Severe Thunderstorm Watch 262

Issued

Jun 12, 2021, 2:46 PM MDT (20:46 UTC)

Expired

Jun 12, 2021, 10:00 PM MDT

In force

7 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

2.5 in

Strongest gust expected

70 kt

Counties Baca County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Chaves County, NM, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Union County, NM

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

10%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

2%

Ten or more severe wind reports

40%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

40%

Ten or more severe hail reports

40%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

40%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

70%

• Mesoscale Discussion 937 Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likelyJun 12, 2:09 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 939 Severe thunderstorm watch 262Jun 12, 6:17 PM MDT

120 
WWUS20 KWNS 122044
SEL2  
SPC WW 122044
COZ000-NMZ000-130400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 262
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM MDT Sat Jun 12 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Colorado
  Eastern New Mexico

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until
  1000 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop and intensify this
afternoon and move from west to east through the evening.  Some of
the stronger storms will be capable of a risk for large to very
large hail and severe gusts.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles southeast of
Corona NM to 40 miles east northeast of Trinidad CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.

...Smith/Grams

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.