Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 62

March 27, 202127 counties in Illinois; 21 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2021, 4:44 PM CDT for 27 counties in Illinois; 21 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2021, 4:44 PM CDT (21:44 UTC)
Expired
Mar 27, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Washington County, IL, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene, Macoupin43 min
Mar 27, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJersey, Madison38 min
Mar 27, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMorgan, Sangamon48 min
Mar 27, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin, Montgomery42 min
Mar 27, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade15 min
Mar 27, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison38 min
Mar 27, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian43 min
Mar 27, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Washington28 min
Mar 27, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMacon, Moultrie, Shelby21 min
Mar 27, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair49 min
Mar 27, 7:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair42 min
Mar 27, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Monroe, Saint Clair, Washington39 min
Mar 27, 7:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXClinton, Saint Clair, Washington47 min
Mar 27, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington48 min
Mar 27, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Fayette, Madison, Marion, Saint Clair and 1 more47 min
Mar 27, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Fayette, Marion45 min
Mar 27, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois67 min
Mar 27, 7:59 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXClinton, Marion, Washington31 min
Mar 27, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXColes, Cumberland, Shelby54 min
Mar 27, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph, Saint Clair, Washington64 min
Mar 27, 8:16 PM CDTTornado WarningILXColes, Cumberland, Shelby44 min
Mar 27, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClay, Effingham, Jasper55 min
Mar 27, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Fayette, Marion, Washington39 min
Mar 27, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark40 min
Mar 27, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark, Edgar21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 369 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1078 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
369 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

302 
WWUS20 KWNS 272142
SEL2  
SPC WW 272142
ILZ000-MOZ000-280200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 62
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Sat Mar 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central Illinois
  South-central to east-central Missouri

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Multiple supercells with large hail as the primary initial
hazard should consolidate into a broken squall line with the risk
for damaging wind gusts increasing this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles northeast of
Alton IL to 5 miles east southeast of West Plains MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...WW
61...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 2:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 5 more116 min
Mar 27, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles and 21 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.