Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 339

July 6, 20217 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2021, 5:00 PM MDT for 7 counties in Montana. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2021, 5:00 PM MDT (23:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2021, 10:51 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Big Horn County, MT, Custer County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 5:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZYellowstone48 min
Jul 6, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone63 min
Jul 6, 5:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Yellowstone50 min
Jul 6, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone62 min
Jul 6, 6:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn63 min
Jul 6, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Rosebud, Treasure62 min
Jul 6, 8:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Powder River, Rosebud54 min
Jul 6, 8:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Rosebud35 min
Jul 6, 9:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Powder River, Rosebud32 min
Jul 6, 9:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 134 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1314 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

269 
WWUS20 KWNS 062256
SEL9  
SPC WW 062256
MTZ000-070500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 339
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM MDT Tue Jul 6 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Montana

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
  1100 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have developed north of Billings ahead of an
approaching upper disturbance.  These storms are likely to persist
for several hours, tracking southeastward across the watch area. 
Large hail and damaging winds will be possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles west northwest
of Miles City MT to 65 miles west southwest of Broadus MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 335...WW 336...WW
337...WW 338...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
29025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 10:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLiberty, Toole116 min
Jul 6, 2:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Fergus, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, Musselshell, Petroleum and 6 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.