Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416

August 8, 202126 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 8, 2021, 1:59 PM CDT for 26 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 8, 2021, 1:59 PM CDT (18:59 UTC)
Expired
Aug 8, 2021, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 26 counties

Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Portage County, WI, Richland County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAdams31 min
Aug 8, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBWaushara51 min
Aug 8, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBWaushara, Winnebago29 min
Aug 8, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen Lake, Marquette36 min
Aug 8, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOutagamie, Portage, Shawano, Waupaca, Waushara, Winnebago60 min
Aug 8, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBWaushara, Winnebago29 min
Aug 8, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXSheboygan30 min
Aug 8, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Door, Kewaunee29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 445 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 108 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
445 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
568 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

490 
WWUS20 KWNS 081857
SEL6  
SPC WW 081857
WIZ000-LMZ000-090100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 416
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Sun Aug 8 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central Wisconsin
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
  800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to develop and
spread northeastward across central Wisconsin through the afternoon.
The storm environment favors a mix of multicell clusters with
damaging winds of 60-70 mph and isolated large hail around 1 inch
diameter.  A few supercells will also be possible, with the
attendant threat for a brief tornado or two.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles north
northeast of Manitowoc WI to 20 miles west northwest of Camp Douglas
WI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
21020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Crawford, Dodge and 22 more93 min
Aug 8, 3:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Clark, Columbia, Dodge and 22 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.