Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 122

April 28, 202133 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 28, 2021, 10:22 PM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2021, 10:22 PM CDT (03:22 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 33 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Uvalde43 min
Apr 28, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr14 min
Apr 28, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick55 min
Apr 28, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick44 min
Apr 28, 11:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Real, Uvalde54 min
Apr 28, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr49 min
Apr 28, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick, Zavala47 min
Apr 29, 12:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala44 min
Apr 29, 12:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde, Zavala46 min
Apr 29, 12:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde63 min
Apr 29, 12:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala54 min
Apr 29, 12:59 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio, Zavala14 min
Apr 29, 1:03 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde27 min
Apr 29, 1:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde53 min
Apr 29, 1:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina53 min
Apr 29, 1:33 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXMedina17 min
Apr 29, 1:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina, Wilson21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 133 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -173 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
133 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-279 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1737 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-173 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

976 
WWUS20 KWNS 290319
SEL2  
SPC WW 290319
TXZ000-291000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 122
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwest and South-Central Texas

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1020
  PM until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...A combination of semi-discrete intense supercells and
other well-organized clusters of storms will persist into the
overnight with large hail and damaging winds continuing aside from a
tornado risk. This Tornado Watch serves as a replacement for Tornado
Watch 120 which had been scheduled to expire at 11 pm CDT.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 100 miles west of Hondo TX to 50
miles east southeast of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120...WW 121...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 7:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe and 4 more89 min
Apr 28, 7:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas and 24 more119 min
Apr 28, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 29 more6 hr
Apr 28, 9:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Colorado, Comal, Fayette and 4 more92 min
Apr 28, 9:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Dallas, Delta and 18 more116 min
Apr 28, 11:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 37 more117 min
Apr 29, 1:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Dallas, Delta and 22 more2 hr
Apr 29, 2:01 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Delta, Franklin, Gregg and 15 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.