Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 569
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 29, 2021, 12:05 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 29, 2021, 12:05 PM CST (18:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 29, 2021, 7:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 70 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Claiborne Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 1:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Union | 42 min |
| Dec 29, 1:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Ouachita | 52 min |
| Dec 29, 2:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Drew | 47 min |
| Dec 29, 2:46 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 15 min |
| Dec 29, 2:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 46 min |
| Dec 29, 3:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Sunflower | 48 min |
| Dec 29, 4:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Grenada, Montgomery, Webster | 50 min |
| Dec 29, 4:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley | 33 min |
| Dec 29, 4:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc | 52 min |
| Dec 29, 4:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clay, Webster | 42 min |
| Dec 29, 4:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Prentiss, Tishomingo | 14 min |
| Dec 29, 5:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw | 39 min |
| Dec 29, 5:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Monroe | 46 min |
| Dec 29, 5:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Lowndes | 40 min |
| Dec 29, 5:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Monroe | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 2070 Severe potential...watch possible
- Mesoscale Discussion 2071 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 2073 Tornado watch 569
- Mesoscale Discussion 2077 Tornado watch 569
- Mesoscale Discussion 2078 Tornado watch 569...570
- Mesoscale Discussion 2079 Severe potential...watch unlikely
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1900 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
027
WWUS20 KWNS 291802
SEL9
SPC WW 291802
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-300100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 569
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CST Wed Dec 29 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM
until 700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify early this
afternoon over parts of southeast Arkansas and northeast Louisiana,
and track rapidly eastward across the watch area. Damaging winds
and a few tornadoes, along with some hail will be possible in these
areas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of El Dorado AR to
40 miles east northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 9:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 29, 10:44 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Desha, Phillips | 87 min |
| Dec 29, 3:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew | 64 min |
| Dec 29, 4:44 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 29, 2:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Washington | 86 min |
| Dec 29, 2:03 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Franklin, Hinds and 18 more | 87 min |
| Dec 29, 4:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Clay, Itawamba, Lee, Lowndes and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 29, 2:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin, Giles, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion, Marshall and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 29, 3:53 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Franklin, Giles, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion, Moore and 1 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.