330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
307 PM AKST Sat Nov 26 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...E wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 45 kt W of Saint
Matthew Island. Seas 23 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Freezing spray N and E of
Saint Matthew Island. Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

384 
FZAK52 PAFC 271253
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-280145-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 995 mb low 200 nm north of Kiska moves to 250 nm north of Shemya 
at 996 mb for Sun afternoon as it exits towards the Kamchatka 
Peninsula. A 1017 mb low develops 130 nm north of Cold Bay on Mon
morning and exits into the Western Gulf at 1015 mb by Mon 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-280145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-280145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-280145-
Bristol Bay-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-280145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-280145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-280145-
Unalaska Bay-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-280145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-280145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt in the morning becoming SW 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-280145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-280145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-280145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-280145-
Adak to Kiska-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-280145-
Kiska to Attu-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 11 
ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-280145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-280145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-280145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-280145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
353 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 23 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
432 PM AKST Thu Nov 24 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A negatively tilted through extending southeastward across
Southcentral is bringing active weather to the region in short-term.
Associated precipitation tracking across the western Gulf will
move onshore this evening. More zonal flow is seen across
Southwest Alaska leading to drier conditions and partly cloudy
skies. A weak ridge is bringing benign conditions to much of the
Bering, with slightly stronger northwesterly winds south of the
AKPEN between these large scale features.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The GFS remains a significant outlier with regards to a low
developing and tracking through the Gulf late tonight into Friday.
Its position allows for a band of snow to continue through Friday
evening and thus would bring much higher totals to Anchorage and
the Mat-Su. All other models bring an initial shot of snow to the
area late tonight into early Friday before quickly ending. This
is the preferred solution at this time. Source layer temperatures
are near -15C. As such, lighter, more fluffy snow may yield to
slightly higher totals but much lower overall than the GFS
solution.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR ceilings will lower to MVFR this evening as snow moves into
the region. Brief IFR visibilities are possible during heavier
periods of snow. VFR conditions will return by Friday afternoon.
Light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Sunday night)...

A shallow, negatively-tilted, upper-level trough continues
extending into Southcentral from the west and will bring a quick
round of light, widespread snow to Southcentral. Snowfall is
expected to begin for the Anchorage area and Mat-Su Valleys this
evening and then taper off through Friday morning as wind
generally shifts westerly and drier air moves in. The Copper
River Basin can expect to see the bulk of the snowfall on Friday
morning. Snow is expected to linger along coastal Prince William
Sound locations (Valdez and Cordova) through Friday night due to a
surface low that develops over the Gulf. Overall with this
system, the greatest snow amounts are advertised for the Hatcher
Pass area, Paxson area, and northeast Prince William Sound. The
aforementioned low will continue exiting to the southeast while
high pressure builds over the Mainland. As a result, precipitation
across Southcentral clears by Saturday and gusty northerly
offshore winds develop along northern Gulf coast, especially
through areas of channeled terrain like Thompson Pass. Cold, dry,
and clear conditions are expected to persist through the end of
the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Sunday)...

Precipitation will taper off this evening across all of Southwest
as a front progresses into the western Gulf. A ridge of high
pressure then builds over the Bering which will result in cool
northwesterly flow making its way back into the region. The return
of a colder air mass should help bring temperatures back down
into the 20s for highs and 0s to 10s for lows for both Friday and
Saturday. Any new snowfall through the end of the week should stay
generally confined to areas favored for upslope flow along the
Kuskokwim Mountains and Aleutian/Alaska Ranges. One exception will
pertain to a small, fast-moving shortwave that will move
southeast on Friday between the Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay. A
quick flurry of snow showers will likely follow this system as it
tracks through, with the best chance for light snow over southern
portions of Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta for Friday
afternoon. Otherwise, expect cool and quiet conditions to persist
across the region through Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Sunday)...

A brief lull in the pattern is expected for most of Friday into
Friday night as a broad upper-level ridge expands across the
Bering. Westerly small craft winds near Saint Matthew Island and
occasional snow showers moving into the Pribilofs are forecasted
for Friday. On Saturday, the ridge axis will begin to shift east
as a North Pacific low approaches the western Aleutians. Winds
will pick up from the east and rain will begin as the low's front
approaches on Saturday morning across western parts of the Chain.
Rain will spread east out to Atka and Dutch harbor by Saturday
evening as the low crosses into the western Bering. Easterly gale
force to winds will shift into the central Aleutians through
Saturday evening and track northeastward before exiting the
northern Bering early next week.

&&.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through
Thursday)...

The key feature in the long term is a building ridge over the
mainland, creating a highly amplified pattern for next week. By
Monday afternoon, an upper level trough over the Alaska-Yukon
border will be departing eastward. As an upper level ridge to the
west builds in, gusty outflow winds, particularly along the
northern Gulf coast, will be the main concern for much of Monday
into Tuesday. By Tuesday morning, an upper level shortwave
dropping southward will likely enhance the northerly winds for a
brief period. As the ridge builds over the mainland Wednesday,
generally quiet conditions are expected for Southcentral.
Meanwhile attention shifts to Southwest and the Alaska Peninsula
as models are all hinting at the arrival of a shortwave trough
Wednesday into Thursday. While confidence is low due to lack of
model agreement, this feature does have the potential to introduce
onshore flow and increase chances of precipitation for the end of
the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 120 130 131 150 155 176-178 185 351 352.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
LONG TERM...KO