Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
316 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

.NEAR TERM [Through Wednesday]...
As tropical storm Ida moves slowly across eastern Tennessee
tonight, the trailing band currently impacting the eastern half of
the forecast area will slowly sag south and east. This will slowly
shift the focus for heavy rain into the eastern Big Bend for the
overnight hours. Low-level wind fields are expected to weaken with
time tonight, which should lessen the threat for isolated wind
damage and tornadoes. However, training of cells could lead to
some localized flooding in the eastern Big Bend.

For Wednesday, a trough in the wake of Ida will sag across the
forecast area. Best rain chances will be along and south of the
trough, where moisture will be deepest and convergence strongest.
However, scattered showers will continue to the north of the
trough as well.

.SHORT TERM [Wednesday Night Through Thursday Night]...
Surface trough will linger across the southern half of the area
through Thursday before sliding to the south on Friday. As drier
air moves into the northern half of the area, rain chances will
diminish, with best rain chances primarily south of I-10.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Tuesday]...
A drier pattern is expected across the entire area from Saturday
into Sunday. An upper ridge will build over the lower Mississippi
Valley, with northerly mid-level flow pushing a drier airmass
into the region. By late Sunday into early next week, the ridge
will break down, and southerly low-level flow will begin to push
moisture back into the area, along with a return to better rain
chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Wednesday]
The air mass is very moist as Ida moves northeast across Tennessee
today. A large trailing rain band with embedded thunder is
currently stretched out along and southeast of a line from PAM to
ABY. For the TLH, ABY, and VLD terminals, it will take a few more
hours for the rain and thunder to exit. A quieter period is
expected late this afternoon and early this evening, though a
stray shower could swing out of central Alabama into the vicinity
of DHN.

Later tonight, a weaker and narrower band of showers and possible
thunder will swing across the terminals. With saturated near-
surface conditions, low clouds are possible at any of the
terminals, but have focused this mostly at the AL and GA
terminals, which should have more cloud breaks above. Some
lingering low-level wind should limit on-the-ground fog coverage,
instead keeping the low clouds stirred up into an IFR cloud deck.

&&

.MARINE...
Rain bands from Tropical Depression Ida will continue to impact
the marine areas through tonight. Gusty winds are expected within
the bands, with Small Craft Advisory winds outside the bands. Seas
will gradually subside, but will remain in the 4 to 6 foot range
overnight. Conditions will continue to gradually improve through
the next several days, with light winds and low seas expected by
this weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather concerns through the next several days, given the
recent and expected rainfall. Drier conditions will spread over
the region from Thursday into the weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
After some localized flooding through the day, the flooding rain
potential for the western half of the area appears to be
diminishing as the main convergent bands slide to the east.
Therefore, will cancel the Flash Flood Watch for the remainder of
the afternoon. Farther to the east, the main band will continue to
produce locally heavy rain across the southeastern Big Bend
through the overnight hours into Wednesday. At the moment, the
expected rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches should be manageable.
However, if rain rates are higher than anticipated across the
area, a Flash Flood Watch may be needed for Wednesday.

Today's rainfall has caused some short term rises on rivers and
streams in Walton County. However, it appears the levels will
remain below flood stage.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   74  91  72  91  69 /  60  40  20  20  10
Panama City   75  88  73  89  70 /  70  40  30  20  10
Dothan        72  89  69  88  66 /  60  30  10  10   0
Albany        74  89  70  90  69 /  60  30  10  10  10
Valdosta      73  88  71  89  68 /  50  40  10  20  10
Cross City    75  85  74  89  71 /  80  80  40  40  10
Apalachicola  76  86  74  87  72 /  80  60  40  30  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ this afternoon
     for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     High Surf Advisory until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ Wednesday for
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...None.

AL...None.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Wednesday for Coastal
     waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County
     Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach
     FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa
     Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Wednesday for Apalachee Bay
     or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL
     out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to
     Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee
     River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee
     River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...Camp
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Camp
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Camp
HYDROLOGY...Camp

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
521 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

ALZ067-GAZ120>122-312200-
Henry AL-Quitman GA-Randolph GA-Clay GA-
521 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Henry,
northwestern Clay, southwestern Randolph and southeastern Quitman
Counties through 600 PM EDT/500 PM CDT/...

At 520 PM EDT/420 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Abbeville, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and funnel clouds.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Gaines, Days Crossroads, Walter F. George Lock And Dam, Walter F
George Lake, Standleys Store, Otho, Watson Crossroads, Double
Bridges, Moores Crossroads, Pecan, Garnersville, Screamer, Bagby
State Park, Thomas Mill Creek, Coleman, Morris, Jones Crossing,
Bethel, Cotton Hill and Fort Gaines-Clay Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 8519 3165 8525 3183 8494 3163 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 244DEG 21KT 3164 8518

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

11-MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
536 PM EDT TUE AUG 31 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TORNADO          TAYLOR                  31.17N 85.47W
08/31/2021                   HOUSTON            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED DAMAGE TO 1 HOME,
            OUTBUILDINGS, AND TREES IN TAYLOR.

&&

PC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
558 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

ALZ067-069-GAZ142-312230-
Henry AL-Houston AL-Early GA-
558 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Henry,
northeastern Houston and west central Early Counties through 630 PM
EDT/530 PM CDT/...

At 558 PM EDT/458 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm over Cowarts, or 9 miles east of Dothan, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and funnel clouds.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Ashford, Cowarts, Webb, Columbia, Avon, Sigma, Pearce, Enon, Rock
Hill, Barber, Pleasant Plains, Farley Nuclear Plant, Smyrna, Hilton
and Sawhatchee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3115 8528 3123 8534 3143 8507 3122 8493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 239DEG 34KT 3121 8527

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

11-MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
707 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

GAZ120-312330-
Quitman GA-
707 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Quitman
County through 730 PM EDT...

At 705 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Georgetown, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Georgetown, Wire Bridge and Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 8496 3195 8496 3194 8495 3194 8494
      3193 8494 3193 8492 3192 8491 3185 8491
      3181 8508 3189 8510 3196 8497
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 246DEG 24KT 3187 8504

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

25-CAMP

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