Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 960

June 13, 202126 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 13, 2021, 7:21 PM EDT for 26 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2021, 7:21 PM EDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2021, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 266
All 26 counties

Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Elk County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2252 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

375 
ACUS11 KWNS 132321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132321 
PAZ000-NYZ000-140045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0960
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0621 PM CDT Sun Jun 13 2021

Areas affected...Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 266...

Valid 132321Z - 140045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 266
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across mainly the western and
central portions of ww266.

DISCUSSION...Scattered robust convection has struggled to spread
east of the higher terrain. This is likely partly due to much
steeper lapse-rate environment extending across western NY, south
into Clearfield County PA. Primary updraft feed is from this steeper
lapse-rate plume and given the slow forward propagation, new
updrafts may continue to develop in proximity to higher buoyancy.
For these reasons, western and central portions of ww266 may remain
most active.

..Darrow.. 06/13/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...

LAT...LON   41907896 42157562 40547562 40327896 41907896

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 12:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Butler, Cambria and 8 more2 hr
Jun 13, 12:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 9 more7 hr
Jun 13, 2:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlair, Bradford, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield and 20 more2 hr
Jun 13, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 10 more94 min
Jun 13, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlair, Bradford, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield and 20 more7 hr
Jun 13, 4:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlair, Bradford, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clarion and 25 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.