Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 332

July 3, 202117 counties in Colorado; 18 counties in Nebraska; 8 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2021, 3:33 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado; 18 counties in Nebraska; 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2021, 3:33 PM MDT (21:33 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2021, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Todd County, SD

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 3:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSKimball31 min
Jul 3, 3:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUMorgan, Weld33 min
Jul 3, 4:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne57 min
Jul 3, 4:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRJackson57 min
Jul 3, 4:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Stanley39 min
Jul 3, 4:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes47 min
Jul 3, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes, Sioux28 min
Jul 3, 4:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington37 min
Jul 3, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Jackson62 min
Jul 3, 4:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan31 min
Jul 3, 5:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan25 min
Jul 3, 5:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Stanley50 min
Jul 3, 5:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert25 min
Jul 3, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington31 min
Jul 3, 5:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso36 min
Jul 3, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington34 min
Jul 3, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett79 min
Jul 3, 5:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones33 min
Jul 3, 6:00 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOULogan2 hr
Jul 3, 6:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso32 min
Jul 3, 6:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry67 min
Jul 3, 6:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso94 min
Jul 3, 7:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry55 min
Jul 3, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett44 min
Jul 3, 9:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -41 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1229 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

708 
WWUS20 KWNS 032130
SEL2  
SPC WW 032130
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-040400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 332
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM MDT Sat Jul 3 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Western Kansas
  Western Nebraska
  South-Central South Dakota

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
  1000 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify along an axis from
eastern Colorado into southern South Dakota this afternoon and
evening.  The strongest cells in this zone will pose a risk of
damaging wind gusts and large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
of Pierre SD to 15 miles southwest of La Junta CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 1:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln, Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington97 min
Jul 3, 5:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert and 13 more87 min
Jul 3, 2:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Perkins, Ziebach116 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.