Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 167

May 11, 202111 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 11, 2021, 8:34 PM CDT for 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2021, 8:34 PM CDT (01:34 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2021, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brooks County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, Nueces County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Zapata County, TX

The radar

The Brownsville radar (KBRO), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Live Oak, Nueces, San Patricio38 min
May 11, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROJim Hogg, Zapata49 min
May 11, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg, Nueces52 min
May 11, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROZapata42 min
May 11, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROBrooks, Jim Hogg51 min
May 11, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Kleberg32 min
May 11, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROStarr, Zapata49 min
May 11, 10:26 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg34 min
May 11, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg45 min
May 11, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROStarr, Zapata46 min
May 11, 11:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPNueces, San Patricio28 min
May 11, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROStarr36 min
May 11, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPNueces, San Patricio49 min
May 12, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROHidalgo, Willacy30 min
May 12, 1:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROKenedy60 min
May 12, 1:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron, Hidalgo41 min
May 12, 1:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron49 min
May 12, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROHidalgo40 min
May 12, 2:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron34 min
May 12, 2:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brownsville Intl, TX (KBRO), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brownsville Intl, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2611 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brownsville Intl, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2611 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
772 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

985 
WWUS20 KWNS 120131
SEL7  
SPC WW 120131
TXZ000-CWZ000-120900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 167
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Deep South Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 835 PM
  until 400 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to continue to
build southward across Deep South Texas through the evening and
overnight period.  Locally damaging wind gusts and hail will be
possible in the more intense cells.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles south of Mcallen
TX to 10 miles west northwest of Corpus Christi TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 8:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 8 more118 min
May 11, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Orange87 min
May 11, 10:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 8 more118 min
May 12, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.