Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 197

May 23, 20214 counties in North Dakota; 15 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 23, 2021, 1:50 PM MDT for 4 counties in North Dakota; 15 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 23, 2021, 1:50 PM MDT (19:50 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2021, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 21 counties

Adams County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Corson County, SD, Custer County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 2:45 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRMeade30 min
May 23, 3:13 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRMeade, Perkins47 min
May 23, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster37 min
May 23, 3:58 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRPerkins47 min
May 23, 3:59 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRCuster31 min
May 23, 4:14 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRCuster, Pennington13 min
May 23, 4:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Lawrence, Meade, Pennington49 min
May 23, 4:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Meade, Pennington33 min
May 23, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Meade, Pennington30 min
May 23, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Meade, Pennington, Ziebach67 min
May 23, 6:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Meade, Ziebach58 min
May 23, 6:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey46 min
May 23, 7:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Mercer, Morton, Stark44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 271 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
549 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

033 
WWUS20 KWNS 231947
SEL7  
SPC WW 231947
NDZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-240300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 197
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM MDT Sun May 23 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwest North Dakota
  Western South Dakota
  Northeast Wyoming

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to quickly develop and
race northeastward as a warm front otherwise continues to spread
northward across South Dakota and eventually reaches southern North
Dakota. Supercells capable of large hail and a couple of tornadoes
are initially expected, although storms may merge into clusters by
late afternoon/early evening with a continued damaging wind and some
tornado risk.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Lemmon SD
to 70 miles south of Rapid City SD. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 196...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 20040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 5:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bowman, Sioux95 min
May 23, 10:53 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFall River2 hr
May 23, 12:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHaakon, Meade, Oglala Lakota, Pennington, Perkins, Ziebach2 hr
May 23, 1:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFall River2 hr
May 23, 12:06 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCGoshen, Laramie, Niobrara8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2021Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2021Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.