Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 565

May 8, 20217 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 8, 2021, 11:25 PM CDT for 7 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2021, 11:25 PM CDT (04:25 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2021, 1:30 AM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 156

Counties Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Henry County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 377 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 106 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
377 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1653 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
362 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

971 
ACUS11 KWNS 090425
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090425 
MOZ000-KSZ000-090630-

Mesoscale Discussion 0565
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 PM CDT Sat May 08 2021

Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Western Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 156...

Valid 090425Z - 090630Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 156
continues.

SUMMARY...Wind damage and hail will be likely across parts of
northeast Kansas and western Missouri over the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a 996 mb low over
southern Kansas with a warm front extending eastward into western
and southern Missouri. A bowing line segment is currently located
just to the north of the front and is moving quickly
east-southeastward at 50 to 55 knots across northeast Kansas. The
line is located on the northern edge of a 50 to 60 kt low-level jet.
As the low-level jet strengthens early tonight, the severe threat
with the line will be maintained.  Damaging wind gusts can be
expected as it moves across the Kansas City Metro over the next
hour. Hail will also be likely with the stronger cores embedded in
the line.

..Broyles.. 05/09/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   38219392 38389498 38609550 38879579 39419528 39339445
            38999351 38559344 38219392

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 9:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Coffey and 19 more2 hr
May 8, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami, Wyandotte7 hr
May 9, 1:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Linn, Miami96 min
May 9, 3:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamden, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Dent, Douglas and 14 more119 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.