Alert archive / Florida / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 20, 2021Highlands County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this special weather statement at Jul 20, 2021, 4:24 PM EDT for Highlands County, Florida. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2021, 4:24 PM EDT (20:24 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2021, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL

County Highlands County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 765 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
765 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
905 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 20, 2:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 2:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
226 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Mid level troughing stretches from the western Gulf coast to the
central eastern seaboard while ridging extends across FL and the
eastern Gulf from the Atlantic through Wed. At the surface broad
Atlantic high pressure reaches west to the Gulf with an axis
meandering near Lake Okeechobee. The atmosphere is moist with model
PWAT values around 2 inches and above. A 5 to 10 knot 1000-700MB
flow is southerly to southwesterly...from south to north...this
afternoon then becomes southwesterly to westerly Wed.

Ample moisture...daytime heating...and sea breeze boundaries will
support showers and thunderstorms through Wed. currently there
are isolated showers/storms right along the coast and these will
push inland...propelled along by the sea breeze and increase in
coverage throughout the afternoon...staying mainly inland.
However can not rule out a rogue storm or two drifting back toward
the coast on outflow boundaries. The showers and storms will wind
down around sunset...with the loss of daytime heating. Wed will
be somewhat similar...however a more southwest to west steering
flow will be in place with late night coastal convection that
shifts onshore during the morning then moves inland with increased
coverage in the afternoon.

Thu through next Tue: Mid level ridging initially over the Gulf
region re-locates westward as the eastern seaboard trough slips out
over the Atlantic and deepens southward...to near the Bahamas...by
Fri and continues during the weekend. This troughiness lifts
northward early next week and allows ridging aloft to become re-
established across the entire Gulf region. Atlantic high pressure
continues to stretch west to the Gulf of Mexico through next
week. It's axis extends across south FL until the weekend when it
shifts to south of the Florida Keys as a frontal boundary moves to
just north of the state. This boundary shifts back north
Mon...allowing the high pressure to slide back into FL.

A moist airmass prevails with showers and thunderstorms...isolated
to scattered but occasionally numerous. Through the weekend a
westerly flow pattern will be in effect with coastal morning
convection that shifts inland in the afternoon. Then starting next
a southeasterly pattern sets up with afternoon and evening
convection mainly over the interior.

&&

.AVIATION...
20/18Z TAFs. TSRA/SHRA with FEW-SCT CB and PSBL MVFR/LCL IFR TIL 22-
03z. Light mostly S winds become SW to W AOB 08KT by 20Z. This flow
will tend to push convection eastward although a rogue TSRA may
drift back toward the coast late afternoon. Anticipate late night
coastal convection that could impact terminals AFT 14Z. Light
VRBL winds overnight become S in the morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Atlantic high pressure stretches across the waters with an axis that
meanders over the south half of the state through the end of the
week. The high slips south during the weekend with an axis near the
Florida Keys. Winds and seas remain below 15 knots/3 feet although
higher in and near showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The atmosphere remains moist...precluding any low RH concerns and
supporting showers and thunderstorms that may become numerous at
times.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  78  91  80  94 /  10  40   0  20
FMY  76  92  78  94 /  20  40   0  30
GIF  75  93  76  94 /  40  70  10  40
SRQ  78  90  78  92 /  10  30   0  20
BKV  73  91  74  92 /  10  50   0  30
SPG  80  90  81  91 /  10  30   0  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...09/Rude
DECISION SUPPORT...42/Norman

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 20, 4:24 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
424 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

FLZ057-202100-
Highlands-
424 PM EDT Tue Jul 20 2021

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY...

At 423 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located near Basinger,
moving northeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Brighton and Cornwell.

LAT...LON 2721 8116 2712 8117 2712 8127 2710 8127
      2709 8128 2715 8134 2741 8113 2738 8111
      2738 8107 2736 8103 2734 8105 2730 8103
      2729 8100 2726 8100 2725 8098 2723 8098
      2721 8094
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 215DEG 20KT 2730 8103

TBW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 6:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHardee48 min
Jul 20, 6:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWSumter50 min
Jul 20, 7:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWPolk27 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Florida, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.