Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 9, 2021, 3:01 PM CDT for 38 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 9, 2021, 3:01 PM CDT (20:01 UTC)
- Expired
- May 9, 2021, 10:16 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Comal County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Houston County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX
The radar
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 3:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson | 30 min |
| May 9, 4:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hill, Limestone, McLennan | 52 min |
| May 9, 4:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Freestone, Limestone, Navarro | 28 min |
| May 9, 4:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Freestone, Hill, Limestone, Navarro | 62 min |
| May 9, 5:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson, Freestone | 42 min |
| May 9, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason | 47 min |
| May 9, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson, Leon | 41 min |
| May 9, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston | 24 min |
| May 9, 6:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason | 50 min |
| May 9, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Leon | 49 min |
| May 9, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Llano | 63 min |
| May 9, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston | 46 min |
| May 9, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch, San Saba | 28 min |
| May 9, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie, Llano | 67 min |
| May 9, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | San Saba | 45 min |
| May 9, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Mills | 65 min |
| May 9, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie, Kendall | 58 min |
| May 9, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Polk, Trinity | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1448 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -333 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 846 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 473 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 499 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
The text
As transmitted.
473
WWUS20 KWNS 091959
SEL9
SPC WW 091959
TXZ000-100300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 159
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Sun May 9 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of central and east Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to form this
afternoon and persist into late evening, along and ahead of a
slow-moving cold front. The storm environment will favor splitting
supercells initially with the threat for isolated very large hail to
baseball size or larger. By this evening, some clustering of storms
could also lead to an increase in the threat for damaging outflow
gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles northwest of
San Antonio TX to 5 miles southeast of Tyler TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 157...WW 158...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 12:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 22 more | 91 min |
| May 9, 1:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 14 more | 8 hr |
| May 9, 1:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 27 more | 94 min |
| May 9, 3:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Morris | 93 min |
| May 9, 5:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Nacogdoches, Panola and 4 more | 2 hr |
| May 9, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jasper, Newton, Tyler | 7 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.