Gale Warning 600, NWS Anchorage, AK

463 
FZAK51 PAFC 090429 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

Updated Zone 121

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up
to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091330-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 mb low 130 nm west of Kodiak City moves 50 nm southeast of
Seward at 988 mb by Sun morning. The low moves inland near Cordova 
by Sun evening. Another low extends a front into the Gulf through 
Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-091330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091330-
Resurrection Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft 
building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091330-
Prince William Sound-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091330-
Port Valdez-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091330-
Valdez Narrows-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091330-
Valdez Arm-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091330-
Passage Canal-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier before midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091330-
Barren Islands East-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
17 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft building to 17 ft after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091330-
Chiniak Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091330-
Marmot Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091330-
Shelikof Strait-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening becoming W 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain
showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091330-
Kachemak Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft Seas 13 ft near outer bay.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

701 
FZAK51 PAFC 091214
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100030-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 mb low 90 nm northeast of Kodiak City moves to 20 nm west of 
Cape Suckling at 994 mb Sun afternoon then moves inland Sun evening.
A 994 mb low in Bristol Bay Mon morning moves to 50 nm north of 
Middleton Island at 1006 mb Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-100030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100030-
Resurrection Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100030-
Prince William Sound-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt during the early morning.
Wind diminishing to 15 kt in the morning then increasing to NW 25 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100030-
Port Valdez-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100030-
Valdez Narrows-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100030-
Valdez Arm-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to variable 15 kt in the morning.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100030-
Passage Canal-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt during the early morning. 
Wind diminishing to 15 kt in the morning then increasing to W 30 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100030-
Barren Islands East-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100030-
Chiniak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100030-
Marmot Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100030-
Shelikof Strait-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100030-
Kachemak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

974 
FZAK51 PAFC 100009
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101330-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 mb low 20 nm west of Cape Suckling moves inland through 
this evening. A 992 mb low in Bristol Bay on Mon morning moves to 
50 nm north of Middleton Island at 1003 mb by Tue morning and then
inland through Tue afternoon. Its front reaches the Gulf coast by
Mon evening.

$$

PKZ119-101330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101330-
Resurrection Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101330-
Prince William Sound-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101330-
Port Valdez-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101330-
Valdez Narrows-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101330-
Valdez Arm-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101330-
Passage Canal-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft
building to 10 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101330-
Barren Islands East-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming 35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas
19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101330-
Chiniak Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101330-
Marmot Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101330-
Shelikof Strait-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming variable 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101330-
Kachemak Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
528 AM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A broad upper-level longwave trough is situated out west this
morning, with an expansive cold air mass beneath it extending
across much of the Bering Sea and into Western Alaska. To the
east, a warmer, moister air mass is being drawn up from the North
Pacific and across the Gulf of Alaska into Southcentral and parts
of Southwest Alaska along the western periphery of a longwave
ridge extending up the west coast of North America. A digging
trough over the eastern Bering Sea is tapping into this
temperature gradient, supporting a strengthening surface low
centered over the southern Alaska Peninsula. Moderate-to-heavy
rain is occurring along its cold front across the peninsula, while
out ahead of the low, lighter stratiform rain has begun to
overspread the Bristol Bay region along its warm front. A weak
front also continues to linger in the western Gulf, just east of
Kodiak Island, extending north across the Kenai Peninsula into the
Cook Inlet region as the front pivots slowly westward. As a
result, rain showers have diminished in strength overnight for
Prince William Sound as rain fills in on radar around Cook Inlet.
East of the front, gusty south to southeasterly winds are being
observed in eastern Prince William Sound and through the Copper
River Basin.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

There continues to be increased consistency in the track of two
lows set to affect southern mainland Alaska through the short
term. There is increased confidence in a more southerly track
taking the low over the Alaska Peninsula this morning into the
northern Gulf for Sunday, which increases the likelihood of cold
air filtering in over the Cook Inlet region on Sunday night,
setting up snow chances for higher elevations on Monday. More
uncertainties remain with the second low tracking into Southwest
Alaska on Monday, though there is increased confidence in a
southerly track for this system as well. This decreases the
likelihood for coastal flooding concerns in the Kuskokwim Delta,
though some potential remains for the Bristol Bay coastline.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will prevail through the day on Saturday,
with light and variable winds expected this morning. Rain showers
will also be likely this morning, which may drop ceilings below
5000 ft periodically. However, as a weak front shifts westward
this morning, high pressure in Prince William Sound will cause
gusty Turnagain Arm winds to return around 08/18Z. This should
clear out any lower ceilings, keeping conditions solidly VFR for
Saturday, though intermittent light showers will remain possible.
As the front shifts back eastward late Saturday night, winds are
expected to turn out of the northwest, and the potential for lower
ceilings return, possibly as low as MVFR for Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Saturday through Monday)...

