Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237

June 4, 202119 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 4, 2021, 4:01 PM MDT for 19 counties in Montana. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 4, 2021, 4:01 PM MDT (22:01 UTC)
Expired
Jun 4, 2021, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, McCone County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXMeagher26 min
Jun 4, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZSweet Grass, Wheatland35 min
Jun 4, 8:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone66 min
Jun 4, 9:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland56 min
Jun 4, 9:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 59 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
59 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-404 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2879 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

331 
WWUS20 KWNS 042158
SEL7  
SPC WW 042158
MTZ000-050500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 237
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM MDT Fri Jun 4 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South central into east central Montana

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
  1100 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A cluster or two of high-based thunderstorms will spread
generally eastward from south central Montana this afternoon into
east central Montana through late evening.  The storm environment
favors a few damaging outflow gusts of 60-70 mph as the primary
threat, and isolated large hail near 1 inch in diameter may also
occur.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles north
northwest of Livingston MT to 35 miles east of Glendive MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 235...WW 236...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 1:59 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Broadwater, Deer Lodge, Gallatin, Granite, Jefferson and 7 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.