Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159

May 9, 202138 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 9, 2021, 3:01 PM CDT for 38 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2021, 3:01 PM CDT (20:01 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2021, 10:16 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Comal County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Houston County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson30 min
May 9, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill, Limestone, McLennan52 min
May 9, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFreestone, Limestone, Navarro28 min
May 9, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFreestone, Hill, Limestone, Navarro62 min
May 9, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Freestone42 min
May 9, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason47 min
May 9, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Leon41 min
May 9, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston24 min
May 9, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason50 min
May 9, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLeon49 min
May 9, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie, Llano63 min
May 9, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston46 min
May 9, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, San Saba28 min
May 9, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie, Llano67 min
May 9, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSan Saba45 min
May 9, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMills65 min
May 9, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie, Kendall58 min
May 9, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk, Trinity45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1448 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 473 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1448 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-333 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
846 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
473 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
499 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

473 
WWUS20 KWNS 091959
SEL9  
SPC WW 091959
TXZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 159
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Sun May 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Parts of central and east Texas

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to form this
afternoon and persist into late evening, along and ahead of a
slow-moving cold front.  The storm environment will favor splitting
supercells initially with the threat for isolated very large hail to
baseball size or larger.  By this evening, some clustering of storms
could also lead to an increase in the threat for damaging outflow
gusts.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles northwest of
San Antonio TX to 5 miles southeast of Tyler TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 157...WW 158...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 12:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 22 more91 min
May 9, 1:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 14 more8 hr
May 9, 1:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 27 more94 min
May 9, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Morris93 min
May 9, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Nacogdoches, Panola and 4 more2 hr
May 9, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJasper, Newton, Tyler7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.