Red Flag Warning 13, NWS Albuquerque, NM

767 
WWUS85 KABQ 290208
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
808 PM MDT Mon Mar 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO VERY STRONG WINDS AND 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.Widespread critical fire weather conditions are likely Tuesday
afternoon across the eastern plains as the flow aloft strengthens
ahead of an approaching storm system. These stronger winds aloft 
will start to mix down to the surface in the late morning, with 
gusts as high as 60 mph possible through Tuesday afternoon.  
Though humidity values will not be as low as Monday, sub-15 
percent values are likely, especially near the Texas and Oklahoma 
borders. High temperatures will be a few degrees above average in
the afternoon.

NMZ104-108-291300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-220329T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0013.220329T1800Z-220330T0100Z/
Northeast Plains-East Central Plains-
808 PM MDT Mon Mar 28 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT
TUESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast and east central plains during the 
  afternoon and early evening hours Tuesday. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts between
  50 and 60 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...12 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is highly discouraged. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

34

830 
WWUS85 KABQ 290912
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
312 AM MDT Tue Mar 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM MDT TODAY FOR THE 
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.Widespread critical fire weather conditions are expected this 
afternoon across the eastern plains as the flow aloft strengthens 
ahead of an approaching storm system. These stronger winds aloft 
will start to mix down to the surface in the late morning, with 
gusts as high as 60 mph possible during the mid to late afternoon.
Though not as dry as Monday, minimum humidities falling to the 
low teens are likely, especially near the Texas and Oklahoma 
borders. High temperatures will be a few degrees above average in 
the afternoon.

NMZ104-108-300100-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0013.220329T1800Z-220330T0100Z/
Northeast Plains-East Central Plains-
312 AM MDT Tue Mar 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast and east central plains during the
  afternoon and early evening hours. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts 
  between 50 and 60 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...12 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is highly discouraged. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

663 
WWUS85 KABQ 300049
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
649 PM MDT Tue Mar 29 2022

NMZ104-108-300200-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220330T0100Z/
Northeast Plains-East Central Plains-
649 PM MDT Tue Mar 29 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

As winds continue to decrease this evening, the concern for fire
weather conditions will diminish. Therefore, the Red Flag Warning
will expire at 7 pm. 

$$

34

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
328 PM MDT Mon Mar 28 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
An approaching Pacific storm system will pack quite a punch beginning
tonight and continuing through Tuesday. Very strong to high winds
will develop first over the south-central mountains including Ruidoso
late tonight, spreading into eastern NM during the day Tuesday. From
the Rio Grande Valley west, strong winds along with scattered rain
and mountain snow showers will move in from west to east along the
cold front. Accumulating snow is possible over most mountain ranges
Tuesday and Tuesday night but especially the northern mountains
where several inches are likely. Chances for rain and snow showers
will continue Wednesday and Thursday along with blustery winds.
Warmer and more tranquil weather is expected over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...

Current water vapor imagery shows an upper level low currently over
the coast of CA. As this feature pushes inland, the upper level
ridge over NM will breakdown, bringing a variety of hazards and
hazards to the short term. Strengthening southwest flow aloft
alongside increasing mid-level moisture will allow for a favorable
setup for the Tusas Mts to see some light snowfall tonight. As the
upper level system continues its journey into the Desert Southwest,
a stout 140 kt jet begins to round out its southeastern periphery.
Winds at 700 mb are quick to rally in response, hitting a max of
60kts around midnight. This in concert with a tight gradient from a
lee-side sfc low will create the possibility of high winds across
the Sacramento/Capitan Mts. As such, did upgrade the High Wind Watch
to a High Wind Warning.

The low makes its entrance into AZ, positioning itself over the
center of the state, where it will open by late morning. Winds aloft
will continue to strengthen as the disturbance pushes east and deep
layer mixing will allow strong to severe winds to mix to the sfc in
the afternoon on Tuesday. Meanwhile, instability increases on the
eastern periphery of the trough, bringing the potential for thunder
amongst precipitation chances for western and central zones. While
snow levels will be quite high thanks to recent above average
temperatures, the northern mts will be primed to receive 6 to 12 in
of snow across their peaks, sufficient enough to hoist a Winter
Weather Advisory for the Tusas and Sangre de Cristo Mts.

The trough crosses the state by midnight Tuesday night, leaving a
few lingering snow showers across the northern mts in its departure.
Just as the system departs, it kicks down a stiff backdoor cold
front across the eastern plains, the additional lift of which could
help to facilitate in a round of overnight showers.

LONG TERM...(WEDNEDSAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
A trailing short-wave trough remains on track to move through NM
Wednesday, keeping mainly scattered rain and snow showers west and
north and brisk northwest winds going over the western two-thirds of
the state. Additional wind highlights will likely be necessary
central and west Wednesday afternoon given current forecast wind
speeds. Additionally, a backdoor cold front helps to get more in the
way of an organized area of snow going Wednesday over far northeast
NM where several inches of accumulation are possible from the
northern Sangre de Cristo mountains eastward to the northeast
highlands from Cimarron east- southeastward to Gladstone and Sedan.
GFS and ECWMF move in a transitory ridge of high pressure for
Thursday with another wave on tap Thursday night and Friday. Thursday
continues to look like the least windy day this week with winds
ramping back up on Friday along with cooler temperatures.

The weekend remains on track for a warm up and less wind. The next
Pacific system is expected Monday with the promise of more wind and
chances for rain and mountain snow showers.

