Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 479

August 30, 202130 counties in Nebraska; 30 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 30, 2021, 9:57 PM CDT for 30 counties in Nebraska; 30 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2021, 9:57 PM CDT (02:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 31, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 60 counties

Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Holt County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Aurora County, SD, Bennett County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Davison County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 209 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Perkins35 min
Aug 30, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Pennington64 min
Aug 30, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFCherry46 min
Aug 30, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Knox, Pierce, Wayne46 min
Aug 30, 10:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXWayne44 min
Aug 30, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar39 min
Aug 30, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOAXCuming, Stanton, Wayne44 min
Aug 30, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOAXPierce, Wayne54 min
Aug 30, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones25 min
Aug 30, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFCherry49 min
Aug 30, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHughes, Lyman20 min
Aug 30, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle, Jerauld, Sanborn41 min
Aug 30, 11:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXKnox40 min
Aug 30, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Stanton, Wayne48 min
Aug 30, 11:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne24 min
Aug 30, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry50 min
Aug 31, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax, Cuming, Dodge, Stanton45 min
Aug 31, 12:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDAurora, Brule3 hr
Aug 31, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Davison, Douglas40 min
Aug 31, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Pierce36 min
Aug 31, 12:14 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningABRLyman6 hr
Aug 31, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXWashington26 min
Aug 31, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHanson, Hutchinson45 min
Aug 31, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Mellette, Todd61 min
Aug 31, 12:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Cuming, Dodge, Saunders, Washington29 min
Aug 31, 12:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Lyman42 min
Aug 31, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFBrown, Cherry48 min
Aug 31, 12:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Dodge, Douglas, Saunders, Washington37 min
Aug 31, 1:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd, Tripp58 min
Aug 31, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd, Tripp56 min
Aug 31, 1:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Douglas, Saunders, Washington23 min
Aug 31, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBon Homme, Charles Mix, Gregory49 min
Aug 31, 1:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Douglas, Sarpy, Saunders25 min
Aug 31, 1:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXAntelope, Knox, Pierce4 hr
Aug 31, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Sarpy, Saunders34 min
Aug 31, 1:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd, Tripp63 min
Aug 31, 2:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBon Homme, Charles Mix31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-08-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 205 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-08-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
205 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1953 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

905 
WWUS20 KWNS 310256
SEL9  
SPC WW 310256
NEZ000-SDZ000-311000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 479
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  North-central and northeastern Nebraska
  Western through southern South Dakota

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 955 PM
  until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible

SUMMARY...Several ongoing strong to severe thunderstorms  --
including a few supercells -- are expected to aggregate with newer
convection tonight across southern SD and northern NE.  Until that
occurs, large/damaging hail is possible from that activity, as well
as more-isolated convection in northern NE and southeastern SD.  A
thunderstorm complex is forecast to evolve and move southeastward on
either side of a stationary front.  That activity would increase the
 severe-wind threat into southern SD and north-central/northeastern
NE.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 45 miles north northwest of
Philip SD to 55 miles south of Yankton SD. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31030.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 7:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Cherry, Holt and 5 more3 hr
Aug 30, 11:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Butler, Cass, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge and 10 more85 min
Aug 31, 3:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Burt, Butler and 32 more118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.