Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 265

June 13, 202115 counties in Alabama; 19 parishes in Louisiana; 65 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 13, 2021, 12:22 PM CDT for 15 counties in Alabama; 19 parishes in Louisiana; 65 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2021, 12:22 PM CDT (17:22 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 99 counties

Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Winston County, AL, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 12:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Monroe11 min
Jun 13, 1:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes45 min
Jun 13, 1:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXFayette24 min
Jun 13, 1:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXFayette, Walker24 min
Jun 13, 1:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes50 min
Jun 13, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXWalker, Winston34 min
Jun 13, 1:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANLowndes3 hr
Jun 13, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes41 min
Jun 13, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXPickens18 min
Jun 13, 2:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANKemper, Noxubee2 hr
Jun 13, 2:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper48 min
Jun 13, 2:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison28 min
Jun 13, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLauderdale, Neshoba, Newton63 min
Jun 13, 3:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNeshoba, Winston44 min
Jun 13, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw28 min
Jun 13, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXHale18 min
Jun 13, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNeshoba31 min
Jun 13, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Webster67 min
Jun 13, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton67 min
Jun 13, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Scott66 min
Jun 13, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw49 min
Jun 13, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany42 min
Jun 13, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMontgomery63 min
Jun 13, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jones, Smith78 min
Jun 13, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWayne61 min
Jun 13, 4:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Simpson56 min
Jun 13, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union39 min
Jun 13, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington32 min
Jun 13, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala62 min
Jun 13, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Leflore, Sunflower60 min
Jun 13, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar66 min
Jun 13, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone45 min
Jun 13, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne64 min
Jun 13, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes48 min
Jun 13, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Rankin44 min
Jun 13, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion34 min
Jun 13, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo58 min
Jun 13, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile, Washington45 min
Jun 13, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington65 min
Jun 13, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany54 min
Jun 13, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin28 min
Jun 13, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin32 min
Jun 13, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2570 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2570 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
869 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

549 
WWUS20 KWNS 131719
SEL5  
SPC WW 131719
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-140000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Alabama
  Eastern Louisiana
  Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1220 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Several loosely organized multicell clusters should spread
south-southwest across the region through early evening. Damaging
winds will be the primary hazard.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of
Tupelo MS to 40 miles west of Slidell LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 264...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
01020.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 10:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Colbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Greene and 10 more60 min
Jun 13, 12:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile114 min
Jun 13, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Greene, Marengo, Sumter2 hr
Jun 13, 3:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCovington, Jasper, Jones, Leake, Newton, Scott and 1 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Alabama, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.