Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
438 AM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-080945-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
438 AM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Early Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Late Morning.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Early Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to expand through the
morning and into the afternoon along a cold front moving eastward
across the area. Ahead of the front, instability and shear
parameters both favor an isolated severe weather threat this
morning, but the greater threat should hold off until late morning
and early afternoon in far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats, but a
very limited tornado threat also exists, mainly in western
Arkansas. All thunderstorm activity should be east of the area
late this afternoon.

In addition to the severe weather threat, fire weather concerns
will also increase across eastern Oklahoma this afternoon.
Southerly winds gusting to 35 mph this morning will shift to a
westerly direction behind the front, and low level moisture will
decrease substantially. The worst conditions will be found across
southeast Oklahoma, where minimum humidities near 25 percent are
expected. Winds will remain gusty through the night, which will
keep some fire weather threat past sunset.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather Potential...
         High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Westerly winds will remain gusty on Thursday and with low
humidities expected areawide, will lead to another day of
increased fire spread concerns.

Thunderstorm chances increase Friday afternoon and into Friday
night, as moisture will return to the area fairly quickly ahead of
a fast moving storm system. Severe thunderstorms will be possible
during the afternoon and evening, with parts of southeast Oklahoma
most susceptible.

After a dry Saturday and Sunday, another storm system will bring
showers and thunderstorms to the region Sunday night into Monday,
as well as gusty winds and a resultant increase in the fire
spread threat.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
313 AM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

OKZ074-075-070845-
Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
313 AM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL HASKELL AND
NORTHERN LATIMER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 AM CDT...

At 313 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 3 miles east of
Wilburton, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Wilburton...                      Red Oak...
Damon...                          Lequire...
Panola...

LAT...LON 3493 9539 3519 9503 3507 9493 3494 9493
      3494 9500 3490 9500 3478 9526
TIME...MOT...LOC 0813Z 234DEG 26KT 3490 9525

Lacy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
536 AM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

OKZ063-068-069-071100-
Adair OK-Cherokee OK-Delaware OK-
536 AM CDT Wed Apr 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE...
NORTHWESTERN ADAIR AND NORTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 600 AM CDT...

At 536 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Peggs, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Tahlequah...                      West Siloam Springs...
Colcord...                        Kansas...
Hulbert...                        Watts...
Oaks...                           Peggs...
Leach...                          Scraper...
Twin Oaks...                      Ballard...
Lost City...                      Natural Falls State Park...

LAT...LON 3583 9508 3601 9520 3643 9461 3607 9456
TIME...MOT...LOC 1036Z 234DEG 49KT 3605 9498

Lacy

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