12/33

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Active pattern fills the week, starting with another round of strong
to severe winds across portions of the state on Tuesday. Winds will
increase in response to an approaching upper level system, with the
Sacramento/Capitan Mts kicking into high gear late tonight. The
majority of the eastern plains as well as portions of the lower RGV
and southwestern mts follow suit making for breezy to locally windy
conditions Tuesday afternoon. Precipitation will favor the northern
mts Monday through Tuesday night. While relative humidity will
increase ahead of this front, high winds and above average
temperatures will lend to critical fire weather conditions in the
afternoon. Breezy conditions will persist across the west on
Wednesday and relative humidity values will begin to fall from this
point forward into the weekend, hitting their lowest on Sunday.
After ducking below normal on Wednesday, temperatures will begin to
climb above average, rising steadily into the weekend.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
Low pressure system on approach will bring strong winds and decreased
cigs/vsbys during the TAF cycle. Deep layer mixing will send gusts
of 25 to 30 kts to the sfc this afternoon as winds aloft increase. As
the system progresses across the Desert Southwest, LLWS will affect
terminals across the eastern plains aft 29/09Z and before 29/14Z.
While VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the remainder of the
day today, they will slowly deteriorate from western terminals
eastward by early Tuesday as the trough makes its way into the state.
Winds aloft will increase early Tuesday morning areawide, setting
the stage for gusty winds to prevail.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  38  55  37  61 /  60  80  20   5
Dulce...........................  32  50  28  56 /  70  90  20  30
Cuba............................  35  50  32  54 /  30  80  30  20
Gallup..........................  35  54  32  58 /  40  70  40  20
El Morro........................  32  49  31  55 /  20  80  40  20
Grants..........................  36  51  30  57 /  10  70  40  20
Quemado.........................  32  50  30  55 /  10  90  40  20
Magdalena.......................  40  56  35  59 /  10  60  20  20
Datil...........................  34  50  31  54 /   5  70  20  20
Reserve.........................  29  52  26  63 /  40  80  30  20
Glenwood........................  38  54  33  64 /  40  90  40  10
Chama...........................  28  44  24  48 /  70  80  30  50
Los Alamos......................  41  50  37  53 /  20  70  30  40
Pecos...........................  40  52  34  53 /  10  60  20  50
Cerro/Questa....................  34  49  31  48 /  20  50  50  60
Red River.......................  27  44  24  39 /  20  50  50  80
Angel Fire......................  25  44  20  40 /  20  60  50  70
Taos............................  33  52  29  50 /  20  60  40  50
Mora............................  36  53  31  50 /   5  50  40  70
Espanola........................  43  59  37  61 /  20  70  20  50
Santa Fe........................  40  53  34  54 /  10  70  20  50
Santa Fe Airport................  39  55  33  58 /  10  70  30  40
Albuquerque Foothills...........  48  57  41  62 /  10  70  30  30
Albuquerque Heights.............  47  59  40  63 /  10  60  20  20
Albuquerque Valley..............  44  62  39  65 /  10  60  20  20
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  45  60  40  64 /  10  60  20  20
Belen...........................  44  63  38  66 /  10  60  20  20
Bernalillo......................  47  61  40  66 /  10  70  30  30
Bosque Farms....................  42  63  36  65 /  10  60  20  10
Corrales........................  46  62  40  66 /  10  70  20  20
Los Lunas.......................  41  63  37  65 /  10  60  10  10
Placitas........................  46  56  40  59 /  10  70  30  30
Rio Rancho......................  47  59  40  64 /  10  60  20  20
Socorro.........................  46  66  40  69 /  10  50  20  20
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  43  51  37  54 /  10  70  30  30
Tijeras.........................  42  55  36  57 /  10  70  30  30
Edgewood........................  42  54  35  59 /   5  60  20  40
Moriarty/Estancia...............  34  58  30  59 /   5  60  20  40
Clines Corners..................  39  53  33  53 /   5  40  10  40
Mountainair.....................  42  57  34  58 /   5  60  30  30
Gran Quivira....................  43  58  34  58 /   5  50  30  30
Carrizozo.......................  48  61  36  61 /  10  40  30  30
Ruidoso.........................  42  55  32  54 /  10  40  40  40
Capulin.........................  40  60  28  41 /   0  10  70  50
Raton...........................  36  63  29  48 /   0  20  70  60
Springer........................  41  64  33  51 /   0  20  50  70
Las Vegas.......................  39  57  31  51 /   0  30  30  60
Clayton.........................  49  70  32  51 /   0   5  60  30
Roy.............................  46  64  35  52 /   0   5  40  60
Conchas.........................  51  70  40  59 /   0   5  40  40
Santa Rosa......................  49  67  40  61 /   0  10  20  40
Tucumcari.......................  53  74  41  61 /   0   0  40  20
Clovis..........................  51  71  38  60 /   0   0  40  30
Portales........................  50  74  39  62 /   0   0  30  20
Fort Sumner.....................  50  72  42  63 /   0   5  30  30
Roswell.........................  53  76  45  70 /   5   5  10  20
Picacho.........................  50  66  40  64 /   5  20  20  20
Elk.............................  46  62  34  64 /   0  20  20  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Tuesday for the following
zones... NMZ208-220-221-223-225-229>233-239.

Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for the following
zones... NMZ104-108.

Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Tuesday for the following
zones... NMZ104-108.

High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Wednesday for
the following zones... NMZ226.

High Wind Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Tuesday for the following
zones... NMZ224-234>238-240.

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM MDT Wednesday for
the following zones... NMZ210-213-214.

&&