Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 748

May 26, 202112 counties in New York

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 26, 2021, 2:07 PM EDT for 12 counties in New York. It was in force for 83 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2021, 2:07 PM EDT (18:07 UTC)
Expired
May 26, 2021, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
83 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 205

Counties Albany County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 149 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-291 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1196 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
149 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

303 
ACUS11 KWNS 261808
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261807 
NYZ000-261930-

Mesoscale Discussion 0748
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0107 PM CDT Wed May 26 2021

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern New York

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205...

Valid 261807Z - 261930Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205
continues.

SUMMARY...Sporadic damaging wind gusts are expected to continue over
the next couple of hours across parts of central/eastern New York.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms from Oneida to Cortland counties in
central New York has been producing sporadic damaging winds over the
last hour or so. Recent data from the New York Mesonet has shown
maximum measured gusts around 45-55 mph with these storms. Given a
similar downstream airmass and a relative maximum in low level lapse
rates (around 8-8.5 C/km), this line of convection is expected to
maintain intensity for the next 1-2 hours. As a result, a corridor
of damaging wind is possible as the line tracks eastward toward the
Albany vicinity through 19-20z.

..Leitman.. 05/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...

LAT...LON   43237569 43317518 43257426 43157383 42937358 42567353
            42317394 42237462 42357562 42597623 43057590 43237569

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 12:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua and 32 more119 min
May 26, 12:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia, Cortland and 23 more7 hr
May 26, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBronx, Kings, New York, Orange, Putnam, Queens and 3 more7 hr
May 26, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Bronx, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Kings and 12 more64 min
May 26, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, New York, Richmond116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.