Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 197
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 23, 2021, 1:50 PM MDT for 4 counties in North Dakota; 15 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 23, 2021, 1:50 PM MDT (19:50 UTC)
- Expired
- May 23, 2021, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 21 counties
Adams County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Corson County, SD, Custer County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY, Weston County, WY
The radar
The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Meade | 30 min |
| May 23, 3:13 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Meade, Perkins | 47 min |
| May 23, 3:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer | 37 min |
| May 23, 3:58 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Perkins | 47 min |
| May 23, 3:59 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Custer | 31 min |
| May 23, 4:14 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Custer, Pennington | 13 min |
| May 23, 4:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer, Lawrence, Meade, Pennington | 49 min |
| May 23, 4:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Meade, Pennington | 33 min |
| May 23, 5:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Meade, Pennington | 30 min |
| May 23, 5:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Haakon, Meade, Pennington, Ziebach | 67 min |
| May 23, 6:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Haakon, Meade, Ziebach | 58 min |
| May 23, 6:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Dewey | 46 min |
| May 23, 7:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Mercer, Morton, Stark | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 549 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 271 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 339 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
033
WWUS20 KWNS 231947
SEL7
SPC WW 231947
NDZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-240300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 197
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM MDT Sun May 23 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest North Dakota
Western South Dakota
Northeast Wyoming
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to quickly develop and
race northeastward as a warm front otherwise continues to spread
northward across South Dakota and eventually reaches southern North
Dakota. Supercells capable of large hail and a couple of tornadoes
are initially expected, although storms may merge into clusters by
late afternoon/early evening with a continued damaging wind and some
tornado risk.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Lemmon SD
to 70 miles south of Rapid City SD. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 196...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 20040.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 5:25 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bowman, Sioux | 95 min |
| May 23, 10:53 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fall River | 2 hr |
| May 23, 12:58 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Haakon, Meade, Oglala Lakota, Pennington, Perkins, Ziebach | 2 hr |
| May 23, 1:57 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fall River | 2 hr |
| May 23, 12:06 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Goshen, Laramie, Niobrara | 8 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2021Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2021Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.