Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306

June 23, 202122 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 23, 2021, 3:40 PM MDT for 22 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2021, 3:40 PM MDT (21:40 UTC)
Expired
Jun 23, 2021, 9:45 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 22 counties

Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Grant County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeya Paha41 min
Jun 23, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry38 min
Jun 23, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha, Rock47 min
Jun 23, 4:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry46 min
Jun 23, 5:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Holt, Keya Paha23 min
Jun 23, 5:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Rock17 min
Jun 23, 7:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeya Paha41 min
Jun 23, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry, Keya Paha18 min
Jun 23, 7:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeya Paha46 min
Jun 23, 8:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha, Rock53 min
Jun 23, 8:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeya Paha32 min
Jun 23, 8:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Holt, Keya Paha, Rock43 min
Jun 23, 8:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Keya Paha40 min
Jun 23, 9:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBrown, Cherry, Keya Paha, Rock35 min
Jun 23, 9:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt, Wheeler33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 211 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
211 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-469 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

655 
WWUS20 KWNS 232137
SEL6  
SPC WW 232137
NEZ000-240400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 306
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western to central Nebraska

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 440 PM
  until 1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A few high-based supercells should initially develop
across the Panhandle into north-central portions of Nebraska. Later
this evening, thunderstorms should increase in coverage and develop
into a forward-propagating cluster across western to central
Nebraska.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles northeast of
Oneill NE to 80 miles west southwest of Mullen NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 22, 8:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Clay, Fillmore, Gage, Hamilton, Jefferson and 6 more54 min
Jun 23, 2:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 16 more114 min
Jun 23, 5:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Burt and 25 more92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.