Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 339
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2021, 5:00 PM MDT for 7 counties in Montana. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 6, 2021, 5:00 PM MDT (23:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 6, 2021, 10:51 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Big Horn County, MT, Custer County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 5:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 48 min |
| Jul 6, 5:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone | 63 min |
| Jul 6, 5:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Yellowstone | 50 min |
| Jul 6, 6:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 6:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn | 63 min |
| Jul 6, 7:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Rosebud, Treasure | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 8:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Powder River, Rosebud | 54 min |
| Jul 6, 8:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Rosebud | 35 min |
| Jul 6, 9:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Powder River, Rosebud | 32 min |
| Jul 6, 9:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1314 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 134 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
269
WWUS20 KWNS 062256
SEL9
SPC WW 062256
MTZ000-070500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 339
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM MDT Tue Jul 6 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Montana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have developed north of Billings ahead of an
approaching upper disturbance. These storms are likely to persist
for several hours, tracking southeastward across the watch area.
Large hail and damaging winds will be possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles west northwest
of Miles City MT to 65 miles west southwest of Broadus MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 335...WW 336...WW
337...WW 338...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 10:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Liberty, Toole | 116 min |
| Jul 6, 2:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Fergus, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, Musselshell, Petroleum and 6 more | 83 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.