Alert archive / Maryland / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 21, 2021, 11:56 AM EDT for 8 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 21, 2021, 11:56 AM EDT (15:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 21, 2021, 6:55 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 91 counties
Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 12:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Ocean | 39 min |
| Jul 21, 12:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Ocean | 67 min |
| Jul 21, 1:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Prince George's | 46 min |
| Jul 21, 1:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Franklin | 38 min |
| Jul 21, 1:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll | 49 min |
| Jul 21, 1:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Washington | 21 min |
| Jul 21, 1:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks | 48 min |
| Jul 21, 1:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic | 47 min |
| Jul 21, 1:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Ocean | 49 min |
| Jul 21, 1:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Prince George's | 44 min |
| Jul 21, 1:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 24 min |
| Jul 21, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Washington | 23 min |
| Jul 21, 2:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Bucks, Lehigh, Northampton | 42 min |
| Jul 21, 2:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington | 47 min |
| Jul 21, 2:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery | 19 min |
| Jul 21, 2:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 44 min |
| Jul 21, 2:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Bucks, Montgomery, Philadelphia | 42 min |
| Jul 21, 2:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Ocean | 26 min |
| Jul 21, 2:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Chester, Delaware | 38 min |
| Jul 21, 3:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester | 56 min |
| Jul 21, 3:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden | 44 min |
| Jul 21, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 33 min |
| Jul 21, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Monmouth, Ocean | 47 min |
| Jul 21, 3:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 44 min |
| Jul 21, 3:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 26 min |
| Jul 21, 3:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden | 42 min |
| Jul 21, 3:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Cecil | 15 min |
| Jul 21, 3:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem | 33 min |
| Jul 21, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Queen Anne's | 44 min |
| Jul 21, 4:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 30 min |
| Jul 21, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 25 min |
| Jul 21, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 40 min |
| Jul 21, 5:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Cape May | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 130 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -165 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1495 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 22 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
267 WWUS20 KWNS 211554 SEL5 SPC WW 211554 CTZ000-DCZ000-DEZ000-MAZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-RIZ000-VAZ00 0-CWZ000-220000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 385 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1155 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut District Of Columbia Delaware Southeast Massachusetts Central and Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Southeast Pennsylvania Rhode Island Northeast Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1155 AM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon along a weak cold front extending from northern Virginia into eastern Massachusetts. The strongest cells will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles either side of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Baltimore MD to 40 miles northeast of Hyannis MA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28030. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 10:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min | |
| Jul 21, 10:32 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min | |
| Jul 21, 2:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.