Rain continues across much of Southcentral today with the low near
the Alaska Peninsula early this morning, and its front,
approaching the area from the west. There will also be the return
of the gusty south to Southeast gap winds in the typical areas
such as Turnagain Arm and the Copper River. In the Copper River
Basin, there will likely be enough downsloping off the Chugach
Mountains to keep most of the rain away through tonight. Anchorage
and the Matanuska Valley will also see a bit of downsloping by
late morning and through the afternoon as cross-barrier flow
increases. Rain will increase again for those areas this evening.
Over the past few days there has been some question as to whether
there will be any snow tonight with this system and the short
answer is: No. With 850 mb temperatures remaining above 0C, it
looks unlikely to see snow even in the passes overnight tonight.
With the low track heading across Kodiak Island and into the
northern Gulf, the coldest air will pack up along the Alaska and
Aleutian Ranges and then begin to gust strongly though the gaps in
these mountains by late tonight and then through the day Sunday.
This low track will also wrap the warmer air over Southcentral,
delaying the onset of air cold enough for snow until after the
rain ends on Sunday.

There may be some snow at higher elevations of the Chugach and
other mountain ranges late Sunday, but then there will be some
clearing behind it on Sunday night. That clearing on Sunday night
will likely bring freezing temperatures for the first freeze of
the season to a lot of the area Sunday night.

The next low will track into Bristol Bay from the west on Monday
and it is taking a more southerly track than from previous
forecasts. That will bring in a better chance for snow at
elevations from 2000 ft and higher on Monday. We will keep an eye
on this system to see how that may change and if there will be
accumulating snowfall through the highway passes. At this time,
the most likely area to see impactful snowfall along the highway
system will be the Parks highway north of Talkeetna and especially
toward Broad Pass.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Southwesterly flow aloft ahead of a deep upper trough over the
eastern Bering Sea and associated surface low over the Alaska
Peninsula are leading to rain across the Bristol Bay area this
morning. This will gradually track north and eastward through the
day. Northerly flow behind the aforementioned trough will usher in
much colder air, with 850 mb temperatures approaching -10C by
Sunday morning. However, by the time this cold air is in place,
much of the precipitation will have shifted off to the east.
Despite lows below freezing, only areas generally east of
Sleetmute in the Middle Kuskokwim Valley will see light snowfall
accumulations of around a couple inches. Benign conditions are
expected for much of the remainder of Sunday under a trailing
ridge.

A low will move into the eastern Bering late Sunday into Monday,
brining rain and gusty winds across the region through the day.
As the low will slightly weaken as its center approaches Cape
Newenham, forecasted water levels have slightly dropped and any
coastal flooding/high surf issues would likely occur in Bristol
Bay south and east of Cape Constantine. A Coastal Flood Watch
remains in effect for this area. Conditions will improve Monday
evening and partial clearing is possible by Tuesday in a more
zonal flow pattern.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A deep upper trough and associated surface low centered over the
Alaska Peninsula is bringing unsettled conditions this morning to
areas east of and including Unalaska and the Pribilofs. Cold
advection behind the trough combined with a good amount of upper
forcing will increase gap winds on the south side of the AKPEN
through early Sunday morning. A trailing ridge will bring a brief
reprieve before another low enters the western Bering and tracks
eastward Sunday afternoon through Monday. Rain will track west to
east across the Aleutians. The strongest core of winds looks to
be located between the Pribilof Islands and Unimak Pass early
Monday morning. A dry slot will build in as the low begins to
occlude over Bristol Bay, however stronger westerly winds will
persist north of the AKPEN through much of the day. Quieter
conditions are expected over much of the Bering Tuesday ahead of
surface high pressure in the North Pacific.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through
Friday)...

Expect a parade of lows this forecast period. The latest run of
the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian are reasonably clustered on Tuesday and
consistent with the ensembles. Tuesday cold temperatures will
persist across Southcentral and the snow level is decreasing.
Recent runs of the global models suggest a more southerly track
for the first low to impact Western Alaska veering it towards
Bristol Bay. The models continue to have a highly amplified
pattern. By Wednesday, divergence in solutions has emerged over
the Bering but the Gulf Of Alaska is still in good agreement with
the low there and bringing a tropical fetch towards Southcentral.
By midweek next week there is a high probability of additional
pattern amplification as an upper low dropping southeast out of
NE Russia and moves across the Aleutians. Late this forecast
period another low will move from China into the Northwest Pacific
and towards Attu.

&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Coastal Flood Watch 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning 130 131.
         Gale Warning 119 120 132 138 139 150 155 160 165
                      170-178 180 351 352 411 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CQ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AP
LONG TERM...PJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1236 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1207 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST POTTER VALLEY           61.05N 149.77W
10/08/2022  M79 MPH          ANCHORAGE          AK   MESONET

            GUST RECORDED AT POTTER VALLEY (PMHA2) CWOP
            SITE.

&&

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1243 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 9 SE ANCHORAGE          61.11N 149.73W
10/08/2022  M70 MPH          ANCHORAGE          AK   MESONET

            GUST RECORDED AT CWOP SITE NEAR EAST END OF
            ALATNA AVENUE.

&&

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
105 PM AKDT SAT OCT 8 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST FORT RICHARDSON AIRFORC 61.27N 149.65W
10/08/2022  M62 MPH          ANCHORAGE          AK   MESONET

            GUST RECORDED AT THE PAFR ASOS.

&&

AS