Alert archive / Maryland / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385

July 21, 20218 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 21, 2021, 11:56 AM EDT for 8 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2021, 11:56 AM EDT (15:56 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2021, 6:55 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 91 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 12:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Ocean39 min
Jul 21, 12:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIOcean67 min
Jul 21, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPrince George's46 min
Jul 21, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPFranklin38 min
Jul 21, 1:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll49 min
Jul 21, 1:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Washington21 min
Jul 21, 1:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks48 min
Jul 21, 1:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic47 min
Jul 21, 1:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIOcean49 min
Jul 21, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Prince George's44 min
Jul 21, 1:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region24 min
Jul 21, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Washington23 min
Jul 21, 2:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBucks, Lehigh, Northampton42 min
Jul 21, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington47 min
Jul 21, 2:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery19 min
Jul 21, 2:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester44 min
Jul 21, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBucks, Montgomery, Philadelphia42 min
Jul 21, 2:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIOcean26 min
Jul 21, 2:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester, Delaware38 min
Jul 21, 3:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester56 min
Jul 21, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden44 min
Jul 21, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle33 min
Jul 21, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean47 min
Jul 21, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXSaint Mary's44 min
Jul 21, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot26 min
Jul 21, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden42 min
Jul 21, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCecil15 min
Jul 21, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem33 min
Jul 21, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Queen Anne's44 min
Jul 21, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot30 min
Jul 21, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex25 min
Jul 21, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's40 min
Jul 21, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICape May29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 130 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
130 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-165 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1495 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

267 
WWUS20 KWNS 211554
SEL5  
SPC WW 211554
CTZ000-DCZ000-DEZ000-MAZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-RIZ000-VAZ00
0-CWZ000-220000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 385
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Connecticut
  District Of Columbia
  Delaware
  Southeast Massachusetts
  Central and Eastern Maryland
  New Jersey
  Southeast New York
  Southeast Pennsylvania
  Rhode Island
  Northeast Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1155 AM until
  800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop this
afternoon along a weak cold front extending from northern Virginia
into eastern Massachusetts.  The strongest cells will pose a risk of
damaging wind gusts and hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles either side of a line from 25 miles west southwest of
Baltimore MD to 40 miles northeast of Hyannis MA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 10:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jul 21, 10:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Jul 21, 2:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.