Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 338

July 6, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2021, 2:01 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2021, 2:01 PM CDT (19:01 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 77 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Howard County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Rice County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Union County, SD, Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Portage County, WI, Richland County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo21 min
Jul 6, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXEau Claire10 min
Jul 6, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark52 min
Jul 6, 3:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWinona42 min
Jul 6, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Wood52 min
Jul 6, 4:01 PM CDTTornado WarningARXJackson, La Crosse, Monroe17 min
Jul 6, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Portage, Wood62 min
Jul 6, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Portage, Shawano, Waupaca, Waushara, Wood48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 214 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
214 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1752 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

283 
WWUS20 KWNS 061858
SEL8  
SPC WW 061858
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WIZ000-070300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 338
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Tue Jul 6 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Iowa
  Southern Minnesota
  Far Northeast Nebraska
  Far Southeast South Dakota
  Central and Southern Wisconsin

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will develop generally eastward within
multiple corridors across the region near a boundary through
early/mid-evening. Damaging winds and some severe hail are expected
to the primary hazards.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles west southwest
of Worthington MN to 25 miles southeast of Green Bay WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 335...WW 336...WW 337...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Osceola, Sioux114 min
Jul 6, 5:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 14 more113 min
Jul 6, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 14 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.