Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 78

April 9, 202120 counties in North Carolina; 28 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 9, 2021, 3:38 PM EDT for 20 counties in North Carolina; 28 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2021, 3:38 PM EDT (19:38 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2021, 10:50 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake40 min
Apr 9, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFranklin49 min
Apr 9, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax23 min
Apr 9, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville, Person50 min
Apr 9, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKSurry49 min
Apr 9, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQMecklenburg46 min
Apr 9, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFranklin, Henry, Pittsylvania41 min
Apr 9, 4:20 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKSurry25 min
Apr 9, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Suffolk28 min
Apr 9, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax44 min
Apr 9, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake41 min
Apr 9, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes55 min
Apr 9, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFloyd, Franklin, Patrick40 min
Apr 9, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHenry, Pittsylvania50 min
Apr 9, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville46 min
Apr 9, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Surry, City of Hampton, City of Newport News45 min
Apr 9, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQMecklenburg48 min
Apr 9, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Chowan, Perquimans39 min
Apr 9, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Portsmouth, City of Suffolk53 min
Apr 9, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKPittsylvania36 min
Apr 9, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville, Vance, Warren63 min
Apr 9, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach47 min
Apr 9, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Mecklenburg47 min
Apr 9, 5:13 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKPittsylvania33 min
Apr 9, 5:27 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania48 min
Apr 9, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Portsmouth, City of Suffolk51 min
Apr 9, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Chowan, Perquimans48 min
Apr 9, 5:42 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHPerson35 min
Apr 9, 5:55 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHalifax50 min
Apr 9, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton48 min
Apr 9, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach47 min
Apr 9, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWarren46 min
Apr 9, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQChowan, Perquimans51 min
Apr 9, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton46 min
Apr 9, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Currituck45 min
Apr 9, 6:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax40 min
Apr 9, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQMecklenburg51 min
Apr 9, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQChowan24 min
Apr 9, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQNorthampton42 min
Apr 9, 7:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Currituck51 min
Apr 9, 7:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg43 min
Apr 9, 7:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Prince George52 min
Apr 9, 7:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach4 hr
Apr 9, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Hertford, Northampton51 min
Apr 9, 8:55 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatAKQCity of Chesapeake3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 132 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
132 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
654 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

369 
WWUS20 KWNS 091935
SEL8  
SPC WW 091935
NCZ000-VAZ000-100400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 78
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM EDT Fri Apr 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern North Carolina
  Southern Virginia

* Effective this Friday afternoon from 335 PM until Midnight EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forming and beginning to move
east of the higher terrain in southwestern Virginia, and additional
storm development is expected this afternoon along a stalled front
farther east across northern North Carolina and southern Virginia. 
The storm environment will favor a mix of multicell clusters and
supercells, with the attendant threats for large hail and damaging
winds.  An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out with supercells
moving along the front.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west of
Danville VA to 75 miles east of Roanoke Rapids NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 76...WW 77...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 1:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Stokes, Surry, Warren, Wilkes113 min
Apr 9, 6:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Caswell, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe and 14 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.